The School of Odds

Tennessee Titans v Houston Texans

2026-10-11 17:00 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Tennessee Titans (Local)

Prediction 38.62%2.59fair odd
EV +0.423%
Edge +0.163%
Kelly +0.264%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.89%38.62%38.62%40.36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.352.482.482.6043%40%40%38%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Houston Texans (Visit)

Prediction 61.38%1.63fair odd
EV -2.41%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -4.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.64%61.38%61.38%63.11%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.521.561.561.5966%64%64%63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV +0.423%E +0.163%K +0.264%G +0.001%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -6.71%E -4.41%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 11:15
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -9.23%E -3.93%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -2.41%E -1.52%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 21:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.