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Atlanta Falcons v Denver Broncos

2026-08-14 23:00 UTC — NFL Preseason

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Falcons (Local)

Prediction 36.13%2.77fair odd
EV -2.46%
Edge -0.912%
Kelly -1.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.52%36.24%35.99%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.642.652.7039.22%37.91%37.74%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Denver Broncos (Visit)

Prediction 63.87%1.57fair odd
EV -2.27%
Edge -1.48%
Kelly -4.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%63.76%64.01%64.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.491.491.5369.44%67.17%67.11%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Atlanta Falcons (Local): 36.13%; Denver Broncos (Visit): 63.87%. For Denver Broncos (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.57. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.53, with an expected value of -2.27%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.46%E -0.912%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.19%E -2.79%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 17:35
FanDuel🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -3.18%E -1.19%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -4.19%E -2.79%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-07 19:19
SportsBet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -3.54%E -1.33%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.47%E -3.69%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 19:19
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.27%E -1.61%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.19%E -2.79%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.27%E -1.61%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.83%E -3.24%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 19:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.27%E -1.61%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.83%E -3.24%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 19:10
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.27%E -1.61%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.83%E -3.24%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 19:15
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.27%E -1.61%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.83%E -3.24%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 19:10
Bally Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.27%E -1.61%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.83%E -3.24%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 19:13
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -4.27%E -1.61%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.74%E -4.62%K -14.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 17:14
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -4.27%E -1.61%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.74%E -4.62%K -14.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 17:15
GTbets🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -6.07%E -2.34%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.27%E -1.48%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-07 18:59
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -6.07%E -2.34%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.91%E -1.91%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 14:05
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.07%E -2.34%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.38%E -5.09%K -16.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 16:40
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.07%E -2.34%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.02%E -5.57%K -18.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-07 19:18
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.88%E -3.09%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.27%E -1.48%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 17:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.53I 39.53%NM 28.33%1.00I 100.00%NM 71.67%39.5%2026-08-07 19:20