Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Miami Dolphins v Kansas City Chiefs

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-27 17:02 UTC

Score final : Miami Dolphins 10–24 Kansas City Chiefs

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Miami Dolphins (Local)

Prévision 18.01%5.55cote équitable
EV +12.57%
Avantage +2.01%
Kelly +2.39%
Croissance +0.301%

avec la cote maximale 6.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.54%18.08%18.08%20.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.605.415.376.2521.74%18.47%18.62%16.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Kansas City Chiefs (Visiteur)

Prévision 81.99%1.22cote équitable
EV -2.43%
Avantage -2.05%
Kelly -12.81%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.19

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
79.86%81.92%81.92%84.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.041.161.161.1996.15%86.47%86.21%84.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Miami Dolphins (Local) : 18.01% ; Kansas City Chiefs (Visiteur) : 81.99%. Pour Miami Dolphins (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.55. 15 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.25, soit une espérance positive de +12.57%.

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV +12.57%E +2.01%K +2.39%G +0.301%1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%EV -5.71%E -4.97%K -38.09%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-25 12:39
Unibet (SE)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV +12.57%E +2.01%K +2.39%G +0.301%1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%EV -5.71%E -4.97%K -38.09%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-25 12:39
Svenska Spel🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV +12.57%E +2.01%K +2.39%G +0.301%1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%EV -5.71%E -4.97%K -38.09%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-25 12:39
ATG (SE)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV +12.57%E +2.01%K +2.39%G +0.301%1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%EV -5.71%E -4.97%K -38.09%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-25 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +8.07%E +1.35%K +1.61%G +0.130%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -6.53%E -5.73%K -46.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-25 12:39
Unibet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +8.07%E +1.35%K +1.61%G +0.130%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -6.53%E -5.73%K -46.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-25 12:39
BetRivers🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +8.07%E +1.35%K +1.61%G +0.130%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -6.53%E -5.73%K -46.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-25 12:40
betPARX🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +8.07%E +1.35%K +1.61%G +0.130%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -6.53%E -5.73%K -46.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-25 12:40
Bally Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +8.07%E +1.35%K +1.61%G +0.130%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -6.53%E -5.73%K -46.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-25 12:38
Bet Right🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +3.57%E +0.620%K +0.751%G +0.027%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -5.71%E -4.97%K -38.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 16:05
Fliff🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV +2.67%E +0.468%K +0.567%G +0.015%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -7.35%E -6.51%K -56.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-27 15:35
BetUS🎯5.65I 17.70%NM 17.03%EV +1.77%E +0.313%K +0.380%G +0.007%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.97%EV -4.89%E -4.22%K -30.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-27 16:50
FanDuel🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV +0.866%E +0.155%K +0.188%G +0.002%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.89%E -4.22%K -30.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 15:00
LowVig.ag🎯5.58I 17.92%NM 17.21%EV +0.506%E +0.091%K +0.110%G +0.001%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.79%EV -4.89%E -4.22%K -30.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 17:00
BetOnline.ag🎯5.58I 17.92%NM 17.21%EV +0.506%E +0.091%K +0.110%G +0.001%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.79%EV -4.89%E -4.22%K -30.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 16:55
GTbets🎯5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV -0.035%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -4.89%E -4.22%K -30.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-27 16:35
MyBookie.ag🎯5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV -0.035%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -4.89%E -4.22%K -30.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-27 14:29
Everygame🎯5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV -0.035%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -4.89%E -4.22%K -30.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-27 13:30
ReBet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV -0.935%E -0.170%K -0.208%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -3.25%E -2.76%K -18.08%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-27 16:04
SportsBet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.935%E -0.170%K -0.208%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.71%E -4.97%K -38.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 16:05
BetAnything🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.935%E -0.170%K -0.208%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.71%E -4.97%K -38.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 12:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.935%E -0.170%K -0.208%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.53%E -5.73%K -46.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-27 15:09
theScore Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.935%E -0.170%K -0.208%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.53%E -5.73%K -46.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-27 12:04
Pinnacle🎯5.46I 18.32%NM 17.77%EV -1.66%E -0.303%K -0.371%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.23%EV -3.25%E -2.76%K -18.08%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-27 16:55
DraftKings🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.74%E -0.507%K -0.622%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-27 14:45
Coolbet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.74%E -0.507%K -0.622%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-27 14:44
betano_uk🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.74%E -0.507%K -0.622%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-27 15:10
Bet Victor🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.74%E -0.507%K -0.622%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-27 15:10
NordicBet🎯5.37I 18.62%NM 17.64%EV -3.28%E -0.610%K -0.750%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.36%EV -5.71%E -4.97%K -38.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-27 17:00
Betsson🎯5.37I 18.62%NM 17.64%EV -3.28%E -0.610%K -0.750%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.36%EV -5.71%E -4.97%K -38.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-27 17:00
Fanatics🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -4.54%E -0.856%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 13:20
Marathon Bet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -4.54%E -0.856%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.71%E -4.97%K -38.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-27 16:59
BetMGM🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -5.44%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -3.25%E -2.76%K -18.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-27 14:14
Caesars🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.44%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 13:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.44%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.44%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 13:30
Coral🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.44%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 13:24
Betr (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -5.44%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.89%E -4.22%K -30.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 14:44
Paddy Power🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -6.34%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 14:35
Neds🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -6.34%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 13:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -6.34%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 13:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -6.34%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 14:34
TAB🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -6.34%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.89%E -4.22%K -30.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 15:10
888sport🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -6.34%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.71%E -4.97%K -38.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-27 14:40
William Hill🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -6.34%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.71%E -4.97%K -38.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-27 14:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -6.34%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.71%E -4.97%K -38.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-27 14:40
888sport (SE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -6.34%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.71%E -4.97%K -38.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-27 14:40
Tipico (DE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -6.34%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.71%E -4.97%K -38.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-27 11:55
LeoVegas🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -6.34%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.53%E -5.73%K -46.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-27 17:00
Bovada🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.14%E -1.60%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 16:30
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -9.94%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -2.43%E -2.05%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-27 17:00
Dabble (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -9.94%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.25%E -2.76%K -18.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 16:54
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.94%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-27 13:39
Codere (IT)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.94%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.89%E -4.22%K -30.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-27 14:39
NetBet (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -9.94%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.35%E -6.51%K -56.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-27 16:50
PMU (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.22%EV -9.94%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 82.78%EV -14.73%E -14.17%K -368.31%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-25 12:40
PlayUp🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -12.64%E -2.61%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-27 17:00
Betway🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -14.44%E -3.04%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -4.07%E -3.48%K -23.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-27 17:00
Betclic (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -17.15%E -3.73%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -4.89%E -4.22%K -30.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-27 16:33
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎6.25I 16.00%NM 15.99%1.19I 84.03%NM 84.01%0.0%2026-09-27 16:20
ProphetX◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-09-27 17:00
Polymarket◎6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%0.7%2026-09-27 16:42
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%0.9%2026-09-27 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%0.9%2026-09-27 17:00
Matchbook◎6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%0.9%2026-09-27 17:00
Novig◎5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%1.0%2026-09-27 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%1.4%2026-09-27 17:00
Smarkets◎5.90I 16.95%NM 16.55%1.17I 85.47%NM 83.45%2.4%2026-09-27 17:00
BetOpenly◎5.79I 17.27%NM 16.69%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.31%3.5%2026-09-27 16:59