Washington Commanders v Philadelphia Eagles

2026-11-02 01:20 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

44%

56%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Washington Commanders (Local)

Prediction 44.09%2.27fair odd

EV -2.56%

Edge -1.16%

Kelly -2.12%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

43.33%44.09%44.09%44.85%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.142.172.172.2147%46%46%45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Philadelphia Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 55.91%1.79fair odd

EV -2.72%

Edge -1.56%

Kelly -3.67%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

55.15%55.91%55.91%56.67%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.691.711.711.7459%58%58%57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Caesars	2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -2.56%E -1.16%K -2.12%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -5.51%E -3.26%K -7.99%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-06-22 22:37
DraftKings	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.65%E -2.64%K -4.96%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.72%E -1.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-05-15 00:40

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.