Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Buffalo Bills v Carolina Panthers

2026-08-15 17:00 UTC — NFL Preseason

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

56%

44%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Buffalo Bills (Local)

Prediction 56.00%1.79fair odd

EV -0.877%

Edge -0.495%

Kelly -1.14%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

54.26%55.85%55.79%56.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.651.701.691.7760.61%59.00%59.35%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Carolina Panthers (Visit)

Prediction 44.00%2.27fair odd

EV -3.20%

Edge -1.46%

Kelly -2.67%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

43.30%44.15%44.21%45.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.102.172.192.2047.62%46.16%45.77%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Buffalo Bills (Local): 56.00%; Carolina Panthers (Visit): 44.00%. For Buffalo Bills (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.79. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.77, with an expected value of -0.877%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
theScore Bet🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -0.877%E -0.495%K -1.14%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-07 17:35
LeoVegas🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.68%E -2.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-07 15:20
GTbets🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.24%E -2.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.20%E -1.46%K -2.67%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-08-07 18:59
BetMGM🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.24%E -2.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-07 17:08
Fanatics🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.24%E -2.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-07 18:00
FanDuel🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.80%E -2.82%K -6.85%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.20%E -1.46%K -2.67%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-07 12:55
DraftKings🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.80%E -2.82%K -6.85%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.20%E -1.46%K -2.67%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-07 14:05
SportsBet🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.36%E -3.17%K -7.76%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -4.52%E -2.08%K -3.87%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-07 13:00
BetRivers🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.92%E -3.52%K -8.70%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.20%E -1.46%K -2.67%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-07 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.92%E -3.52%K -8.70%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.20%E -1.46%K -2.67%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-07 15:49
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.92%E -3.52%K -8.70%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.20%E -1.46%K -2.67%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-07 15:49
betPARX🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.92%E -3.52%K -8.70%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.20%E -1.46%K -2.67%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-07 15:48
Bally Bet🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.92%E -3.52%K -8.70%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.20%E -1.46%K -2.67%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-07 16:05
NordicBet🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -5.92%E -3.52%K -8.70%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.72%E -3.17%K -6.00%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-07 17:14
Betsson🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -5.92%E -3.52%K -8.70%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.72%E -3.17%K -6.00%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-07 17:15
Paddy Power🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.60%E -4.60%K -11.69%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-08-07 12:59

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.00I 100.00%NM 67.32%	2.06I 48.54%NM 32.68%	48.5%	2026-08-07 16:35