The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Washington Commanders v Philadelphia Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-11-02 01:23 UTC

Final: Washington Commanders 27–10 Philadelphia Eagles

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Commanders (Local)

Prediction 68.28%1.46fair odd
EV -1.67%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -3.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.04%68.24%68.24%69.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.391.401.4480.00%71.80%71.43%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Philadelphia Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 31.72%3.15fair odd
EV +3.08%
Edge +0.948%
Kelly +1.37%
Growth +0.042%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.11%31.76%31.76%33.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.013.003.2536.36%33.24%33.33%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Commanders (Local): 68.28%; Philadelphia Eagles (Visit): 31.72%. For Philadelphia Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.15. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.08%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%EV -4.40%E -3.15%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%EV +3.08%E +0.948%K +1.37%G +0.042%2.2%2026-11-01 23:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.40%E -3.15%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -0.090%E -0.029%K -0.042%G +0.000%3.2%2026-11-01 20:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.40%E -3.15%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -0.090%E -0.029%K -0.042%G +0.000%3.2%2026-11-01 20:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.40%E -3.15%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -0.090%E -0.029%K -0.042%G +0.000%3.2%2026-11-01 20:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.40%E -3.15%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -0.090%E -0.029%K -0.042%G +0.000%3.2%2026-11-01 20:15
BetAnything🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -5.09%E -3.66%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -0.090%E -0.029%K -0.042%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-02 01:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.40%E -3.15%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.68%E -0.541%K -0.798%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-01 20:10
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.40%E -3.15%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.68%E -0.541%K -0.798%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-02 00:15
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.40%E -3.15%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.68%E -0.541%K -0.798%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-02 01:09
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.68%E -0.541%K -0.798%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-01 20:15
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.68%E -0.541%K -0.798%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-01 20:10
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.68%E -0.541%K -0.798%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-01 20:15
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.68%E -0.541%K -0.798%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-01 20:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.68%E -0.541%K -0.798%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-02 01:19
Fanatics🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.68%E -0.541%K -0.798%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-01 18:55
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.68%E -0.541%K -0.798%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-01 23:40
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.68%E -0.541%K -0.798%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-01 17:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.68%E -0.541%K -0.798%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-01 17:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.68%E -0.541%K -0.798%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-01 17:10
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.68%E -0.541%K -0.798%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-01 17:10
Pinnacle🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.51%EV -3.04%E -2.14%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.49%EV -1.99%E -0.645%K -0.954%G +0.000%2.8%2026-11-02 01:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -4.40%E -3.15%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -2.63%E -0.856%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-02 01:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -4.40%E -3.15%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -2.63%E -0.856%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-02 01:10
BetUS🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.26%E -1.07%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-02 01:04
Everygame🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.26%E -1.07%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-02 00:23
GTbets🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.09%E -3.66%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -3.26%E -1.07%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-02 01:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.26%E -1.07%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-02 00:50
ReBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.87%EV -2.36%E -1.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.13%EV -4.21%E -1.40%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.0%2026-11-02 01:10
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -2.36%E -1.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -4.85%E -1.62%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.3%2026-11-02 01:15
DraftKings🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.72%E -2.64%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.85%E -1.62%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-02 01:10
Bet Right🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.40%E -3.15%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.85%E -1.62%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-02 01:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.40%E -3.15%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.85%E -1.62%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-02 01:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.40%E -3.15%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.85%E -1.62%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-02 01:15
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.40%E -3.15%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.85%E -1.62%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-02 01:15
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.40%E -3.15%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.85%E -1.62%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-02 00:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.45%E -4.71%K -17.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -4.85%E -1.62%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-02 01:10
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.85%E -1.62%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-02 00:49
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.85%E -1.62%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-02 00:50
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -3.04%E -2.14%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -5.48%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-02 01:20
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -4.40%E -3.15%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11%EV -6.12%E -2.07%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 01:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.36%E -1.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -6.43%E -2.18%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-02 01:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.04%E -2.14%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -6.43%E -2.18%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-02 01:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.04%E -2.14%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -6.43%E -2.18%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-02 01:10
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -6.43%E -2.18%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-02 01:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.38%EV -7.82%E -5.79%K -22.34%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.62%EV -7.39%E -2.53%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-02 01:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.04%E -2.14%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.02%E -2.77%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-02 01:15
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.04%E -2.14%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.02%E -2.77%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-02 01:15
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.04%E -2.14%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.02%E -2.77%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-02 01:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.40%E -3.15%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.02%E -2.77%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-02 01:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -7.82%E -5.79%K -22.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.02%E -2.77%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-02 01:20
Caesars🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.36%E -1.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.61%E -3.37%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-02 01:14
picklebet_au🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.40%E -3.15%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.61%E -3.37%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-02 01:20
Fliff🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.40%E -3.15%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.61%E -3.37%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-02 01:05
Betway🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -5.09%E -3.66%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -9.61%E -3.37%K -5.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-02 01:20
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -1.67%E -1.16%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -11.19%E -4.00%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 01:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -1.67%E -1.16%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -11.19%E -4.00%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 01:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -12.78%E -4.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-02 01:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 68.75%EV -14.65%E -11.72%K -58.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.25%EV -12.78%E -4.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%16.4%2026-11-01 20:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23%0.2%2026-11-02 01:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23%0.2%2026-11-02 01:20
Novig◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.64%3.28I 30.49%NM 30.36%0.4%2026-11-02 00:10
ProphetX◎1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-11-02 01:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-11-02 01:05
Matchbook◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-11-02 01:20
Kalshi◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-11-02 00:00
Polymarket◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-11-02 01:20
Smarkets◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.7%2026-11-02 01:20
BetOpenly◎1.40I 71.43%NM 69.70%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.30%2.5%2026-11-02 01:19