Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New Orleans Saints v Atlanta Falcons

Início: 2026-10-06 00:15 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New Orleans Saints (Local)

Previsão 52.13%1.92odd justa
EV -0.951%
Vantagem -0.500%
Kelly -1.06%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.05%52.12%52.12%53.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.641.831.831.9060.98%54.76%54.64%52.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Atlanta Falcons (Visitante)

Previsão 47.87%2.09odd justa
EV -1.87%
Vantagem -0.912%
Kelly -1.78%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.89%47.88%47.88%48.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.801.992.002.0555.56%50.29%50.00%48.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: New Orleans Saints (Local): 52.13%; Atlanta Falcons (Visitante): 47.87%. Para New Orleans Saints (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.92. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.90, com valor esperado de -0.951%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -0.951%E -0.500%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -3.30%E -1.64%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.1%2026-10-05 15:04
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.99%E -1.06%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.35%E -1.15%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.2%2026-10-05 14:25
SportsBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -2.51%E -1.34%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -5.70%E -2.89%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-05 13:30
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.51%E -1.34%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.66%E -3.41%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-05 10:55
FanDuel🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -3.04%E -1.63%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -5.22%E -2.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-05 13:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.56%E -1.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.35%E -1.15%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-05 15:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.56%E -1.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.35%E -1.15%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-05 15:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.56%E -1.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.35%E -1.15%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-05 15:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.56%E -1.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.35%E -1.15%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-05 15:10
ReBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -3.56%E -1.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -3.78%E -1.88%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-05 13:24
MyBookie.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -3.56%E -1.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -3.78%E -1.88%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-05 13:23
Dabble (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.56%E -1.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-05 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.56%E -1.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-05 14:00
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.56%E -1.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-05 13:24
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.56%E -1.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-05 13:58
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.56%E -1.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.70%E -2.89%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-05 15:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.56%E -1.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.70%E -2.89%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-05 15:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -4.08%E -2.22%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-05 13:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.30%E -1.64%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-05 15:10
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-05 12:49
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-05 12:45
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-05 11:45
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-05 15:10
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-05 15:10
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-05 15:15
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-05 15:15
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-05 15:15
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-05 10:59
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-05 13:25
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-05 12:01
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-05 11:01
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-05 12:49
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-05 12:48
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-05 13:20
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-05 11:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.22%E -2.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 15:04
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.22%E -2.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 12:49
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.22%E -2.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 13:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.22%E -2.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 13:25
Bet Right🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.70%E -2.89%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-05 15:15
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.57%E -4.49%K -9.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-05 13:23
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.60%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.57%E -4.49%K -9.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-05 13:20
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.12%E -2.81%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.22%E -2.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-05 13:25
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.12%E -2.81%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.22%E -2.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-05 13:25
Caesars🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -5.64%E -3.12%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -1.87%E -0.912%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-05 11:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.24%EV -5.64%E -3.12%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -5.22%E -2.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-05 15:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.64%E -3.12%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.70%E -2.89%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 13:25
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-05 11:44
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 09:20
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 09:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 09:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 09:20
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-05 14:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.66%E -3.41%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-05 13:34
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.66%E -3.41%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-05 12:55
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.66%E -3.41%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-05 12:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.73%E -4.37%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-04 16:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.47%EV -9.81%E -5.67%K -13.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.53%EV -8.57%E -4.49%K -9.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-05 15:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 52.33%EV -14.50%E -8.84%K -22.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 47.67%EV -13.84%E -7.69%K -17.30%G +0.000%16.5%2026-10-05 15:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%0.3%2026-10-05 15:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%0.3%2026-10-05 15:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%0.3%2026-10-05 15:15
Matchbook◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%0.3%2026-10-05 15:10
ProphetX◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-10-05 15:10
Novig◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-10-05 15:15
Polymarket◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-10-05 13:50
Smarkets◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-10-05 14:55
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-10-05 14:41
BetOpenly◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.1%2026-10-05 15:15