Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Giants v Arizona Cardinals

Kickoff: 2026-10-04 17:02 UTC

Final: New York Giants 36–24 Arizona Cardinals

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Giants (Local)

Prediction 44.79%2.23fair odd
EV +2.13%
Edge +0.933%
Kelly +1.66%
Growth +0.035%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.00%44.88%44.68%47.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.132.152.2851.55%46.87%46.51%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arizona Cardinals (Visit)

Prediction 55.21%1.81fair odd
EV -1.18%
Edge -0.658%
Kelly -1.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.77%55.12%55.32%57.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.721.721.7964.52%58.10%58.14%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Giants (Local): 44.79%; Arizona Cardinals (Visit): 55.21%. For New York Giants (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.23. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.28, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.13%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV +2.13%E +0.933%K +1.66%G +0.035%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -5.04%E -2.93%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.0%2026-10-04 14:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.46%E -0.662%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.94%E -2.26%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-04 09:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.46%E -0.662%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.94%E -2.26%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-04 09:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.46%E -0.662%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.94%E -2.26%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-04 09:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.46%E -0.662%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.94%E -2.26%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-04 09:20
BetAnything🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.46%E -0.662%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.60%E -3.27%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-04 14:35
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.46%E -0.662%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.60%E -3.27%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-04 12:16
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.46%E -0.662%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.60%E -3.27%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-04 12:35
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.46%E -0.662%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.80%E -4.67%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 20:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -1.90%E -0.870%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -5.04%E -2.93%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-04 15:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -1.90%E -0.870%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -5.04%E -2.93%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-04 15:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.35%E -1.08%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.04%E -2.93%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-04 09:19
ReBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -3.25%E -1.50%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -2.83%E -1.61%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-04 16:59
Caesars🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.25%E -1.50%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.49%E -2.60%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-30 20:28
MyBookie.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.25%E -1.50%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.49%E -2.60%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-04 16:24
Unibet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -3.25%E -1.50%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -5.04%E -2.93%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 09:20
BetRivers🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -3.25%E -1.50%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -5.04%E -2.93%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 09:20
Bally Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -3.25%E -1.50%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -5.04%E -2.93%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 09:19
betPARX🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -3.25%E -1.50%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -5.04%E -2.93%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 09:19
Pinnacle🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.18%E -0.658%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.4%2026-10-04 17:00
GTbets🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.94%E -2.26%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-04 17:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.94%E -2.26%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-04 17:00
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.94%E -2.26%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-04 16:58
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.49%E -2.60%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-04 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.49%E -2.60%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-04 16:55
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.04%E -2.93%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.60%E -3.27%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 11:30
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.60%E -3.27%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 16:55
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.60%E -3.27%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-03 16:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 09:10
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 00:50
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 22:00
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 22:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 22:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 22:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 17:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.62%EV -5.49%E -2.60%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.38%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-04 16:20
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.94%E -2.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.28%E -1.29%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-04 17:00
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.94%E -2.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.28%E -1.29%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-04 16:50
Dabble (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.94%E -2.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.28%E -1.29%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-04 17:00
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.94%E -2.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.28%E -1.29%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-04 16:50
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.94%E -2.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.83%E -1.61%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 16:50
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.94%E -2.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.39%E -1.94%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-04 16:50
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.94%E -2.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.39%E -1.94%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-04 16:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.94%E -2.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.39%E -1.94%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-04 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.94%E -2.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.39%E -1.94%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-04 16:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.94%E -2.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.04%E -2.93%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-04 16:30
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.94%E -2.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-04 15:54
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.94%E -2.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-04 15:54
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.94%E -2.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.80%E -4.67%K -11.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-04 17:00
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.83%E -3.28%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.04%E -2.93%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-04 17:00
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.18%E -3.99%K -7.79%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.60%E -3.27%K -7.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-04 17:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.18%E -3.99%K -7.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.70%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-04 16:34
NetBet (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.96%EV -9.52%E -4.71%K -9.33%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.04%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-04 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -10.41%E -5.21%K -10.41%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -1.18%E -0.658%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-04 16:59
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -12.65%E -6.49%K -13.32%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -3.94%E -2.26%K -5.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-04 17:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 44.41%EV -13.10%E -6.75%K -13.94%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 55.59%EV -14.43%E -9.31%K -26.23%G +0.000%16.1%2026-10-04 09:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎2.23I 44.84%NM 44.80%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.20%0.1%2026-10-04 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%0.3%2026-10-04 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%0.3%2026-10-04 16:50
Matchbook◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-10-04 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-10-04 17:00
Novig◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-10-04 17:00
Polymarket◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-10-04 04:59
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-10-04 17:00
BetOpenly◎2.23I 44.84%NM 44.25%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.75%1.3%2026-10-04 16:46
Smarkets◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%1.4%2026-10-04 17:00