The School of Odds

Seattle Seahawks v New England Patriots

2026-09-10 00:15 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Seattle Seahawks (Local)

Prediction 64.25%1.56fair odd
EV -0.411%
Edge -0.265%
Kelly -0.748%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.96%64.31%64.16%67.13%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.321.471.481.5576%68%68%65%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

New England Patriots (Visit)

Prediction 35.75%2.80fair odd
EV +3.67%
Edge +1.27%
Kelly +1.93%
Growth +0.071%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.87%35.69%35.84%39.04%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.402.702.652.9042%37%38%34%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.76%E -6.17%K -20.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +3.67%E +1.27%K +1.93%G +0.071%4.9%2026-06-01 16:40
ATG (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.76%E -6.17%K -20.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +3.67%E +1.27%K +1.93%G +0.071%4.9%2026-06-01 16:40
Unibet (NL)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.76%E -6.17%K -20.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +3.67%E +1.27%K +1.93%G +0.071%4.9%2026-06-01 16:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.76%E -6.17%K -20.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +3.67%E +1.27%K +1.93%G +0.071%4.9%2026-06-01 16:39
Unibet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.76%E -6.17%K -20.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +3.67%E +1.27%K +1.93%G +0.071%4.9%2026-06-01 16:40
Bally Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.76%E -6.17%K -20.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +3.67%E +1.27%K +1.93%G +0.071%4.9%2026-06-01 16:39
betPARX1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.76%E -6.17%K -20.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +3.67%E +1.27%K +1.93%G +0.071%4.9%2026-06-01 16:39
Svenska Spel1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.76%E -6.17%K -20.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +3.67%E +1.27%K +1.93%G +0.071%4.9%2026-06-01 16:39
BetRivers1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.76%E -6.17%K -20.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +1.89%E +0.661%K +1.02%G +0.019%5.5%2026-06-01 16:39
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -6.84%E -4.71%K -15.19%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV +1.53%E +0.538%K +0.830%G +0.013%4.2%2026-07-22 00:20
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -7.48%E -5.19%K -17.00%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV +0.455%E +0.162%K +0.251%G +0.001%5.0%2026-07-22 00:20
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 65.19%EV -4.27%E -2.86%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.81%EV -0.260%E -0.093%K -0.145%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-23 00:30
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.91%E -3.32%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.69%E -0.614%K -0.966%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-24 08:00
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.91%E -3.32%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.69%E -0.614%K -0.966%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-25 17:55
Hard Rock Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.91%E -3.32%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.69%E -0.614%K -0.966%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-22 08:35
TAB1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.84%E -4.71%K -15.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.69%E -0.614%K -0.966%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 05:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.48%E -5.19%K -17.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.69%E -0.614%K -0.966%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 00:20
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.48%E -5.19%K -17.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.69%E -0.614%K -0.966%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 00:19
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.48%E -5.19%K -17.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.69%E -0.614%K -0.966%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-15 06:10
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.62%E -2.42%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.48%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-22 00:20
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.84%E -4.71%K -15.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.48%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-22 00:20
ReBet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -4.27%E -2.86%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -4.91%E -1.84%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 00:25
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -1.70%E -1.11%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -5.26%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-17 16:59
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -1.70%E -1.11%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -5.26%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-17 16:59
GTbets1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -2.98%E -1.97%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.26%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-26 18:09
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.62%E -2.42%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.26%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 04:45
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.62%E -2.42%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.26%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 04:39
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.62%E -2.42%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.26%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-24 08:49
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.91%E -3.32%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.26%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 00:20
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.91%E -3.32%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.26%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 17:55
