Language:English
Seattle Seahawks v New England Patriots
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Seattle Seahawks (Local)
Prediction 61.38%1.63fair odd
EV -2.40%
Edge -1.51%
Kelly -4.07%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.35%61.51%61.46%65.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.551.561.5971.43%64.68%64.10%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New England Patriots (Visit)
Prediction 38.62%2.59fair odd
EV +6.20%
Edge +2.25%
Kelly +3.54%
Growth +0.219%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.37%38.49%38.54%39.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.482.502.7544.44%40.40%40.00%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Seahawks (Local): 61.38%; New England Patriots (Visit): 38.62%. For New England Patriots (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.59. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.20%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -11.61%E -8.06%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +6.20%E +2.25%K +3.54%G +0.219% | 5.8% | 2026-06-10 07:08 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -3.01%E -1.91%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -0.368%E -0.143%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -4.24%E -2.72%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -1.14%E -0.446%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-09 17:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -3.63%E -2.31%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -1.53%E -0.599%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-08 13:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.24%E -2.72%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.53%E -0.599%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-09 09:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.24%E -2.72%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.53%E -0.599%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-09 09:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.24%E -2.72%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.53%E -0.599%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-09 11:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.24%E -2.72%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.53%E -0.599%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-09 10:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.56%EV -3.01%E -1.91%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.44%EV -2.30%E -0.909%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.63%E -2.31%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.30%E -0.909%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.63%E -2.31%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.30%E -0.909%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -4.24%E -2.72%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -2.69%E -1.07%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.52%EV -3.63%E -2.31%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.48%EV -3.07%E -1.22%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-09 15:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.63%E -2.31%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.46%E -1.38%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-09 15:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.63%E -2.31%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.46%E -1.38%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.24%E -2.72%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.46%E -1.38%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.24%E -2.72%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.46%E -1.38%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 09:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.24%E -2.72%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.46%E -1.38%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 15:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.24%E -2.72%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.46%E -1.38%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 10:03 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.86%E -3.13%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.46%E -1.38%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-09 09:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.86%E -3.13%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.46%E -1.38%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-09 09:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.86%E -3.13%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.46%E -1.38%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-09 09:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.86%E -3.13%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.46%E -1.38%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.47%E -3.55%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.46%E -1.38%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 09:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.08%E -3.98%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.46%E -1.38%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 16:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.08%E -3.98%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.46%E -1.38%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 16:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.08%E -3.98%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.46%E -1.38%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 14:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.08%E -3.98%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.46%E -1.38%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.08%E -3.98%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.46%E -1.38%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 13:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.08%E -3.98%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.46%E -1.38%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.08%E -3.98%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.46%E -1.38%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 14:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.63%E -2.31%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -4.23%E -1.71%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.63%E -2.31%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -4.23%E -1.71%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.40%E -1.51%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -5.39%E -2.20%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-09 14:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.01%E -1.91%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -5.39%E -2.20%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.63%E -2.31%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.39%E -2.20%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-09 14:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.63%E -2.31%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.39%E -2.20%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.24%E -2.72%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.39%E -2.20%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.86%E -3.13%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.39%E -2.20%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 13:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.86%E -3.13%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.39%E -2.20%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 17:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.86%E -3.13%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.39%E -2.20%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 17:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.70%E -4.41%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.39%E -2.20%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 16:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.93%E -5.28%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.39%E -2.20%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.99%EV -8.54%E -5.73%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.01%EV -6.16%E -2.54%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.99%EV -8.54%E -5.73%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.01%EV -6.16%E -2.54%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -2.40%E -1.51%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -6.55%E -2.71%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV -4.86%E -3.13%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -6.55%E -2.71%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV -4.86%E -3.13%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -6.55%E -2.71%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 16:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.63%E -2.31%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.32%E -3.05%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.63%E -2.31%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.32%E -3.05%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 17:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.63%E -2.31%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.32%E -3.05%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.63%E -2.31%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.32%E -3.05%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.24%E -2.72%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.32%E -3.05%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.86%E -3.13%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.32%E -3.05%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 20:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.08%E -3.98%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.32%E -3.05%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 17:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.93%E -5.28%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.32%E -3.05%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-08 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.93%E -5.28%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.32%E -3.05%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-08 13:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -9.15%E -6.18%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -9.25%E -3.94%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-08 21:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.64%EV -14.06%E -10.05%K -35.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.36%EV -13.11%E -5.83%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-09-09 09:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 0.4% | 2026-09-09 13:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 0.5% | 2026-09-09 17:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-09-09 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-09-09 04:39 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-09-09 05:20 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46% | 1.6% | 2026-09-09 17:14 |