The School of Odds

Washington Commanders v Seattle Seahawks

2026-09-27 17:00 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Washington Commanders (Local)

Prediction 37.51%2.67fair odd
EV -2.47%
Edge -0.949%
Kelly -1.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.89%37.51%37.51%38.13%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.452.532.532.6041%40%40%38%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Seattle Seahawks (Visit)

Prediction 62.49%1.60fair odd
EV -5.02%
Edge -3.30%
Kelly -9.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.87%62.49%62.49%63.11%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.511.521.521.5266%66%66%66%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.47%E -0.949%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.02%E -3.30%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 20:45
Caesars2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.09%E -3.30%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -5.64%E -3.74%K -11.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 20:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.