Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New Orleans Saints v Minnesota Vikings

Início: 2026-10-11 17:03 UTC

Final: New Orleans Saints 13–23 Minnesota Vikings

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New Orleans Saints (Local)

Previsão 44.64%2.24odd justa
EV +0.879%
Vantagem +0.389%
Kelly +0.698%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.26

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.15%44.74%44.65%46.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.882.132.152.2653.19%46.94%46.51%44.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Minnesota Vikings (Visitante)

Previsão 55.36%1.81odd justa
EV -0.346%
Vantagem -0.192%
Kelly -0.433%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.25%55.26%55.35%56.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.571.721.731.8063.69%58.04%57.80%55.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: New Orleans Saints (Local): 44.64%; Minnesota Vikings (Visitante): 55.36%. Para New Orleans Saints (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.24. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.26, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.879%.

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV +0.879%E +0.389%K +0.698%G +0.006%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -4.22%E -2.44%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.1%2026-10-11 16:55
Pinnacle🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.80%E -0.818%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.67%E -2.11%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-11 16:50
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.80%E -0.818%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.33%E -3.12%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-11 15:37
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.80%E -0.818%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.88%E -3.46%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-11 16:15
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.80%E -0.818%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.54%E -4.52%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 16:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.69%E -1.23%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.11%E -1.78%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-11 16:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.69%E -1.23%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.11%E -1.78%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-11 16:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.69%E -1.23%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.11%E -1.78%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-11 16:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.69%E -1.23%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.11%E -1.78%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-11 16:05
MyBookie.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.69%E -1.23%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.78%E -2.78%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-11 15:43
BetAnything🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.69%E -1.23%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.78%E -2.78%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-11 17:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -3.14%E -1.45%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -4.22%E -2.44%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-11 16:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -3.14%E -1.45%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -4.22%E -2.44%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-11 16:29
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.11%E -1.78%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-11 16:49
GTbets🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.67%E -2.11%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-11 16:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.67%E -2.11%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-11 00:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.67%E -2.11%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-11 08:35
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.67%E -2.11%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-11 16:49
Everygame🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.67%E -2.11%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-10 19:12
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.22%E -2.44%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-11 16:50
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.22%E -2.44%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-11 16:50
Dabble (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.78%E -2.78%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-11 15:29
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.78%E -2.78%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-11 16:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.78%E -2.78%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-11 16:49
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.33%E -3.12%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 16:50
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.33%E -3.12%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 15:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.88%E -3.46%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 15:45
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.88%E -3.46%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 15:34
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.88%E -3.46%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 14:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.88%E -3.46%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 14:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.88%E -3.46%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 14:00
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.88%E -3.46%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 14:01
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.44%E -3.81%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-11 16:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.54%E -4.52%K -11.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 17:30
Caesars🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.48%E -2.09%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.11%E -1.78%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-11 03:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -4.92%E -2.31%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -6.44%E -3.81%K -9.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-11 15:39
FanDuel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -5.37%E -2.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -2.56%E -1.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-11 17:00
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.37%E -2.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.78%E -2.78%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 16:54
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.37%E -2.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.78%E -2.78%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 16:55
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.01%E -1.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-11 16:19
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.11%E -1.78%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-11 14:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.11%E -1.78%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-11 16:04
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.11%E -1.78%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-11 16:04
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.11%E -1.78%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-11 16:04
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.11%E -1.78%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-11 16:04
Bally Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.11%E -1.78%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-11 16:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.11%E -1.78%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-11 14:34
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.67%E -2.11%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-11 16:50
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.67%E -2.11%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-11 17:00
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.67%E -2.11%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-11 15:29
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.88%E -3.46%K -8.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-11 15:53
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.88%E -3.46%K -8.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-11 15:53
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -7.60%E -3.67%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -7.54%E -4.52%K -11.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-11 15:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -0.346%E -0.192%K -0.433%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-11 17:00
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.54%E -4.52%K -11.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-11 15:34
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.65%E -5.24%K -13.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-11 16:33
Marathon Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -8.94%E -4.38%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -2.56%E -1.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 16:04
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.73%E -5.36%K -10.73%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.11%E -1.78%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 17:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 45.51%EV -16.08%E -8.55%K -18.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 54.49%EV -13.08%E -8.33%K -22.95%G +0.000%16.9%2026-10-11 09:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎2.23I 44.84%NM 44.80%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.20%0.1%2026-10-11 16:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.55%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.45%0.2%2026-10-11 15:40
Matchbook◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-10-11 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-10-11 17:00
Novig◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19%0.6%2026-10-11 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-10-11 17:00
Kalshi◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-10-11 01:45
Polymarket◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-10-11 17:00
BetOpenly◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.39%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.61%1.5%2026-10-11 16:59
Smarkets◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%1.5%2026-10-11 16:54