Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Commanders v Philadelphia Eagles

2026-11-02 01:20 UTC — NFL

Resultado del partido

43 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Commanders (Local)

Predicción 63.27%1.58momio equitativo
EV -1.30%
Ventaja -0.832%
Kelly -2.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.03%63.30%63.41%64.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.341.501.501.5674.63%66.71%66.67%64.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Philadelphia Eagles (Visitante)

Predicción 36.73%2.72momio equitativo
EV -0.831%
Ventaja -0.308%
Kelly -0.489%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.41%36.70%36.59%37.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.602.602.7041.67%38.51%38.46%37.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Washington Commanders (Local): 63.27%; Philadelphia Eagles (Visitante): 36.73%. Para Philadelphia Eagles (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.72. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.70, con un valor esperado de -0.831%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -1.30%E -0.832%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -6.34%E -2.49%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-26 01:05
GTbets🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.56%E -1.66%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.34%E -2.49%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-26 03:05
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -2.56%E -1.66%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -6.71%E -2.64%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-26 03:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.50%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-26 03:05
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.50%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-26 03:05
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.50%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-26 03:05
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.34%E -2.49%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-20 20:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-26 03:05
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.20%E -2.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-26 03:05
Caesars🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.20%EV -3.83%E -2.52%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.80%EV -4.14%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-25 23:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.83%E -2.52%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 00:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.83%E -2.52%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 00:25
theScore Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.46%E -2.95%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.67%E -1.01%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-26 00:10
ReBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.17%EV -4.46%E -2.95%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.83%EV -4.87%E -1.88%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-26 02:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.17%EV -4.46%E -2.95%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.83%EV -4.87%E -1.88%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-26 02:29
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -5.09%E -3.40%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -1.57%E -0.584%K -0.932%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-20 20:00
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.09%E -3.40%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.77%E -1.44%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-20 20:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.09%E -3.40%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.50%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 09:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.09%E -3.40%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.50%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 02:29
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.09%E -3.40%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.50%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 00:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.09%E -3.40%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.50%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 00:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.09%E -3.40%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.50%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 00:55
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.09%E -3.40%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.50%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 09:10
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.09%E -3.40%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.50%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 09:10
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.09%E -3.40%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.50%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 00:55
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.09%E -3.40%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.50%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 02:09
Codere (IT)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.09%E -3.40%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.34%E -2.49%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-26 01:11
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.09%E -3.40%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.34%E -2.49%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-26 05:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.36%E -4.30%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.831%E -0.308%K -0.489%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-20 19:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.36%E -4.30%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.831%E -0.308%K -0.489%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-20 20:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.36%E -4.30%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.831%E -0.308%K -0.489%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-20 20:00
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.36%E -4.30%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.831%E -0.308%K -0.489%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-20 20:00
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.36%E -4.30%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.831%E -0.308%K -0.489%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-20 19:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.36%E -4.30%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.831%E -0.308%K -0.489%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-20 20:00
betPARX🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.36%E -4.30%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.831%E -0.308%K -0.489%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-20 20:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.36%E -4.30%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.831%E -0.308%K -0.489%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-20 20:00
Bally Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.36%E -4.30%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.831%E -0.308%K -0.489%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-20 20:00
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -6.36%E -4.30%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -1.93%E -0.724%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-26 04:14
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.36%E -4.30%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -2.67%E -1.01%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-26 07:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.36%E -4.30%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-26 02:29
picklebet_au🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -6.36%E -4.30%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -10.01%E -4.09%K -6.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-26 01:00
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -6.99%E -4.76%K -14.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -10.01%E -4.09%K -6.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-26 01:11
PMU (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 64.17%EV -15.22%E -11.36%K -44.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.83%EV -11.85%E -4.94%K -8.46%G +0.000%16.3%2026-10-20 20:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.12%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.88%1.6%2026-10-26 09:10
ProphetX◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97%1.7%2026-10-26 09:31
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%2.1%2026-10-26 08:50
Polymarket◎1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%5.1%2026-10-26 09:31
Smarkets◎1.47I 68.03%NM 62.78%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.22%8.3%2026-10-26 02:30