The School of Odds

New York Giants v Arizona Cardinals

2026-10-04 17:00 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

New York Giants (Local)

Prediction 72.22%1.38fair odd
EV -4.67%
Edge -3.54%
Kelly -14.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.12%72.22%72.22%73.32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.311.311.311.3276%76%76%76%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Arizona Cardinals (Visit)

Prediction 27.78%3.60fair odd
EV +0.016%
Edge +0.004%
Kelly +0.006%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.68%27.78%27.78%28.88%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.253.423.423.6031%29%29%28%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.39%E -4.12%K -17.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +0.016%E +0.004%K +0.006%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-24 14:20
Caesars1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -4.67%E -3.54%K -14.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -9.71%E -2.99%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 18:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.