Language:English
New Orleans Saints v Minnesota Vikings
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New Orleans Saints (Local)
Prediction 44.64%2.24fair odd
EV +0.879%
Edge +0.389%
Kelly +0.698%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 2.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%44.74%44.65%46.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.132.152.2653.19%46.94%46.51%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Minnesota Vikings (Visit)
Prediction 55.36%1.81fair odd
EV -0.346%
Edge -0.192%
Kelly -0.433%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.25%55.26%55.35%56.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.721.731.8063.69%58.04%57.80%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New Orleans Saints (Local): 44.64%; Minnesota Vikings (Visit): 55.36%. For New Orleans Saints (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.26, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.879%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV +0.879%E +0.389%K +0.698%G +0.006% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -4.22%E -2.44%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-10-11 16:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.80%E -0.818%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.67%E -2.11%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-11 16:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.80%E -0.818%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.33%E -3.12%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-11 15:37 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.80%E -0.818%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.88%E -3.46%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-11 16:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.80%E -0.818%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.54%E -4.52%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-11 16:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.69%E -1.23%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.11%E -1.78%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-11 16:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.69%E -1.23%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.11%E -1.78%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-11 16:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.69%E -1.23%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.11%E -1.78%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-11 16:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.69%E -1.23%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.11%E -1.78%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-11 16:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.69%E -1.23%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.78%E -2.78%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-11 15:43 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.69%E -1.23%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.78%E -2.78%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -3.14%E -1.45%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -4.22%E -2.44%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-11 16:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -3.14%E -1.45%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -4.22%E -2.44%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-11 16:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.11%E -1.78%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-11 16:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.67%E -2.11%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.67%E -2.11%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-11 00:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.67%E -2.11%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-11 08:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.67%E -2.11%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-11 16:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.67%E -2.11%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-10 19:12 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.22%E -2.44%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-11 16:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.22%E -2.44%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-11 16:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.78%E -2.78%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-11 15:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.78%E -2.78%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-11 16:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.78%E -2.78%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-11 16:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.33%E -3.12%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-11 16:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.33%E -3.12%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-11 15:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.88%E -3.46%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-11 15:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.88%E -3.46%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-11 15:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.88%E -3.46%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.88%E -3.46%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.88%E -3.46%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.88%E -3.46%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.44%E -3.81%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-11 16:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.54%E -4.52%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-10 17:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.48%E -2.09%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.11%E -1.78%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-11 03:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -4.92%E -2.31%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -6.44%E -3.81%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-11 15:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -5.37%E -2.53%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -2.56%E -1.46%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.37%E -2.53%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.78%E -2.78%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-11 16:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.37%E -2.53%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.78%E -2.78%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-11 16:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.01%E -1.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-11 16:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.11%E -1.78%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-11 14:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.11%E -1.78%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-11 16:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.11%E -1.78%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-11 16:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.11%E -1.78%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-11 16:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.11%E -1.78%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-11 16:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.11%E -1.78%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-11 16:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.11%E -1.78%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-11 14:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.67%E -2.11%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 16:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.67%E -2.11%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.67%E -2.11%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 15:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.88%E -3.46%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-11 15:53 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.88%E -3.46%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-11 15:53 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -7.60%E -3.67%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -7.54%E -4.52%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-11 15:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -0.346%E -0.192%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.54%E -4.52%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-11 15:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.65%E -5.24%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-11 16:33 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -8.94%E -4.38%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -2.56%E -1.46%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-11 16:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.73%E -5.36%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.11%E -1.78%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 45.51%EV -16.08%E -8.55%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.49%EV -13.08%E -8.33%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-10-11 09:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.80% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.20% | 0.1% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.55% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.45% | 0.2% | 2026-10-11 15:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19% | 0.6% | 2026-10-11 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 0.8% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-10-11 01:45 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.39% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.61% | 1.5% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64% | 1.5% | 2026-10-11 16:54 |