Miami Dolphins v New England Patriots

2026-11-01 21:25 — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: Miami Dolphins (Local)

Odds

3.5028.57%Min

3.6027.78%Mean

3.6027.78%Median

3.7027.03%Max

Consensus probabilities

25.85%3.868Min

26.93%3.713Max

26.39%3.789Mean

26.39%3.789Median

26.39%3.789IQM

26.33%3.799Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.70 under the IQM model: 26.39%

EV -2.35%Edge -0.636%Kelly -0.871%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: New England Patriots (Visit)

Odds

1.2977.52%Min

1.2977.52%Mean

1.2977.52%Median

1.2977.52%Max

Consensus probabilities

73.07%1.369Min

74.15%1.349Max

73.61%1.359Mean

73.61%1.359Median

73.61%1.359IQM

73.67%1.357Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.29 under the IQM model: 73.61%

EV -5.04%Edge -3.91%Kelly -17.40%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Miami Dolphins (Local) ▼	New England Patriots (Visit)	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	3.70I 27.03% NM 25.85%EV -2.35% E -0.636% K -0.871% G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52% NM 74.15%EV -5.04% E -3.91% K -17.40% G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-06-30 09:53
Caesars	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.93%EV -7.63% E -2.18% K -3.05% G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52% NM 73.07%EV -5.04% E -3.91% K -17.40% G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-06-22 22:48

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth