Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Washington Commanders v Seattle Seahawks

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-27 17:03 UTC

Score final : Washington Commanders 33–31 Seattle Seahawks

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Washington Commanders (Local)

Prévision 23.08%4.33cote équitable
EV +0.393%
Avantage +0.090%
Kelly +0.117%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.90%23.30%22.94%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.654.134.204.3527.40%24.20%23.81%22.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Seattle Seahawks (Visiteur)

Prévision 76.92%1.30cote équitable
EV -1.54%
Avantage -1.20%
Kelly -5.50%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.00%76.70%77.06%78.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.131.241.241.2888.50%80.65%80.65%78.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Washington Commanders (Local) : 23.08% ; Seattle Seahawks (Visiteur) : 76.92%. Pour Washington Commanders (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.33. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.35, soit une espérance positive de +0.393%.

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
SportsBet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +0.393%E +0.090%K +0.117%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.16%E -5.05%K -27.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 15:45
Paddy Power🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -0.068%E -0.016%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.16%E -5.05%K -27.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 14:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -0.068%E -0.016%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.16%E -5.05%K -27.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 14:34
ReBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%EV -0.761%E -0.177%K -0.231%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34%EV -3.08%E -2.44%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-27 16:04
FanDuel🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -0.761%E -0.177%K -0.231%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.62%E -3.72%K -19.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-27 14:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -0.761%E -0.177%K -0.231%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.62%E -3.72%K -19.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-27 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.87%EV -1.91%E -0.451%K -0.589%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.13%EV -3.08%E -2.44%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-27 13:14
Unibet (NL)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.87%EV -1.91%E -0.451%K -0.589%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.13%EV -3.08%E -2.44%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-27 13:15
ATG (SE)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.87%EV -1.91%E -0.451%K -0.589%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.13%EV -3.08%E -2.44%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-27 13:14
Svenska Spel🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.87%EV -1.91%E -0.451%K -0.589%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.13%EV -3.08%E -2.44%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-27 13:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -1.91%E -0.451%K -0.589%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.62%E -3.72%K -19.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-27 14:20
Fanatics🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -1.91%E -0.451%K -0.589%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.62%E -3.72%K -19.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-27 16:54
Fliff🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -1.91%E -0.451%K -0.589%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -6.93%E -5.72%K -32.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-27 15:25
Caesars🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -3.07%E -0.731%K -0.959%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.85%E -3.08%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-27 11:48
PlayUp🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -3.07%E -0.731%K -0.959%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.85%E -3.08%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-27 14:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -3.07%E -0.731%K -0.959%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.85%E -3.08%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-27 13:14
MyBookie.ag🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -3.07%E -0.731%K -0.959%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.85%E -3.08%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-27 13:38
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -3.07%E -0.731%K -0.959%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.85%E -3.08%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-27 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -3.07%E -0.731%K -0.959%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.85%E -3.08%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-27 14:20
BetAnything🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -3.07%E -0.731%K -0.959%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.85%E -3.08%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-27 16:45
LowVig.ag🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -3.07%E -0.731%K -0.959%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.85%E -3.08%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-27 16:05
BetOnline.ag🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -3.07%E -0.731%K -0.959%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.85%E -3.08%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-27 16:05
Coolbet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -3.07%E -0.731%K -0.959%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.85%E -3.08%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-27 15:24
DraftKings🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -3.07%E -0.731%K -0.959%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.62%E -3.72%K -19.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 15:25
Bet Right🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -3.07%E -0.731%K -0.959%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.62%E -3.72%K -19.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 16:59
betfred_uk🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -3.07%E -0.731%K -0.959%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.62%E -3.72%K -19.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 11:49
BetMGM🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -3.07%E -0.731%K -0.959%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.62%E -3.72%K -19.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 14:20
888sport🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.07%E -0.731%K -0.959%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.16%E -5.05%K -27.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-27 12:30
888sport (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.07%E -0.731%K -0.959%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.16%E -5.05%K -27.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-27 12:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.07%E -0.731%K -0.959%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.16%E -5.05%K -27.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-27 12:30
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.07%E -0.731%K -0.959%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.16%E -5.05%K -27.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-27 12:30
Everygame🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -4.22%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -3.85%E -3.08%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 15:04
Marathon Bet🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -4.22%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.16%E -5.05%K -27.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-27 16:54
NordicBet🎯4.14I 24.15%NM 22.91%EV -4.45%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.09%EV -5.39%E -4.38%K -23.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-27 17:00
Betsson🎯4.14I 24.15%NM 22.91%EV -4.45%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.09%EV -5.39%E -4.38%K -23.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-27 17:00
GTbets🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.38%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.85%E -3.08%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-27 16:09
Unibet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.38%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.85%E -3.08%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-27 13:15
Bally Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.38%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.85%E -3.08%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-27 13:14
betPARX🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.38%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.85%E -3.08%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-27 13:14
betano_uk🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.38%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.85%E -3.08%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-27 15:13
Bet Victor🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.38%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.85%E -3.08%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-27 15:13
Betr (AU)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.38%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.62%E -3.72%K -19.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 15:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.38%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.62%E -3.72%K -19.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 14:20
Neds🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.38%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.62%E -3.72%K -19.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 14:20
TAB🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.38%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.62%E -3.72%K -19.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 16:10
BetRivers🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.38%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.39%E -4.38%K -23.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-27 17:00
Tipico (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.38%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.16%E -5.05%K -27.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-27 12:30
BetUS🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -6.53%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -3.08%E -2.44%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 16:04
Pinnacle🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -7.68%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -1.54%E -1.20%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-27 16:55
Dabble (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -7.68%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.08%E -2.44%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-27 14:45
Codere (IT)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.68%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.62%E -3.72%K -19.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-27 12:30
LeoVegas🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.68%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.16%E -5.05%K -27.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-27 17:00
Unibet (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -9.99%E -2.56%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.31%E -1.82%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-27 17:00
theScore Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -9.99%E -2.56%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.08%E -2.44%K -11.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 14:20
Bovada🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -9.99%E -2.56%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.08%E -2.44%K -11.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 16:50
NetBet (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.99%E -2.56%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -7.69%E -6.41%K -38.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-27 16:59
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -13.45%E -3.59%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.85%E -3.08%K -15.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-27 16:55
Betclic (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.45%E -3.59%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.16%E -5.05%K -27.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-27 16:33
PMU (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 23.64%EV -15.76%E -4.32%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 76.36%EV -13.08%E -11.57%K -100.61%G +0.000%15.9%2026-09-27 13:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%0.2%2026-09-27 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-09-27 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-09-27 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-09-27 16:20
Polymarket◎4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%1.1%2026-09-27 08:17
Kalshi◎4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%1.1%2026-09-27 13:30
Novig◎4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%1.1%2026-09-27 17:00
ProphetX◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%1.4%2026-09-27 17:00
Smarkets◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%1.5%2026-09-27 16:55
BetOpenly◎4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%4.4%2026-09-27 15:20