Language:English
Tennessee Titans v Houston Texans
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tennessee Titans (Local)
Prediction 27.67%3.61fair odd
EV +5.13%
Edge +1.35%
Kelly +1.83%
Growth +0.094%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.75%27.82%27.59%31.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.993.443.403.8033.44%29.08%29.41%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Houston Texans (Visit)
Prediction 72.33%1.38fair odd
EV +1.27%
Edge +0.905%
Kelly +3.17%
Growth +0.040%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.42%72.18%72.41%75.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.321.321.4080.00%75.86%75.76%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tennessee Titans (Local): 27.67%; Houston Texans (Visit): 72.33%. For Tennessee Titans (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.61. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.13%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +5.13%E +1.35%K +1.83%G +0.094% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -9.58%E -7.67%K -38.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-10 13:53 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV +2.37%E +0.639%K +0.876%G +0.021% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -5.97%E -4.59%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-11 16:22 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.67%EV +0.429%E +0.118%K +0.163%G +0.001% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.33%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-11 16:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%EV -0.401%E -0.111%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73%EV -2.35%E -1.74%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.401%E -0.111%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.24%E -4.00%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-11 16:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.401%E -0.111%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.69%E -5.19%K -23.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-11 15:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.401%E -0.111%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.69%E -5.19%K -23.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-11 15:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.401%E -0.111%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.69%E -5.19%K -23.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-11 15:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.401%E -0.111%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.69%E -5.19%K -23.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-11 15:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -1.78%E -0.503%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -5.24%E -4.00%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-11 16:27 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -1.78%E -0.503%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.69%E -5.19%K -23.07%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-11 16:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -1.78%E -0.503%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -7.41%E -5.79%K -26.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.86%EV -2.06%E -0.582%K -0.812%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.14%EV -5.97%E -4.59%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-11 16:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.17%E -0.905%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.80%E -2.85%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-11 16:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.17%E -0.905%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-11 16:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.17%E -0.905%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-11 16:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.17%E -0.905%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.24%E -4.00%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.17%E -0.905%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.24%E -4.00%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-11 16:53 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.17%E -0.905%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.97%E -4.59%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-11 14:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.17%E -0.905%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.97%E -4.59%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.17%E -0.905%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.97%E -4.59%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.17%E -0.905%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.97%E -4.59%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-11 14:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.17%E -0.905%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.69%E -5.19%K -23.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-11 16:03 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -3.44%E -0.987%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.41%EV -3.80%E -2.85%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-11 16:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -3.44%E -0.987%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.41%EV -3.80%E -2.85%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-11 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -3.44%E -0.987%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.41%EV -3.80%E -2.85%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-11 16:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.55%E -1.32%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.80%E -2.85%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.93%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.07%E -2.29%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.93%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.07%E -2.29%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.93%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.07%E -2.29%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-11 16:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.93%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.07%E -2.29%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.93%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.07%E -2.29%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.93%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.07%E -2.29%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.93%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.07%E -2.29%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.93%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.07%E -2.29%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-11 16:58 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.93%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.07%E -2.29%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.93%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.07%E -2.29%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.93%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.80%E -2.85%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.93%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.80%E -2.85%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-11 16:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.93%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.80%E -2.85%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.93%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.80%E -2.85%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.93%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.80%E -2.85%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-11 16:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.93%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.93%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.93%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.93%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.93%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.97%E -4.59%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.32%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.80%E -2.85%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-11 16:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.32%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.80%E -2.85%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-11 16:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.32%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -8.14%E -6.41%K -30.13%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.32%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -8.14%E -6.41%K -30.13%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-11 16:58 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.97%E -4.59%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-11 16:58 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -8.14%E -6.41%K -30.13%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-11 16:33 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -2.35%E -1.74%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.07%E -2.29%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -7.41%E -5.79%K -26.47%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.35%E -1.74%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -14.23%E -4.59%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV +1.27%E +0.905%K +3.17%G +0.040% | 3.7% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.58%EV -17.28%E -5.78%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.42%EV -0.180%E -0.130%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-11 16:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 0.2% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 0.2% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| Novig◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| Polymarket◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-10-11 16:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-10-11 16:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87% | 2.4% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.17% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.83% | 5.0% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |