Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Vikings v Indianapolis Colts

2026-10-25 17:00 UTC — NFL

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Vikings (Local)

Predicción 71.18%1.40momio equitativo
EV -3.20%
Ventaja -2.35%
Kelly -8.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.95%71.29%71.20%73.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.211.341.341.3682.64%74.83%74.63%73.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Indianapolis Colts (Visitante)

Predicción 28.82%3.47momio equitativo
EV +3.76%
Ventaja +1.05%
Kelly +1.45%
Crecimiento +0.054%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.23%28.71%28.80%30.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.303.303.6033.33%30.33%30.30%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Minnesota Vikings (Local): 71.18%; Indianapolis Colts (Visitante): 28.82%. Para Indianapolis Colts (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.47. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 3.60, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +3.76%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Marathon Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -8.89%E -6.95%K -31.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV +3.76%E +1.05%K +1.45%G +0.054%5.9%2026-10-21 17:00
Pinnacle🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.64%EV -3.91%E -2.90%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.36%EV -1.71%E -0.502%K -0.710%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-22 18:25
SportsBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.09%EV -6.05%E -4.58%K -18.90%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.91%EV -1.71%E -0.502%K -0.710%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-23 19:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -3.20%E -2.35%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -2.00%E -0.588%K -0.834%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-23 14:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -3.20%E -2.35%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -2.00%E -0.588%K -0.834%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-23 14:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -3.20%E -2.35%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -2.00%E -0.588%K -0.834%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-23 14:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -3.20%E -2.35%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -2.00%E -0.588%K -0.834%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-23 14:30
FanDuel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.00%E -0.588%K -0.834%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-23 19:45
theScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.00%E -0.588%K -0.834%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-21 07:04
Bovada🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.00%E -0.588%K -0.834%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-22 18:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.34%E -4.01%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.00%E -0.588%K -0.834%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-24 08:40
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.34%E -4.01%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.00%E -0.588%K -0.834%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-20 17:50
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -3.20%E -2.35%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -3.44%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-22 12:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.91%E -2.90%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.44%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-23 14:29
Coolbet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.91%E -2.90%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.44%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-23 14:43
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.44%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-24 02:05
GTbets🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.44%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-24 02:05
ReBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.09%EV -3.91%E -2.90%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.91%EV -4.31%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-23 21:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.24%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.76%EV -4.31%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-23 21:05
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.20%E -2.35%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.88%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-23 22:16
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.20%E -2.35%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.88%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-20 11:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.20%E -2.35%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.88%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-22 12:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.20%E -2.35%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.88%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-22 12:04
BetAnything🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.20%E -2.35%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.88%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-20 21:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.91%E -2.90%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.88%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-23 21:09
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.91%E -2.90%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.88%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-20 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.91%E -2.90%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.88%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-20 21:55
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.91%E -2.90%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.88%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-20 21:55
Fanatics🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.91%E -2.90%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.88%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-20 22:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.88%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-23 19:45
Unibet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.88%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-23 14:30
Bally Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.88%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-23 14:43
BetRivers🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.88%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-23 14:30
betPARX🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.88%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-23 14:30
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.34%E -4.01%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.88%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-20 21:55
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.34%E -4.01%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.88%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-20 01:55
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.34%E -4.01%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.88%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-20 01:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.34%E -4.01%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.88%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-20 01:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.34%E -4.01%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.88%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-20 01:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.05%E -4.58%K -18.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.88%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-20 06:55
NordicBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -6.04%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 23:10
Betsson🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -6.04%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 23:09
TAB🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.91%E -2.90%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-24 02:04
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.34%E -4.01%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-20 11:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.34%E -4.01%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-23 06:32
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.34%E -4.01%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-23 19:45
Fliff🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.05%E -4.58%K -18.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-23 21:45
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.47%E -5.75%K -24.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-23 19:45
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.47%E -5.75%K -24.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-23 19:43
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.20%E -2.35%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-20 21:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.20%E -2.35%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-20 21:55
Bet Right🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.91%E -2.90%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 19:44
Dabble (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.91%E -2.90%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 19:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-23 21:09
picklebet_au🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.34%E -4.01%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-23 21:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.05%E -4.58%K -18.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-23 21:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 71.43%EV -10.32%E -8.19%K -39.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-23 19:45
LeoVegas🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.95%EV -6.76%E -5.16%K -21.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -12.09%E -3.96%K -5.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-23 09:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 71.26%EV -13.88%E -11.47%K -66.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -13.53%E -4.51%K -6.76%G +0.000%16.0%2026-10-23 14:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.63%3.51I 28.49%NM 28.37%0.4%2026-10-21 16:12
Matchbook◎1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-10-24 07:00
ProphetX◎1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-10-24 08:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-10-24 07:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-10-24 07:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-10-24 07:00
BetOpenly◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.84%3.52I 28.41%NM 28.16%0.9%2026-10-24 08:11
Kalshi◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-10-22 01:20
Polymarket◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-10-20 18:05
Smarkets◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-10-24 09:35