The School of Odds

New Orleans Saints v Minnesota Vikings

2026-10-11 17:00 — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: New Orleans Saints (Local)

1.8055.56%Min
1.9052.63%Mean
1.9052.63%Median
2.0050.00%Max
47.78%2.093Min
52.00%1.923Max
49.89%2.004Mean
49.89%2.004Median
49.89%2.004IQM
49.55%2.018Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.00 under the IQM model: 49.89%

EV -0.219%Edge -0.110%Kelly -0.219%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Minnesota Vikings (Visit)

1.8354.64%Min
1.8952.91%Mean
1.8952.91%Median
1.9551.28%Max
48.00%2.083Min
52.22%1.915Max
50.11%1.996Mean
50.11%1.996Median
50.11%1.996IQM
50.45%1.982Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.95 under the IQM model: 50.11%

EV -2.29%Edge -1.17%Kelly -2.41%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerNew Orleans Saints (Local) ▼Minnesota Vikings (Visit)MarginUpdated
DraftKings2.00I 50.00% NM 47.78%EV -0.219% E -0.110% K -0.219% G +0.000%1.83I 54.64% NM 52.22%EV -8.30% E -4.54% K -10.00% G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 02:00
Caesars1.80I 55.56% NM 52.00%EV -10.20% E -5.67% K -12.75% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 48.00%EV -2.29% E -1.17% K -2.41% G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 21:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth