Idioma:Español
San Francisco 49ers v Washington Commanders
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
San Francisco 49ers (Local)
Predicción 75.98%1.32momio equitativo
EV -1.23%
Ventaja -0.947%
Kelly -4.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
73.47%76.03%76.15%77.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.121.251.251.3089.29%79.71%80.00%76.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Washington Commanders (Visitante)
Predicción 24.02%4.16momio equitativo
EV +3.30%
Ventaja +0.768%
Kelly +1.00%
Crecimiento +0.033%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.51%23.97%23.85%26.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.603.953.904.3027.78%25.30%25.64%23.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: San Francisco 49ers (Local): 75.98%; Washington Commanders (Visitante): 24.02%. Para Washington Commanders (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.16. 13 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.30, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.30%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%EV -5.03%E -4.02%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%EV +3.30%E +0.768%K +1.00%G +0.033% | 3.3% | 2026-10-19 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%EV -5.03%E -4.02%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%EV +3.30%E +0.768%K +1.00%G +0.033% | 3.3% | 2026-10-19 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%EV -5.03%E -4.02%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%EV +3.30%E +0.768%K +1.00%G +0.033% | 3.3% | 2026-10-19 17:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%EV -5.03%E -4.02%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%EV +3.30%E +0.768%K +1.00%G +0.033% | 3.3% | 2026-10-19 17:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64%EV -2.75%E -2.15%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36%EV +0.902%E +0.215%K +0.282%G +0.003% | 1.9% | 2026-10-20 00:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.79%E -4.67%K -24.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +0.902%E +0.215%K +0.282%G +0.003% | 4.5% | 2026-10-20 00:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.79%E -4.67%K -24.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +0.902%E +0.215%K +0.282%G +0.003% | 4.5% | 2026-10-19 17:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.79%E -4.67%K -24.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +0.902%E +0.215%K +0.282%G +0.003% | 4.5% | 2026-10-19 17:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.79%E -4.67%K -24.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +0.902%E +0.215%K +0.282%G +0.003% | 4.5% | 2026-10-19 17:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.31%E -5.99%K -33.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.902%E +0.215%K +0.282%G +0.003% | 5.8% | 2026-10-19 15:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.31%E -5.99%K -33.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.902%E +0.215%K +0.282%G +0.003% | 5.8% | 2026-10-19 15:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.31%E -5.99%K -33.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.902%E +0.215%K +0.282%G +0.003% | 5.8% | 2026-10-19 15:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.31%E -5.99%K -33.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.902%E +0.215%K +0.282%G +0.003% | 5.8% | 2026-10-19 15:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.27%E -3.39%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -1.50%E -0.366%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-20 00:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.79%E -4.67%K -24.12%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.50%E -0.366%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-20 00:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.55%E -5.33%K -28.48%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -1.50%E -0.366%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-19 15:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.31%E -5.99%K -33.23%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -1.50%E -0.366%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-20 00:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.31%E -5.99%K -33.23%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -1.50%E -0.366%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-19 15:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.45%EV -4.27%E -3.39%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.55%EV -1.74%E -0.426%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-19 23:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -4.27%E -3.39%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -2.70%E -0.667%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-19 23:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.03%E -4.02%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.90%E -0.976%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-19 23:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.03%E -4.02%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.90%E -0.976%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-20 00:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.03%E -4.02%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.90%E -0.976%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-19 22:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.03%E -4.02%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.90%E -0.976%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-20 00:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.03%E -4.02%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.90%E -0.976%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-19 23:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.03%E -4.02%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.90%E -0.976%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-20 00:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.15%EV -5.03%E -4.02%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.85%EV -4.14%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-20 00:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.15%EV -5.03%E -4.02%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.85%EV -4.14%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-20 00:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.62%EV -2.75%E -2.15%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.38%EV -4.62%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-20 00:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -2.75%E -2.15%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-20 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -2.75%E -2.15%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-20 00:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.51%E -2.76%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-20 00:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.51%E -2.76%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-19 23:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.79%E -4.67%K -24.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-20 00:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%EV -1.23%E -0.947%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%EV -7.51%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-20 00:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -2.75%E -2.15%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -7.51%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-20 00:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -2.75%E -2.15%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -7.51%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-20 00:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -2.75%E -2.15%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -7.51%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-20 00:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -2.75%E -2.15%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -7.51%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-20 00:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -1.99%E -1.54%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-20 00:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.75%E -2.15%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-20 00:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.75%E -2.15%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-20 00:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.51%E -2.76%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-19 23:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.51%E -2.76%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-20 00:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.03%E -4.02%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-19 23:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.03%E -4.02%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-20 00:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -1.99%E -1.54%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-20 00:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -1.99%E -1.54%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-19 23:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.03%E -4.02%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-20 00:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.03%E -4.02%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-20 00:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -10.35%E -8.77%K -57.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-20 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.75%E -2.15%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-20 00:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.75%E -2.15%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-20 00:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.75%E -2.15%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-20 00:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.51%E -2.76%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-20 00:15 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.51%E -2.76%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-20 00:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -7.31%E -5.99%K -33.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-20 00:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 76.76%EV -14.91%E -13.31%K -124.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.24%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-10-19 17:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -1.23%E -0.947%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -13.51%E -3.75%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-20 00:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 76.09% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.91% | 0.3% | 2026-10-20 00:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.58% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 23.42% | 0.5% | 2026-10-20 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-10-20 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-10-20 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-10-19 23:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-10-20 00:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77% | 0.9% | 2026-10-19 22:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77% | 0.9% | 2026-10-19 22:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.21% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79% | 2.5% | 2026-10-20 00:15 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80% | 4.7% | 2026-10-19 23:50 |