默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

New England Patriots v Pittsburgh Steelers

2026-09-20 17:00 UTC — NFL

胜负盘

12 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

New England Patriots (主队)

预测 66.70%1.50公平赔率
EV -2.61%
优势 -1.79%
Kelly -5.68%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.46

博彩公司预测分布
64.63%67.11%66.43%69.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.371.431.431.4672.99%70.09%69.93%68.49%最小值均值中位数最大值

Pittsburgh Steelers (客队)

预测 33.30%3.00公平赔率
EV +4.89%
优势 +1.55%
Kelly +2.27%
增长率 +0.111%

假设最高赔率为 3.15

博彩公司预测分布
30.31%32.89%33.57%35.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.652.872.853.1537.74%34.82%35.09%31.75%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:New England Patriots (主队):66.70%;Pittsburgh Steelers (客队):33.30%。 对于“Pittsburgh Steelers (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.00。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为3.15,由此产生+4.89%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (12 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Caesars🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -8.62%E -6.29%K -23.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV +4.89%E +1.55%K +2.27%G +0.111%4.7%2026-08-31 21:51
SportsBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -4.62%E -3.23%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -0.108%E -0.036%K -0.054%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-08 19:24
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -5.28%E -3.72%K -12.58%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -0.774%E -0.260%K -0.391%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-08 19:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.62%E -4.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.77%E -0.601%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 08:09
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.62%E -4.73%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.10%E -1.42%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 19:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.95%E -2.74%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.10%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-08 20:10
ReBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.62%E -3.23%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.10%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 20:10
DraftKings🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -2.61%E -1.79%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -6.77%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-31 02:44
GTbets🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.28%E -2.26%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.77%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 22:55
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.28%E -2.26%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.77%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 20:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.28%E -3.72%K -12.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.43%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-08 19:28
Dabble (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -3.28%E -2.26%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -11.76%E -4.44%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 20:00
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%3.0%2026-09-09 03:00
Novig1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%3.0%2026-09-09 04:34
Polymarket1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%3.9%2026-09-08 21:49
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 66.02%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.98%8.2%2026-09-08 20:10