預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Atlanta Falcons v Denver Broncos

開賽時間: 2026-08-14 23:08 UTC

最終賽果: Atlanta Falcons 7–27 Denver Broncos

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

32 家博彩公司 (10 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Atlanta Falcons (主隊)

預測 39.85%2.51公平賠率
EV -2.37%
優勢 -0.967%
Kelly -1.63%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.45

博彩公司預測分布
39.05%39.87%39.82%41.48%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.252.392.402.4544.44%41.91%41.67%40.82%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Denver Broncos (客隊)

預測 60.15%1.66公平賠率
EV -1.95%
優勢 -1.20%
Kelly -3.10%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.63

博彩公司預測分布
58.52%60.13%60.18%60.95%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.551.591.591.6364.52%63.05%62.89%61.35%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Atlanta Falcons (主隊):39.85%;Denver Broncos (客隊):60.15%。 對於「Denver Broncos (客隊)」,該估計相當於1.66的公平十進位賠率。 當時沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率:最佳賠率為1.63,期望值為-1.95%,未產生正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (32 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
BetAnything🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.37%E -0.967%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.16%E -1.96%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-14 22:34
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.37%E -0.967%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.36%E -2.74%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-14 23:04
GTbets🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.37%E -0.967%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.36%E -2.74%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-14 22:25
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.37%E -0.967%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.36%E -2.74%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-14 22:23
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.37%E -0.967%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 22:04
Pinnacle🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.17%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.36%E -2.74%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-14 22:49
BetUS🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -3.56%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -3.16%E -1.96%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-14 22:54
Caesars🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV -3.96%E -1.64%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -4.36%E -2.74%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 23:03
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.36%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.76%E -2.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 23:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.36%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.36%E -2.74%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 22:09
ReBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.36%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.96%E -3.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 22:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.36%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 22:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.36%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 22:19
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.36%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 22:19
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.36%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 22:19
Bally Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.36%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 22:19
MyBookie.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.36%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 22:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.55%EV -4.76%E -1.99%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.45%EV -1.95%E -1.20%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-14 23:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.55%EV -4.76%E -1.99%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.45%EV -1.95%E -1.20%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-14 23:04
FanDuel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.16%E -2.17%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.16%E -1.96%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 22:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.16%E -2.17%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-14 22:04
SportsBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -5.96%E -2.52%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.36%E -2.74%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 23:04
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.35%E -2.70%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.16%E -1.96%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 23:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.35%E -2.70%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.76%E -2.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 22:04
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.35%E -2.70%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.76%E -2.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 22:04
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.35%E -2.70%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.17%E -3.95%K -11.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 22:09
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.35%E -2.70%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.17%E -3.95%K -11.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 22:09
Fliff🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.35%E -2.70%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.17%E -3.95%K -11.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 22:44
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.35%E -2.70%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.77%E -4.37%K -12.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 22:14
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.35%E -2.70%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.77%E -4.37%K -12.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 22:19
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -8.35%E -3.63%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -1.95%E -1.20%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 22:59
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.34%E -4.59%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 22:04
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Novig◎2.47I 40.49%NM 40.34%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66%0.4%2026-08-14 23:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%3.8%2026-08-14 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%3.8%2026-08-14 23:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%3.8%2026-08-14 23:04
ProphetX◎2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%4.2%2026-08-14 23:04
Matchbook◎2.24I 44.64%NM 40.11%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%11.3%2026-08-14 23:04