New Orleans Saints v Atlanta Falcons

2026-10-06 00:15 — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: New Orleans Saints (Local)

Odds

1.7158.48%Min

1.7357.97%Mean

1.7357.97%Median

1.7457.47%Max

Consensus probabilities

55.12%1.814Min

55.15%1.813Max

55.14%1.814Mean

55.14%1.814Median

55.14%1.814IQM

55.14%1.814Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.74 under the IQM model: 55.14%

EV -4.06%Edge -2.33%Kelly -5.49%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Atlanta Falcons (Visit)

Odds

2.1047.62%Min

2.1247.17%Mean

2.1247.17%Median

2.1446.73%Max

Consensus probabilities

44.85%2.230Min

44.88%2.228Max

44.86%2.229Mean

44.86%2.229Median

44.86%2.229IQM

44.86%2.229Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.14 under the IQM model: 44.86%

EV -3.99%Edge -1.87%Kelly -3.50%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	New Orleans Saints (Local) ▼	Atlanta Falcons (Visit)	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	1.74I 57.47% NM 55.15%EV -4.06% E -2.33% K -5.49% G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73% NM 44.85%EV -3.99% E -1.87% K -3.50% G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-06-22 22:42
Bet Right	1.73I 57.80% NM 55.06%EV -4.61% E -2.67% K -6.32% G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17% NM 44.94%EV -4.89% E -2.31% K -4.37% G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-05-26 02:11
Caesars	1.71I 58.48% NM 55.12%EV -5.72% E -3.34% K -8.05% G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62% NM 44.88%EV -5.79% E -2.76% K -5.26% G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-05-15 22:38

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth