La escuela de los momios

Seattle Seahawks v New England Patriots

2026-09-10 00:15 UTC — NFL

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Seattle Seahawks (Local)

Predicción 64.25%1.56momio equitativo
EV -0.411%
Ventaja -0.265%
Kelly -0.748%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.96%64.31%64.16%67.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.321.471.481.5575.76%68.19%67.80%64.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

New England Patriots (Visitante)

Predicción 35.75%2.80momio equitativo
EV +3.67%
Ventaja +1.27%
Kelly +1.93%
Crecimiento +0.071%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.87%35.69%35.84%39.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.702.652.9041.67%37.06%37.74%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.76%E -6.17%K -20.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +3.67%E +1.27%K +1.93%G +0.071%4.9%2026-06-01 16:40
ATG (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.76%E -6.17%K -20.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +3.67%E +1.27%K +1.93%G +0.071%4.9%2026-06-01 16:40
Unibet (NL)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.76%E -6.17%K -20.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +3.67%E +1.27%K +1.93%G +0.071%4.9%2026-06-01 16:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.76%E -6.17%K -20.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +3.67%E +1.27%K +1.93%G +0.071%4.9%2026-06-01 16:39
Unibet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.76%E -6.17%K -20.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +3.67%E +1.27%K +1.93%G +0.071%4.9%2026-06-01 16:40
Bally Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.76%E -6.17%K -20.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +3.67%E +1.27%K +1.93%G +0.071%4.9%2026-06-01 16:39
betPARX1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.76%E -6.17%K -20.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +3.67%E +1.27%K +1.93%G +0.071%4.9%2026-06-01 16:39
Svenska Spel1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.76%E -6.17%K -20.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +3.67%E +1.27%K +1.93%G +0.071%4.9%2026-06-01 16:39
BetRivers1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.76%E -6.17%K -20.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +1.89%E +0.661%K +1.02%G +0.019%5.5%2026-06-01 16:39
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -6.84%E -4.71%K -15.19%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV +1.53%E +0.538%K +0.830%G +0.013%4.2%2026-07-22 00:20
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -7.48%E -5.19%K -17.00%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV +0.455%E +0.162%K +0.251%G +0.001%5.0%2026-07-22 00:20
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 65.19%EV -4.27%E -2.86%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.81%EV -0.260%E -0.093%K -0.145%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-23 00:30
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.91%E -3.32%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.69%E -0.614%K -0.966%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-24 08:00
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.91%E -3.32%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.69%E -0.614%K -0.966%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-25 17:55
Hard Rock Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.91%E -3.32%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.69%E -0.614%K -0.966%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-22 08:35
TAB1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.84%E -4.71%K -15.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.69%E -0.614%K -0.966%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 05:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.48%E -5.19%K -17.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.69%E -0.614%K -0.966%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 00:20
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.48%E -5.19%K -17.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.69%E -0.614%K -0.966%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 00:19
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.48%E -5.19%K -17.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.69%E -0.614%K -0.966%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-15 06:10
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.62%E -2.42%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.48%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-22 00:20
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.84%E -4.71%K -15.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.48%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-22 00:20
ReBet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -4.27%E -2.86%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -4.91%E -1.84%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 00:25
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -1.70%E -1.11%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -5.26%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-17 16:59
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -1.70%E -1.11%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -5.26%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-17 16:59
GTbets1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -2.98%E -1.97%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.26%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-26 18:09
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.62%E -2.42%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.26%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 04:45
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.62%E -2.42%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.26%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 04:39
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.62%E -2.42%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.26%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-24 08:49
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.91%E -3.32%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.26%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 00:20
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.91%E -3.32%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.26%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 01:55
