Language:English
Washington Commanders v Seattle Seahawks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Washington Commanders (Local)
Prediction 23.08%4.33fair odd
EV +0.393%
Edge +0.090%
Kelly +0.117%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.90%23.30%22.94%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.654.134.204.3527.40%24.20%23.81%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Seattle Seahawks (Visit)
Prediction 76.92%1.30fair odd
EV -1.54%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -5.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.00%76.70%77.06%78.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.241.241.2888.50%80.65%80.65%78.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Commanders (Local): 23.08%; Seattle Seahawks (Visit): 76.92%. For Washington Commanders (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.33. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.393%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +0.393%E +0.090%K +0.117%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.16%E -5.05%K -27.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 15:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -0.068%E -0.016%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.16%E -5.05%K -27.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-27 14:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -0.068%E -0.016%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.16%E -5.05%K -27.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-27 14:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%EV -0.761%E -0.177%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34%EV -3.08%E -2.44%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-27 16:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -0.761%E -0.177%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.62%E -3.72%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-27 14:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -0.761%E -0.177%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.62%E -3.72%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-27 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.87%EV -1.91%E -0.451%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.13%EV -3.08%E -2.44%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-27 13:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.87%EV -1.91%E -0.451%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.13%EV -3.08%E -2.44%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-27 13:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.87%EV -1.91%E -0.451%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.13%EV -3.08%E -2.44%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-27 13:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.87%EV -1.91%E -0.451%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.13%EV -3.08%E -2.44%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-27 13:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -1.91%E -0.451%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.62%E -3.72%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-27 14:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -1.91%E -0.451%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.62%E -3.72%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-27 16:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -1.91%E -0.451%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -6.93%E -5.72%K -32.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-27 15:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -3.07%E -0.731%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.85%E -3.08%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-27 11:48 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -3.07%E -0.731%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.85%E -3.08%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-27 14:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -3.07%E -0.731%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.85%E -3.08%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-27 13:14 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -3.07%E -0.731%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.85%E -3.08%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-27 13:38 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -3.07%E -0.731%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.85%E -3.08%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-27 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -3.07%E -0.731%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.85%E -3.08%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-27 14:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -3.07%E -0.731%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.85%E -3.08%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-27 16:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -3.07%E -0.731%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.85%E -3.08%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-27 16:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -3.07%E -0.731%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.85%E -3.08%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-27 16:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -3.07%E -0.731%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.85%E -3.08%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-27 15:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -3.07%E -0.731%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.62%E -3.72%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-27 15:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -3.07%E -0.731%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.62%E -3.72%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-27 16:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -3.07%E -0.731%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.62%E -3.72%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-27 11:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -3.07%E -0.731%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.62%E -3.72%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-27 14:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.07%E -0.731%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.16%E -5.05%K -27.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-27 12:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.07%E -0.731%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.16%E -5.05%K -27.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-27 12:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.07%E -0.731%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.16%E -5.05%K -27.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-27 12:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.07%E -0.731%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.16%E -5.05%K -27.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-27 12:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -4.22%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -3.85%E -3.08%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-27 15:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -4.22%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.16%E -5.05%K -27.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-27 16:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.91%EV -4.45%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.09%EV -5.39%E -4.38%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-27 17:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.91%EV -4.45%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.09%EV -5.39%E -4.38%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-27 17:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.38%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.85%E -3.08%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-27 16:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.38%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.85%E -3.08%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-27 13:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.38%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.85%E -3.08%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-27 13:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.38%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.85%E -3.08%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-27 13:14 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.38%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.85%E -3.08%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-27 15:13 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.38%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.85%E -3.08%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-27 15:13 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.38%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.62%E -3.72%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.38%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.62%E -3.72%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 14:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.38%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.62%E -3.72%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 14:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.38%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.62%E -3.72%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 16:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.38%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.39%E -4.38%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-27 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.38%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.16%E -5.05%K -27.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-27 12:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -6.53%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -3.08%E -2.44%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-27 16:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -7.68%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -1.54%E -1.20%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-27 16:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -7.68%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.08%E -2.44%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-27 14:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.68%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.62%E -3.72%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-27 12:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.68%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.16%E -5.05%K -27.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-27 17:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -9.99%E -2.56%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.31%E -1.82%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-27 17:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -9.99%E -2.56%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.08%E -2.44%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 14:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -9.99%E -2.56%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.08%E -2.44%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 16:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.99%E -2.56%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -7.69%E -6.41%K -38.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-27 16:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -13.45%E -3.59%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.85%E -3.08%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-27 16:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.45%E -3.59%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.16%E -5.05%K -27.98%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-27 16:33 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.64%EV -15.76%E -4.32%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 76.36%EV -13.08%E -11.57%K -100.61%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-09-27 13:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 0.2% | 2026-09-27 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-09-27 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-09-27 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-09-27 16:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 1.1% | 2026-09-27 08:17 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 1.1% | 2026-09-27 13:30 |
| Novig◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 1.1% | 2026-09-27 17:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 1.4% | 2026-09-27 17:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 1.5% | 2026-09-27 16:55 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05% | 4.4% | 2026-09-27 15:20 |