Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Tennessee Titans v Houston Texans

Inicio: 2026-10-11 17:02 UTC

Final: Tennessee Titans 3–26 Houston Texans

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Tennessee Titans (Local)

Predicción 27.67%3.61momio equitativo
EV +5.13%
Ventaja +1.35%
Kelly +1.83%
Crecimiento +0.094%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.75%27.82%27.59%31.58%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.993.443.403.8033.44%29.08%29.41%26.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Houston Texans (Visitante)

Predicción 72.33%1.38momio equitativo
EV +1.27%
Ventaja +0.905%
Kelly +3.17%
Crecimiento +0.040%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.42%72.18%72.41%75.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.251.321.321.4080.00%75.86%75.76%71.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Tennessee Titans (Local): 27.67%; Houston Texans (Visitante): 72.33%. Para Tennessee Titans (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.61. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.80, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.13%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +5.13%E +1.35%K +1.83%G +0.094%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -9.58%E -7.67%K -38.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 13:53
Everygame🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV +2.37%E +0.639%K +0.876%G +0.021%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -5.97%E -4.59%K -19.89%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-11 16:22
Pinnacle🎯3.63I 27.55%NM 26.67%EV +0.429%E +0.118%K +0.163%G +0.001%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.33%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.12%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-11 16:35
Coolbet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%EV -0.401%E -0.111%K -0.154%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73%EV -2.35%E -1.74%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.9%2026-10-11 16:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.401%E -0.111%K -0.154%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.24%E -4.00%K -16.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-11 16:54
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.401%E -0.111%K -0.154%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.69%E -5.19%K -23.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 15:25
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.401%E -0.111%K -0.154%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.69%E -5.19%K -23.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 15:24
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.401%E -0.111%K -0.154%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.69%E -5.19%K -23.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 15:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.401%E -0.111%K -0.154%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.69%E -5.19%K -23.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 15:24
Caesars🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -1.78%E -0.503%K -0.700%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -5.24%E -4.00%K -16.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-11 16:27
Codere (IT)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -1.78%E -0.503%K -0.700%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.69%E -5.19%K -23.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-11 16:14
Fliff🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -1.78%E -0.503%K -0.700%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -7.41%E -5.79%K -26.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-11 16:59
SportsBet🎯3.54I 28.25%NM 26.86%EV -2.06%E -0.582%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.14%EV -5.97%E -4.59%K -19.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 16:55
BetMGM🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.17%E -0.905%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.80%E -2.85%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-11 16:54
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.17%E -0.905%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-11 16:55
GTbets🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.17%E -0.905%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-11 16:55
BetAnything🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.17%E -0.905%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.24%E -4.00%K -16.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-11 17:00
Fanatics🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.17%E -0.905%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.24%E -4.00%K -16.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-11 16:53
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.17%E -0.905%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.97%E -4.59%K -19.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-11 14:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.17%E -0.905%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.97%E -4.59%K -19.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-11 16:59
Coral🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.17%E -0.905%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.97%E -4.59%K -19.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-11 16:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.17%E -0.905%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.97%E -4.59%K -19.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-11 14:34
betano_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.17%E -0.905%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.69%E -5.19%K -23.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-11 16:03
MyBookie.ag🎯3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -3.44%E -0.987%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.41%EV -3.80%E -2.85%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-11 16:14
BetOnline.ag🎯3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -3.44%E -0.987%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.41%EV -3.80%E -2.85%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-11 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -3.44%E -0.987%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.41%EV -3.80%E -2.85%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-11 16:54
DraftKings🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.55%E -1.32%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.80%E -2.85%K -11.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-11 16:59
Unibet (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.93%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.07%E -2.29%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-11 16:59
BetRivers🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.93%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.07%E -2.29%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-11 16:59
Unibet (NL)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.93%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.07%E -2.29%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-11 16:55
Unibet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.93%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.07%E -2.29%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-11 16:59
betPARX🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.93%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.07%E -2.29%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-11 16:59
ATG (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.93%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.07%E -2.29%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-11 16:59
Svenska Spel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.93%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.07%E -2.29%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-11 16:59
Bally Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.93%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.07%E -2.29%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-11 16:58
Bovada🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.93%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.07%E -2.29%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-11 16:59
BetUS🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.93%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.07%E -2.29%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-11 16:59
betfred_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.93%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.80%E -2.85%K -11.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-11 16:59
Dabble (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.93%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.80%E -2.85%K -11.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-11 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.93%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.80%E -2.85%K -11.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-11 16:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.93%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.80%E -2.85%K -11.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-11 17:00
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.93%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.80%E -2.85%K -11.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-11 16:49
Betr (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.93%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 17:00
NordicBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.93%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 17:00
Betsson🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.93%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 16:59
TAB🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.93%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 16:59
PlayUp🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.93%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.97%E -4.59%K -19.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-11 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.32%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.80%E -2.85%K -11.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 16:54
Neds🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.32%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.80%E -2.85%K -11.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 16:54
LeoVegas🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.32%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -8.14%E -6.41%K -30.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-11 17:00
NetBet (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.32%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -8.14%E -6.41%K -30.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-11 16:58
Bet Victor🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.97%E -4.59%K -19.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-11 16:58
Betclic (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -8.14%E -6.41%K -30.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-11 16:33
Unibet (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -2.35%E -1.74%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-11 17:00
Bet Right🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.07%E -2.29%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 16:59
PMU (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -7.41%E -5.79%K -26.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-11 16:59
ReBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.35%E -1.74%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 17:00
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -14.23%E -4.59%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV +1.27%E +0.905%K +3.17%G +0.040%3.7%2026-10-11 17:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 31.58%EV -17.28%E -5.78%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.42%EV -0.180%E -0.130%K -0.472%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 16:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%0.2%2026-10-11 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%0.2%2026-10-11 17:00
Novig◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-10-11 17:00
ProphetX◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-10-11 16:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-10-11 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-10-11 16:59
Polymarket◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%1.1%2026-10-11 16:55
Kalshi◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%1.1%2026-10-11 16:54
Smarkets◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87%2.4%2026-10-11 16:59
BetOpenly◎3.64I 27.47%NM 26.17%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.83%5.0%2026-10-11 16:59