The School of Odds

Tennessee Titans v Houston Texans

2026-10-11 17:00 — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: Tennessee Titans (Local)

2.3542.55%Min
2.4840.40%Mean
2.4840.40%Median
2.6038.46%Max
36.89%2.711Min
40.36%2.478Max
38.62%2.589Mean
38.62%2.589Median
38.62%2.589IQM
38.45%2.601Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.60 under the IQM model: 38.62%

EV +0.423%Edge +0.163%Kelly +0.264%Growth +0.001%

Option 2: Houston Texans (Visit)

1.5265.79%Min
1.5664.31%Mean
1.5664.31%Median
1.5962.89%Max
59.64%1.677Min
63.11%1.585Max
61.38%1.629Mean
61.38%1.629Median
61.38%1.629IQM
61.55%1.625Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.59 under the IQM model: 61.38%

EV -2.41%Edge -1.52%Kelly -4.09%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

BookmakerTennessee Titans (Local) ▼Houston Texans (Visit)MarginUpdated
DraftKings2.60I 38.46% NM 36.89%EV +0.423% E +0.163% K +0.264% G +0.001%1.52I 65.79% NM 63.11%EV -6.71% E -4.41% K -12.90% G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 02:10
Bet Right2.45I 40.82% NM 38.90%EV -5.37% E -2.19% K -3.70% G +0.000%1.56I 64.10% NM 61.10%EV -4.25% E -2.73% K -7.60% G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 02:11
Caesars2.35I 42.55% NM 40.36%EV -9.23% E -3.93% K -6.84% G +0.000%1.59I 62.89% NM 59.64%EV -2.41% E -1.52% K -4.09% G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 21:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth