StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

San Francisco 49ers v Washington Commanders

Spielbeginn: 2026-10-20 00:16 UTC

Endstand: San Francisco 49ers 23–17 Washington Commanders

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

59 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

San Francisco 49ers (Heim)

Prognose 75.98%1.32faire Quote
EV -1.23%
Vorteil -0.947%
Kelly -4.10%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.30

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
73.47%76.03%76.15%77.49%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.121.251.251.3089.29%79.71%80.00%76.92%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Washington Commanders (Auswärts)

Prognose 24.02%4.16faire Quote
EV +3.30%
Vorteil +0.768%
Kelly +1.00%
Wachstum +0.033%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.30

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.51%23.97%23.85%26.53%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.603.953.904.3027.78%25.30%25.64%23.26%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: San Francisco 49ers (Heim): 75.98%; Washington Commanders (Auswärts): 24.02%. Für Washington Commanders (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.16. 13 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 4.30 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +3.30%.

Wettanbieterquoten (59 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Unibet (NL)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%EV -5.03%E -4.02%K -20.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%EV +3.30%E +0.768%K +1.00%G +0.033%3.3%2026-10-19 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%EV -5.03%E -4.02%K -20.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%EV +3.30%E +0.768%K +1.00%G +0.033%3.3%2026-10-19 17:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%EV -5.03%E -4.02%K -20.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%EV +3.30%E +0.768%K +1.00%G +0.033%3.3%2026-10-19 17:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%EV -5.03%E -4.02%K -20.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%EV +3.30%E +0.768%K +1.00%G +0.033%3.3%2026-10-19 17:00
Coolbet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64%EV -2.75%E -2.15%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36%EV +0.902%E +0.215%K +0.282%G +0.003%1.9%2026-10-20 00:15
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.79%E -4.67%K -24.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +0.902%E +0.215%K +0.282%G +0.003%4.5%2026-10-20 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.79%E -4.67%K -24.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +0.902%E +0.215%K +0.282%G +0.003%4.5%2026-10-19 17:00
Unibet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.79%E -4.67%K -24.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +0.902%E +0.215%K +0.282%G +0.003%4.5%2026-10-19 17:05
Bally Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.79%E -4.67%K -24.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +0.902%E +0.215%K +0.282%G +0.003%4.5%2026-10-19 17:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.31%E -5.99%K -33.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.902%E +0.215%K +0.282%G +0.003%5.8%2026-10-19 15:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.31%E -5.99%K -33.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.902%E +0.215%K +0.282%G +0.003%5.8%2026-10-19 15:05
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.31%E -5.99%K -33.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.902%E +0.215%K +0.282%G +0.003%5.8%2026-10-19 15:05
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.31%E -5.99%K -33.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.902%E +0.215%K +0.282%G +0.003%5.8%2026-10-19 15:05
FanDuel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.27%E -3.39%K -16.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -1.50%E -0.366%K -0.484%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-20 00:05
SportsBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.79%E -4.67%K -24.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.50%E -0.366%K -0.484%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-20 00:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.55%E -5.33%K -28.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -1.50%E -0.366%K -0.484%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-19 15:10
BetRivers🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.31%E -5.99%K -33.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -1.50%E -0.366%K -0.484%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-20 00:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.31%E -5.99%K -33.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -1.50%E -0.366%K -0.484%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-19 15:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.45%EV -4.27%E -3.39%K -16.42%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.55%EV -1.74%E -0.426%K -0.563%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-19 23:55
Caesars🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -4.27%E -3.39%K -16.42%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -2.70%E -0.667%K -0.886%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-19 23:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.03%E -4.02%K -20.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.90%E -0.976%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-19 23:15
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.03%E -4.02%K -20.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.90%E -0.976%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-20 00:05
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.03%E -4.02%K -20.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.90%E -0.976%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-19 22:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.03%E -4.02%K -20.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.90%E -0.976%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-20 00:15
theScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.03%E -4.02%K -20.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.90%E -0.976%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-19 23:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.03%E -4.02%K -20.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.90%E -0.976%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-20 00:05
Betsson🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.15%EV -5.03%E -4.02%K -20.12%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.85%EV -4.14%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-20 00:15
NordicBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.15%EV -5.03%E -4.02%K -20.12%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.85%EV -4.14%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-20 00:15
Pinnacle🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.62%EV -2.75%E -2.15%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.38%EV -4.62%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-20 00:14
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -2.75%E -2.15%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-20 00:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -2.75%E -2.15%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-20 00:10
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.51%E -2.76%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-20 00:09
Fanatics🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.51%E -2.76%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-19 23:05
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.79%E -4.67%K -24.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-20 00:15
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%EV -1.23%E -0.947%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%EV -7.51%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-20 00:15
GTbets🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -2.75%E -2.15%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -7.51%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-20 00:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -2.75%E -2.15%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -7.51%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-20 00:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -2.75%E -2.15%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -7.51%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-20 00:15
BetUS🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -2.75%E -2.15%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -7.51%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-20 00:15
BetAnything🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -1.99%E -1.54%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-20 00:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.75%E -2.15%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-20 00:15
Bovada🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.75%E -2.15%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-20 00:15
TAB🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.51%E -2.76%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-19 23:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.51%E -2.76%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-20 00:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.03%E -4.02%K -20.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-19 23:50
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.03%E -4.02%K -20.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-20 00:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -1.99%E -1.54%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-20 00:15
Everygame🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -1.99%E -1.54%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-19 23:59
Fliff🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.03%E -4.02%K -20.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-20 00:15
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.03%E -4.02%K -20.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-20 00:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -10.35%E -8.77%K -57.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-20 00:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.75%E -2.15%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-20 00:05
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.75%E -2.15%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-20 00:09
Bet Right🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.75%E -2.15%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-20 00:04
ReBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.51%E -2.76%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-20 00:15
picklebet_au🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.51%E -2.76%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-20 00:15
betano_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -7.31%E -5.99%K -33.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-20 00:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 76.76%EV -14.91%E -13.31%K -124.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.24%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000%16.3%2026-10-19 17:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -1.23%E -0.947%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -13.51%E -3.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-20 00:14
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (10)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Novig◎1.31I 76.34%NM 76.09%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.91%0.3%2026-10-20 00:10
ProphetX◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.58%4.25I 23.53%NM 23.42%0.5%2026-10-20 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-10-20 00:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-10-20 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-10-19 23:40
Matchbook◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-10-20 00:05
Polymarket◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%0.9%2026-10-19 22:40
Kalshi◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%0.9%2026-10-19 22:30
Smarkets◎1.28I 78.13%NM 76.21%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79%2.5%2026-10-20 00:15
BetOpenly◎1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%4.7%2026-10-19 23:50