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.91%E -3.32%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.26%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 00:24
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.84%E -4.71%K -15.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.26%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-22 00:25
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -2.98%E -1.97%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -5.62%E -2.13%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-24 20:50
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -1.70%E -1.11%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -5.98%E -2.27%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-17 16:59
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -5.55%E -3.78%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -5.98%E -2.27%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-24 20:50
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.62%E -2.42%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.34%E -2.42%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 04:43
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.62%E -2.42%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.34%E -2.42%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 04:39
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -6.84%E -4.71%K -15.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -6.34%E -2.42%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-24 20:50
betano_uk1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -6.84%E -4.71%K -15.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -6.34%E -2.42%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-24 20:50
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.62%E -2.42%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 04:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.62%E -2.42%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 04:44
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.62%E -2.42%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 02:10
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -6.84%E -4.71%K -15.19%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.07%EV -8.12%E -3.16%K -5.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:25
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -6.84%E -4.71%K -15.19%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.07%EV -8.12%E -3.16%K -5.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 00:24
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -7.48%E -5.19%K -17.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -8.84%E -3.47%K -5.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-23 10:19
MyBookie.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -3.62%E -2.42%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -9.20%E -3.62%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-23 21:20
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV -0.411%E -0.265%K -0.748%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -13.49%E -5.57%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 18:57
NetBet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 64.52%EV -15.19%E -11.51%K -47.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.48%EV -14.20%E -5.92%K -10.14%G +0.000%17.4%2026-07-25 05:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (2)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%2.8%2026-07-26 02:00
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 63.66%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.34%8.3%2026-07-22 00:25
Arbitraje (34 combinaciones) +1.01%Marathon Bet 1.55 (65.2%) / Unibet (SE) 2.90 (34.8%)Ver las 34 combinaciones
Seattle Seahawks (Local)New England Patriots (Visitante)Margen
Marathon Bet 1.55 (65.2%)Unibet (SE) 2.90 (34.8%)+1.01%
Marathon Bet 1.55 (65.2%)ATG (SE) 2.90 (34.8%)+1.01%
Marathon Bet 1.55 (65.2%)Unibet (NL) 2.90 (34.8%)+1.01%
Marathon Bet 1.55 (65.2%)LeoVegas (SE) 2.90 (34.8%)+1.01%
Marathon Bet 1.55 (65.2%)Unibet 2.90 (34.8%)+1.01%
Marathon Bet 1.55 (65.2%)Bally Bet 2.90 (34.8%)+1.01%
Marathon Bet 1.55 (65.2%)betPARX 2.90 (34.8%)+1.01%
Marathon Bet 1.55 (65.2%)Svenska Spel 2.90 (34.8%)+1.01%
Marathon Bet 1.55 (64.8%)BetRivers 2.85 (35.2%)+0.398%
Marathon Bet 1.55 (64.7%)FanDuel 2.84 (35.3%)+0.273%
LowVig.ag 1.53 (65.5%)Unibet (SE) 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
LowVig.ag 1.53 (65.5%)ATG (SE) 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
LowVig.ag 1.53 (65.5%)Unibet (NL) 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
LowVig.ag 1.53 (65.5%)LeoVegas (SE) 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
LowVig.ag 1.53 (65.5%)Unibet 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
LowVig.ag 1.53 (65.5%)Bally Bet 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
LowVig.ag 1.53 (65.5%)betPARX 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
LowVig.ag 1.53 (65.5%)Svenska Spel 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
BetOnline.ag 1.53 (65.5%)Unibet (SE) 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
BetOnline.ag 1.53 (65.5%)ATG (SE) 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
BetOnline.ag 1.53 (65.5%)Unibet (NL) 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
BetOnline.ag 1.53 (65.5%)LeoVegas (SE) 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
BetOnline.ag 1.53 (65.5%)Unibet 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
BetOnline.ag 1.53 (65.5%)Bally Bet 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
BetOnline.ag 1.53 (65.5%)betPARX 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
BetOnline.ag 1.53 (65.5%)Svenska Spel 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
BetUS 1.53 (65.5%)Unibet (SE) 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
BetUS 1.53 (65.5%)ATG (SE) 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
BetUS 1.53 (65.5%)Unibet (NL) 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
BetUS 1.53 (65.5%)LeoVegas (SE) 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
BetUS 1.53 (65.5%)Unibet 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
BetUS 1.53 (65.5%)Bally Bet 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
BetUS 1.53 (65.5%)betPARX 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%
BetUS 1.53 (65.5%)Svenska Spel 2.90 (34.5%)+0.158%