Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Giants v Arizona Cardinals

Inicio: 2026-10-04 17:02 UTC

Final: New York Giants 36–24 Arizona Cardinals

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Giants (Local)

Predicción 44.79%2.23momio equitativo
EV +2.13%
Ventaja +0.933%
Kelly +1.66%
Crecimiento +0.035%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.00%44.88%44.68%47.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.942.132.152.2851.55%46.87%46.51%43.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Arizona Cardinals (Visitante)

Predicción 55.21%1.81momio equitativo
EV -1.18%
Ventaja -0.658%
Kelly -1.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.79

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.77%55.12%55.32%57.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.551.721.721.7964.52%58.10%58.14%55.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: New York Giants (Local): 44.79%; Arizona Cardinals (Visitante): 55.21%. Para New York Giants (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.23. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.28, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.13%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Coolbet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV +2.13%E +0.933%K +1.66%G +0.035%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -5.04%E -2.93%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.0%2026-10-04 14:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.46%E -0.662%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.94%E -2.26%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-04 09:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.46%E -0.662%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.94%E -2.26%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-04 09:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.46%E -0.662%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.94%E -2.26%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-04 09:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.46%E -0.662%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.94%E -2.26%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-04 09:20
BetAnything🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.46%E -0.662%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.60%E -3.27%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-04 14:35
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.46%E -0.662%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.60%E -3.27%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-04 12:16
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.46%E -0.662%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.60%E -3.27%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-04 12:35
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.46%E -0.662%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.80%E -4.67%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 20:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -1.90%E -0.870%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -5.04%E -2.93%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-04 15:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -1.90%E -0.870%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -5.04%E -2.93%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-04 15:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.35%E -1.08%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.04%E -2.93%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-04 09:19
ReBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -3.25%E -1.50%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -2.83%E -1.61%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-04 16:59
Caesars🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.25%E -1.50%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.49%E -2.60%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-30 20:28
MyBookie.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.25%E -1.50%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.49%E -2.60%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-04 16:24
Unibet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -3.25%E -1.50%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -5.04%E -2.93%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 09:20
BetRivers🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -3.25%E -1.50%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -5.04%E -2.93%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 09:20
Bally Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -3.25%E -1.50%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -5.04%E -2.93%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 09:19
betPARX🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -3.25%E -1.50%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -5.04%E -2.93%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 09:19
Pinnacle🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.18%E -0.658%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.4%2026-10-04 17:00
GTbets🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.94%E -2.26%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-04 17:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.94%E -2.26%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-04 17:00
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.94%E -2.26%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-04 16:58
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.49%E -2.60%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-04 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.49%E -2.60%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-04 16:55
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.04%E -2.93%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.60%E -3.27%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 11:30
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.60%E -3.27%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 16:55
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.60%E -3.27%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-03 16:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 09:10
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 00:50
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 22:00
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 22:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 22:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 22:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 17:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.62%EV -5.49%E -2.60%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.38%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-04 16:20
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.94%E -2.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.28%E -1.29%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-04 17:00
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.94%E -2.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.28%E -1.29%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-04 16:50
Dabble (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.94%E -2.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.28%E -1.29%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-04 17:00
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.94%E -2.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.28%E -1.29%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-04 16:50
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.94%E -2.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.83%E -1.61%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 16:50
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.94%E -2.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.39%E -1.94%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-04 16:50
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.94%E -2.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.39%E -1.94%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-04 16:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.94%E -2.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.39%E -1.94%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-04 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.94%E -2.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.39%E -1.94%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-04 16:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.94%E -2.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.04%E -2.93%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-04 16:30
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.94%E -2.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-04 15:54
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.94%E -2.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-04 15:54
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.94%E -2.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.80%E -4.67%K -11.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-04 17:00
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.83%E -3.28%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.04%E -2.93%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-04 17:00
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.18%E -3.99%K -7.79%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.60%E -3.27%K -7.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-04 17:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.18%E -3.99%K -7.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.70%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-04 16:34
NetBet (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.96%EV -9.52%E -4.71%K -9.33%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.04%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-04 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -10.41%E -5.21%K -10.41%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -1.18%E -0.658%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-04 16:59
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -12.65%E -6.49%K -13.32%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -3.94%E -2.26%K -5.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-04 17:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 44.41%EV -13.10%E -6.75%K -13.94%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 55.59%EV -14.43%E -9.31%K -26.23%G +0.000%16.1%2026-10-04 09:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX◎2.23I 44.84%NM 44.80%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.20%0.1%2026-10-04 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%0.3%2026-10-04 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%0.3%2026-10-04 16:50
Matchbook◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-10-04 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-10-04 17:00
Novig◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-10-04 17:00
Polymarket◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-10-04 04:59
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-10-04 17:00
BetOpenly◎2.23I 44.84%NM 44.25%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.75%1.3%2026-10-04 16:46
Smarkets◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%1.4%2026-10-04 17:00