默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Buffalo Bills v Carolina Panthers

开赛时间: 2026-08-15 17:03 UTC

最终结果: Buffalo Bills 29–14 Carolina Panthers

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

31 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Buffalo Bills (主队)

预测 57.64%1.73公平赔率
EV -2.58%
优势 -1.53%
Kelly -3.74%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.69

博彩公司预测分布
56.56%57.72%57.36%59.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.591.651.651.6962.89%60.65%60.61%59.17%最小值均值中位数最大值

Carolina Panthers (客队)

预测 42.36%2.36公平赔率
EV +0.810%
优势 +0.341%
Kelly +0.587%
增长率 +0.005%

假设最高赔率为 2.38

博彩公司预测分布
40.05%42.28%42.64%43.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.152.262.252.3846.51%44.29%44.44%42.02%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Buffalo Bills (主队):57.64%;Carolina Panthers (客队):42.36%。 对于“Carolina Panthers (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.36。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.38,对应+0.810%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (31 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -8.35%E -5.25%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV +0.810%E +0.341%K +0.587%G +0.005%4.9%2026-08-15 13:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.77%E -4.86%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -0.460%E -0.196%K -0.341%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 14:03
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -5.47%E -3.33%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -1.31%E -0.561%K -0.983%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 16:54
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.74%E -2.24%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.58%E -1.12%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 16:49
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.74%E -2.24%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.58%E -1.12%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 16:58
BetAnything🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.74%E -2.24%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.58%E -1.12%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 16:59
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.89%E -2.96%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.58%E -1.12%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 16:40
Caesars🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.47%E -3.33%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.58%E -1.12%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 16:53
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.04%E -3.71%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -2.58%E -1.12%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 16:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.04%E -3.71%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -2.58%E -1.12%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.04%E -3.71%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -2.58%E -1.12%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 16:39
betPARX🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.04%E -3.71%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -2.58%E -1.12%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 16:39
Bally Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.04%E -3.71%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -2.58%E -1.12%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 16:39
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -3.74%E -2.24%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -3.00%E -1.31%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-15 16:49
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.16%E -1.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -4.27%E -1.89%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 16:59
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.58%E -1.53%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.70%E -2.09%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-15 16:54
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.58%E -1.53%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.70%E -2.09%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-15 16:59
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.89%E -2.96%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.70%E -2.09%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:59
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.89%E -2.96%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.70%E -2.09%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:55
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.20%E -4.47%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.70%E -2.09%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 16:59
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.16%E -1.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -5.12%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 16:59
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.89%E -2.96%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.12%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 16:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.58%E -1.53%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.81%E -3.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.16%E -1.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.81%E -3.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 16:54
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.16%E -1.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.81%E -3.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 16:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.89%E -2.96%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.81%E -3.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 16:54
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.77%E -4.86%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.81%E -3.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 16:54
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -4.89%E -2.96%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -7.66%E -3.51%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 16:58
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -4.89%E -2.96%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -7.66%E -3.51%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 16:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -5.47%E -3.33%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.93%E -4.15%K -7.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 16:59
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.62%E -4.09%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.93%E -4.15%K -7.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 16:59
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Novig◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.25%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.75%0.4%2026-08-15 17:00
ProphetX◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-08-15 16:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-08-15 16:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-08-15 16:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-08-15 16:59
Matchbook◎1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%3.1%2026-08-15 16:59