Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Miami Dolphins v New England Patriots

2026-11-01 21:25 UTC — NFL

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Miami Dolphins (Local)

Predicción 24.16%4.14momio equitativo
EV +3.89%
Ventaja +0.904%
Kelly +1.18%
Crecimiento +0.046%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.10%24.08%23.97%26.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.603.964.004.3027.78%25.26%25.00%23.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New England Patriots (Visitante)

Predicción 75.84%1.32momio equitativo
EV -2.17%
Ventaja -1.68%
Kelly -7.47%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.29

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
73.77%75.92%76.03%77.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.131.251.251.2988.50%79.91%80.00%77.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Miami Dolphins (Local): 24.16%; New England Patriots (Visitante): 75.84%. Para Miami Dolphins (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.14. 12 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 4.30, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +3.89%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
FanDuel🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +3.89%E +0.904%K +1.18%G +0.046%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -5.96%E -4.81%K -24.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-26 04:20
SportsBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +3.89%E +0.904%K +1.18%G +0.046%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -7.48%E -6.13%K -33.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 04:20
Unibet (NL)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +1.47%E +0.351%K +0.460%G +0.007%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.96%E -4.81%K -24.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-25 21:46
Unibet (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +1.47%E +0.351%K +0.460%G +0.007%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.96%E -4.81%K -24.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-25 21:46
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +1.47%E +0.351%K +0.460%G +0.007%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.96%E -4.81%K -24.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-25 21:47
BetRivers🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +1.47%E +0.351%K +0.460%G +0.007%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.96%E -4.81%K -24.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-25 21:47
Unibet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +1.47%E +0.351%K +0.460%G +0.007%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.96%E -4.81%K -24.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-25 21:46
ATG (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +1.47%E +0.351%K +0.460%G +0.007%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.96%E -4.81%K -24.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-25 21:47
betPARX🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +1.47%E +0.351%K +0.460%G +0.007%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.96%E -4.81%K -24.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-25 21:46
Svenska Spel🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +1.47%E +0.351%K +0.460%G +0.007%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.96%E -4.81%K -24.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-25 21:47
Bally Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +1.47%E +0.351%K +0.460%G +0.007%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.96%E -4.81%K -24.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-25 21:54
theScore Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +1.47%E +0.351%K +0.460%G +0.007%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.96%E -4.81%K -24.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-26 00:10
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -0.943%E -0.230%K -0.304%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-26 09:00
Coolbet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.943%E -0.230%K -0.304%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.44%E -3.53%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-26 04:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.36%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-26 06:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.36%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-26 08:35
DraftKings🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.36%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.44%E -3.53%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-26 08:59
Caesars🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.36%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.44%E -3.53%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-25 22:38
GTbets🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.36%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.44%E -3.53%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-26 09:10
BetAnything🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.36%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.44%E -3.53%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-26 01:05
Betr (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.36%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-26 04:15
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.36%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-25 22:02
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.36%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-25 22:00
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.36%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-25 22:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.36%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-25 22:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.36%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-26 04:04
Coral🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.36%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-26 04:05
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.36%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-25 22:00
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.36%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-26 08:24
NordicBet🎯3.96I 25.25%NM 23.99%EV -4.33%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.01%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 23:22
Betsson🎯3.96I 25.25%NM 23.99%EV -4.33%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.01%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 23:21
Unibet (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-26 00:21
ReBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.44%E -3.53%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-26 00:21
MyBookie.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.44%E -3.53%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-26 01:01
TAB🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.44%E -3.53%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-26 04:05
Pinnacle🎯3.87I 25.84%NM 25.00%EV -6.50%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.00%EV -2.17%E -1.68%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-26 02:25
LowVig.ag🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -2.93%E -2.29%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-26 02:24
BetOnline.ag🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -2.93%E -2.29%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-26 02:24
BetUS🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -2.93%E -2.29%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-26 02:35
NetBet (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -6.98%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -8.23%E -6.80%K -39.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-26 06:40
Bovada🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.93%E -2.29%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-26 03:33
Bet Right🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 06:19
Neds🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.44%E -3.53%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-26 09:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.44%E -3.53%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-26 09:10
Codere (IT)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-26 00:21
Fliff🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-26 07:05
BoyleSports🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-26 02:09
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-26 05:20
Marathon Bet🎯3.78I 26.46%NM 25.00%EV -8.67%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.00%EV -4.44%E -3.53%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 00:21
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 22:00
picklebet_au🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-26 00:21
Betclic (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.20%E -4.16%K -20.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-26 00:20
Dabble (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -13.02%E -3.62%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.93%E -2.29%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-26 08:59
LeoVegas🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -13.02%E -3.62%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -6.72%E -5.46%K -29.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-26 04:30
PMU (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 23.89%EV -13.02%E -3.62%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 76.11%EV -14.30%E -12.66%K -110.01%G +0.000%16.3%2026-10-25 21:47
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-10-26 04:20
Novig◎4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%0.9%2026-10-26 02:50
Polymarket◎4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%0.9%2026-10-26 01:11
Kalshi◎4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49%1.28I 78.13%NM 76.51%2.1%2026-10-26 07:30
Matchbook◎3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%5.1%2026-10-26 00:31
Smarkets◎3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%8.7%2026-10-26 00:21