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.91%E -3.32%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.26%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 00:24
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.84%E -4.71%K -15.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.26%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-22 00:25
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -2.98%E -1.97%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -5.62%E -2.13%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-24 20:50
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -1.70%E -1.11%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -5.98%E -2.27%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-17 16:59
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -5.55%E -3.78%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -5.98%E -2.27%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-24 20:50
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.62%E -2.42%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.34%E -2.42%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 04:43
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.62%E -2.42%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.34%E -2.42%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 04:39
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -6.84%E -4.71%K -15.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -6.34%E -2.42%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-24 20:50
betano_uk1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -6.84%E -4.71%K -15.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -6.34%E -2.42%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-24 20:50
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.62%E -2.42%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 04:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.62%E -2.42%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 04:44
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.62%E -2.42%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 02:10
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -6.84%E -4.71%K -15.19%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.07%EV -8.12%E -3.16%K -5.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:25
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -6.84%E -4.71%K -15.19%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.07%EV -8.12%E -3.16%K -5.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:24
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -7.48%E -5.19%K -17.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -8.84%E -3.47%K -5.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-23 10:19
MyBookie.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -3.62%E -2.42%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -9.20%E -3.62%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-23 21:20
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV -0.411%E -0.265%K -0.748%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -13.49%E -5.57%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 18:57
NetBet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 64.52%EV -15.19%E -11.51%K -47.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.48%EV -14.20%E -5.92%K -10.14%G +0.000%17.4%2026-07-25 05:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.8%2026-07-25 16:40
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 63.66%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.34%8.3%2026-07-22 00:25
Arbitrage (34 combinations) +1.01%Marathon Bet 1.55 (65.2%) / Unibet (SE) 2.90 (34.8%)Show all 34 combinations
Seattle Seahawks (Local)New England Patriots (Visit)Margin
Marathon Bet 1.55 (65.2%)Unibet (SE) 2.90 (34.8%)+1.01%
Marathon Bet 1.55 (65.2%)ATG (SE) 2.90 (34.8%)+1.01%
Marathon Bet 1.55 (65.2%)Unibet (NL) 2.90 (34.8%)+1.01%
Marathon Bet 1.55 (65.2%)LeoVegas (SE) 2.90 (34.8%)+1.01%
Marathon Bet 1.55 (65.2%)Unibet 2.90 (34.8%)+1.01%
Marathon Bet 1.55 (65.2%)Bally Bet 2.90 (34.8%)+1.01%
Marathon Bet 1.55 (65.2%)betPARX 2.90 (34.8%)+1.01%
Marathon Bet 1.55 (65.2%)Svenska Spel 2.90 (34.8%)+1.01%
Marathon Bet 1.55 (64.8%)BetRivers 2.85 (35.2%)+0.398%
Marathon Bet 1.55 (64.7%)FanDuel 2.84 (35.3%)+0.273%
LowVig.ag 1.53 (65.5%)Unibet (SE) 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
LowVig.ag 1.53 (65.5%)ATG (SE) 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
LowVig.ag 1.53 (65.5%)Unibet (NL) 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
LowVig.ag 1.53 (65.5%)LeoVegas (SE) 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
LowVig.ag 1.53 (65.5%)Unibet 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
LowVig.ag 1.53 (65.5%)Bally Bet 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
LowVig.ag 1.53 (65.5%)betPARX 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
LowVig.ag 1.53 (65.5%)Svenska Spel 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
BetOnline.ag 1.53 (65.5%)Unibet (SE) 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
BetOnline.ag 1.53 (65.5%)ATG (SE) 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
BetOnline.ag 1.53 (65.5%)Unibet (NL) 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
BetOnline.ag 1.53 (65.5%)LeoVegas (SE) 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
BetOnline.ag 1.53 (65.5%)Unibet 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
BetOnline.ag 1.53 (65.5%)Bally Bet 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
BetOnline.ag 1.53 (65.5%)betPARX 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
BetOnline.ag 1.53 (65.5%)Svenska Spel 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
BetUS 1.53 (65.5%)Unibet (SE) 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
BetUS 1.53 (65.5%)ATG (SE) 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
BetUS 1.53 (65.5%)Unibet (NL) 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
BetUS 1.53 (65.5%)LeoVegas (SE) 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
BetUS 1.53 (65.5%)Unibet 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
BetUS 1.53 (65.5%)Bally Bet 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
BetUS 1.53 (65.5%)betPARX 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
BetUS 1.53 (65.5%)Svenska Spel 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%