The School of Odds

Minnesota Vikings v Indianapolis Colts

2026-10-25 17:00 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Minnesota Vikings (Local)

Prediction 57.96%1.73fair odd
EV -4.37%
Edge -2.65%
Kelly -6.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.69%57.96%57.96%58.23%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.651.651.651.6561%61%61%61%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Indianapolis Colts (Visit)

Prediction 42.04%2.38fair odd
EV -3.31%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -2.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.77%42.04%42.04%42.31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.252.272.272.3044%44%44%43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.31%E -1.44%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-22 22:39
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 22:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.