The School of OddsNew England Patriots v Pittsburgh Steelers
Head to Head
Option 1: New England Patriots (Local)
Odds
1.3673.53%Min
1.4170.92%Mean
1.4170.92%Median
1.4668.49%Max
Consensus probabilities
65.73%1.521Min
70.50%1.418Max
68.11%1.468Mean
68.11%1.468Median
68.11%1.468IQM
68.09%1.469Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.46 under the IQM model: 68.11%
EV -0.555%Edge -0.380%Kelly -1.21%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Pittsburgh Steelers (Visit)
Odds
2.8035.71%Min
3.0233.06%Mean
3.0233.06%Median
3.2530.77%Max
Consensus probabilities
29.50%3.390Min
34.27%2.918Max
31.89%3.136Mean
31.89%3.136Median
31.89%3.136IQM
31.91%3.134Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 3.25 under the IQM model: 31.89%
EV +3.63%Edge +1.12%Kelly +1.61%Growth +0.059%
Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | New England Patriots (Local) | Pittsburgh Steelers (Visit) ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars | 1.36I 73.53% NM 70.50%EV -7.37% E -5.42% K -20.46% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 29.50%EV +3.63% E +1.12% K +1.61% G +0.059% | 4.3% | 2026-05-15 02:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.40I 71.43% NM 68.18%EV -4.64% E -3.32% K -11.60% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.82%EV -4.34% E -1.45% K -2.17% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 02:11 |
| DraftKings | 1.46I 68.49% NM 65.73%EV -0.555% E -0.380% K -1.21% G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71% NM 34.27%EV -10.72% E -3.83% K -5.95% G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Arbitrage (1 combination)+0.74%DraftKings 1.46 (69.0%) / Caesars 3.25 (31.0%)Show details
| New England Patriots (Local) | Pittsburgh Steelers (Visit) | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings 1.46 (69.0%) | Caesars 3.25 (31.0%) | +0.743% |