默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cincinnati Bengals v Detroit Lions

开赛时间: 2026-08-13 23:00 UTC

最终结果: Cincinnati Bengals 16–14 Detroit Lions

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

30 家博彩公司 (10 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cincinnati Bengals (主队)

预测 70.01%1.43公平赔率
EV -3.38%
优势 -2.45%
Kelly -8.90%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.38

博彩公司预测分布
68.85%70.03%70.10%72.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.321.361.361.3875.76%73.49%73.53%72.46%最小值均值中位数最大值

Detroit Lions (客队)

预测 29.99%3.33公平赔率
EV +1.95%
优势 +0.574%
Kelly +0.814%
增长率 +0.016%

假设最高赔率为 3.40

博彩公司预测分布
27.97%29.97%29.90%31.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.163.153.4033.33%31.62%31.75%29.41%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Cincinnati Bengals (主队):70.01%;Detroit Lions (客队):29.99%。 对于“Detroit Lions (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.33。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.40,对应+1.95%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
ReBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -7.58%E -5.74%K -23.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +1.95%E +0.574%K +0.814%G +0.016%5.2%2026-08-13 10:20
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.78%E -3.52%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.55%E -0.783%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 22:54
GTbets🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.78%E -3.52%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.55%E -0.783%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 22:54
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.78%E -3.52%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.55%E -0.783%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 06:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.52%EV -5.48%E -4.06%K -15.66%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -3.14%E -0.974%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 12:19
FanDuel🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.08%E -2.98%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-13 22:49
Bovada🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.08%E -2.98%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-13 22:53
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.78%E -3.52%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 22:49
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.78%E -3.52%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 22:49
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.78%E -3.52%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 22:48
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.78%E -3.52%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.04%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 22:49
BetUS🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.74%EV -3.38%E -2.45%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -4.64%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-13 22:44
SportsBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.78%E -3.52%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -4.64%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 22:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.38%E -2.45%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-13 22:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.38%E -2.45%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-13 22:49
BetAnything🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.38%E -2.45%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-13 22:49
Pinnacle🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.08%E -2.98%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 22:55
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.78%E -3.52%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 22:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.78%E -3.52%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 22:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.78%E -3.52%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 22:49
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.78%E -3.52%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 22:49
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.78%E -3.52%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 22:49
Fliff🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.18%E -4.61%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.54%E -1.76%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-13 22:55
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.38%E -2.45%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 22:49
NordicBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.48%E -4.06%K -15.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-13 22:49
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.48%E -4.06%K -15.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.04%E -2.27%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-13 22:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.38%E -2.45%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.54%E -2.80%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 22:44
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.38%E -2.45%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.54%E -2.80%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 22:44
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.88%E -5.17%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -8.54%E -2.80%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-13 22:49
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.88%E -5.17%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.04%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-13 22:49
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
ProphetX1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77%0.3%2026-08-13 22:44
Novig1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-08-13 22:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-08-13 22:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-08-13 22:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-08-13 22:49
Matchbook1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%3.7%2026-08-13 22:55