Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Miami Dolphins v Kansas City Chiefs

Início: 2026-09-27 17:02 UTC

Final: Miami Dolphins 10–24 Kansas City Chiefs

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Miami Dolphins (Local)

Previsão 18.01%5.55odd justa
EV +12.57%
Vantagem +2.01%
Kelly +2.39%
Crescimento +0.301%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.54%18.08%18.08%20.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.605.415.376.2521.74%18.47%18.62%16.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Kansas City Chiefs (Visitante)

Previsão 81.99%1.22odd justa
EV -2.43%
Vantagem -2.05%
Kelly -12.81%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.19

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
79.86%81.92%81.92%84.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.041.161.161.1996.15%86.47%86.21%84.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Miami Dolphins (Local): 18.01%; Kansas City Chiefs (Visitante): 81.99%. Para Miami Dolphins (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.55. 15 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.25, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +12.57%.

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Unibet (NL)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV +12.57%E +2.01%K +2.39%G +0.301%1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%EV -5.71%E -4.97%K -38.09%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-25 12:39
Unibet (SE)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV +12.57%E +2.01%K +2.39%G +0.301%1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%EV -5.71%E -4.97%K -38.09%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-25 12:39
Svenska Spel🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV +12.57%E +2.01%K +2.39%G +0.301%1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%EV -5.71%E -4.97%K -38.09%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-25 12:39
ATG (SE)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV +12.57%E +2.01%K +2.39%G +0.301%1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%EV -5.71%E -4.97%K -38.09%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-25 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +8.07%E +1.35%K +1.61%G +0.130%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -6.53%E -5.73%K -46.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-25 12:39
Unibet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +8.07%E +1.35%K +1.61%G +0.130%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -6.53%E -5.73%K -46.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-25 12:39
BetRivers🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +8.07%E +1.35%K +1.61%G +0.130%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -6.53%E -5.73%K -46.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-25 12:40
betPARX🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +8.07%E +1.35%K +1.61%G +0.130%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -6.53%E -5.73%K -46.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-25 12:40
Bally Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +8.07%E +1.35%K +1.61%G +0.130%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -6.53%E -5.73%K -46.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-25 12:38
Bet Right🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +3.57%E +0.620%K +0.751%G +0.027%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -5.71%E -4.97%K -38.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 16:05
Fliff🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV +2.67%E +0.468%K +0.567%G +0.015%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -7.35%E -6.51%K -56.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-27 15:35
BetUS🎯5.65I 17.70%NM 17.03%EV +1.77%E +0.313%K +0.380%G +0.007%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.97%EV -4.89%E -4.22%K -30.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-27 16:50
FanDuel🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV +0.866%E +0.155%K +0.188%G +0.002%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.89%E -4.22%K -30.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 15:00
LowVig.ag🎯5.58I 17.92%NM 17.21%EV +0.506%E +0.091%K +0.110%G +0.001%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.79%EV -4.89%E -4.22%K -30.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 17:00
BetOnline.ag🎯5.58I 17.92%NM 17.21%EV +0.506%E +0.091%K +0.110%G +0.001%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.79%EV -4.89%E -4.22%K -30.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 16:55
GTbets🎯5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV -0.035%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -4.89%E -4.22%K -30.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-27 16:35
MyBookie.ag🎯5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV -0.035%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -4.89%E -4.22%K -30.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-27 14:29
Everygame🎯5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV -0.035%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -4.89%E -4.22%K -30.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-27 13:30
ReBet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV -0.935%E -0.170%K -0.208%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -3.25%E -2.76%K -18.08%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-27 16:04
SportsBet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.935%E -0.170%K -0.208%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.71%E -4.97%K -38.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 16:05
BetAnything🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.935%E -0.170%K -0.208%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.71%E -4.97%K -38.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 12:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.935%E -0.170%K -0.208%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.53%E -5.73%K -46.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-27 15:09
theScore Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.935%E -0.170%K -0.208%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.53%E -5.73%K -46.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-27 12:04
Pinnacle🎯5.46I 18.32%NM 17.77%EV -1.66%E -0.303%K -0.371%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.23%EV -3.25%E -2.76%K -18.08%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-27 16:55
DraftKings🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.74%E -0.507%K -0.622%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-27 14:45
Coolbet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.74%E -0.507%K -0.622%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-27 14:44
betano_uk🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.74%E -0.507%K -0.622%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-27 15:10
Bet Victor🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.74%E -0.507%K -0.622%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-27 15:10
NordicBet🎯5.37I 18.62%NM 17.64%EV -3.28%E -0.610%K -0.750%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.36%EV -5.71%E -4.97%K -38.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-27 17:00
Betsson🎯5.37I 18.62%NM 17.64%EV -3.28%E -0.610%K -0.750%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.36%EV -5.71%E -4.97%K -38.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-27 17:00
Fanatics🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -4.54%E -0.856%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 13:20
Marathon Bet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -4.54%E -0.856%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.71%E -4.97%K -38.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-27 16:59
BetMGM🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -5.44%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -3.25%E -2.76%K -18.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-27 14:14
Caesars🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.44%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 13:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.44%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.44%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 13:30
Coral🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.44%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 13:24
Betr (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -5.44%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.89%E -4.22%K -30.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 14:44
Paddy Power🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -6.34%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 14:35
Neds🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -6.34%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 13:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -6.34%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 13:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -6.34%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 14:34
TAB🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -6.34%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.89%E -4.22%K -30.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 15:10
888sport🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -6.34%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.71%E -4.97%K -38.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-27 14:40
William Hill🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -6.34%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.71%E -4.97%K -38.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-27 14:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -6.34%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.71%E -4.97%K -38.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-27 14:40
888sport (SE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -6.34%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.71%E -4.97%K -38.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-27 14:40
Tipico (DE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -6.34%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.71%E -4.97%K -38.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-27 11:55
LeoVegas🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -6.34%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.53%E -5.73%K -46.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-27 17:00
Bovada🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.14%E -1.60%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 16:30
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -9.94%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -2.43%E -2.05%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-27 17:00
Dabble (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -9.94%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.25%E -2.76%K -18.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 16:54
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.94%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-27 13:39
Codere (IT)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.94%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.89%E -4.22%K -30.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-27 14:39
NetBet (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -9.94%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.35%E -6.51%K -56.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-27 16:50
PMU (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.22%EV -9.94%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 82.78%EV -14.73%E -14.17%K -368.31%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-25 12:40
PlayUp🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -12.64%E -2.61%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-27 17:00
Betway🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -14.44%E -3.04%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-27 17:00
Betclic (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -17.15%E -3.73%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -4.89%E -4.22%K -30.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-27 16:33
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎6.25I 16.00%NM 15.99%1.19I 84.03%NM 84.01%0.0%2026-09-27 16:20
ProphetX◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-09-27 17:00
Polymarket◎6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%0.7%2026-09-27 16:42
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%0.9%2026-09-27 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%0.9%2026-09-27 17:00
Matchbook◎6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%0.9%2026-09-27 17:00
Novig◎5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%1.0%2026-09-27 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%1.4%2026-09-27 17:00
Smarkets◎5.90I 16.95%NM 16.55%1.17I 85.47%NM 83.45%2.4%2026-09-27 17:00
BetOpenly◎5.79I 17.27%NM 16.69%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.31%3.5%2026-09-27 16:59