Language:English
Miami Dolphins v Cincinnati Bengals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Miami Dolphins (Local)
Prediction 25.53%3.92fair odd
EV +4.66%
Edge +1.14%
Kelly +1.50%
Growth +0.070%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.51%25.59%25.60%27.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.733.754.1030.30%26.78%26.67%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cincinnati Bengals (Visit)
Prediction 74.47%1.34fair odd
EV -1.70%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -5.30%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.21%74.41%74.40%76.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.281.281.3286.96%78.16%78.13%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami Dolphins (Local): 25.53%; Cincinnati Bengals (Visit): 74.47%. For Miami Dolphins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.92. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.66%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV +4.66%E +1.14%K +1.50%G +0.070% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -6.16%E -4.89%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-11 16:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%EV +2.11%E +0.528%K +0.703%G +0.015% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-10-11 15:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV +2.11%E +0.528%K +0.703%G +0.015% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -4.68%E -3.65%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-11 14:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV +2.11%E +0.528%K +0.703%G +0.015% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -4.68%E -3.65%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-11 14:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV +2.11%E +0.528%K +0.703%G +0.015% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -4.68%E -3.65%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-11 14:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV +2.11%E +0.528%K +0.703%G +0.015% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -4.68%E -3.65%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-11 14:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +2.11%E +0.528%K +0.703%G +0.015% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.42%E -4.27%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-11 16:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV +0.068%E +0.017%K +0.023%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -5.42%E -4.27%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-11 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV +0.068%E +0.017%K +0.023%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -5.42%E -4.27%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-11 16:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -0.442%E -0.113%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -4.68%E -3.65%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-11 14:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -0.442%E -0.113%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -4.68%E -3.65%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-11 03:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -0.442%E -0.113%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.42%E -4.27%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-11 14:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -0.442%E -0.113%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.42%E -4.27%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-11 14:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -0.442%E -0.113%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.42%E -4.27%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-11 14:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -0.442%E -0.113%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.42%E -4.27%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-11 14:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -0.442%E -0.113%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.42%E -4.27%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-11 14:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -1.72%E -0.446%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.68%E -3.65%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-11 11:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.00%E -0.788%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.93%E -3.05%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-11 11:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.00%E -0.788%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.93%E -3.05%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-11 10:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -3.00%E -0.788%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.68%E -3.65%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.00%E -0.788%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.42%E -4.27%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 14:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.00%E -0.788%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.42%E -4.27%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 16:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.00%E -0.788%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-11 14:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -4.27%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.27%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.93%E -3.05%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-11 16:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.27%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.93%E -3.05%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-11 16:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.27%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.93%E -3.05%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.27%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.93%E -3.05%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-11 16:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.27%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.93%E -3.05%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-11 16:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.27%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.93%E -3.05%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-11 16:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.27%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.68%E -3.65%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-11 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.27%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.68%E -3.65%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-11 16:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.27%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-11 16:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -5.55%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.93%E -3.05%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-11 14:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -5.55%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.93%E -3.05%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-11 14:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.55%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.68%E -3.65%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-11 14:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -8.10%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -2.44%E -1.86%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -8.10%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-11 16:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -8.10%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-11 16:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -8.10%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-11 16:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.10%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.93%E -3.05%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.10%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.93%E -3.05%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.10%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.93%E -3.05%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.10%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.93%E -3.05%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.10%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.93%E -3.05%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.10%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-11 16:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.10%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-11 16:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -9.38%E -2.64%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -9.38%E -2.64%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -3.93%E -3.05%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-11 16:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -9.38%E -2.64%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -7.65%E -6.17%K -31.89%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-11 16:53 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.82%EV -10.14%E -2.88%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.18%EV -3.93%E -3.05%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-11 14:34 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -10.65%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -1.70%E -1.29%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -10.65%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -1.70%E -1.29%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.00%EV -11.93%E -3.46%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 75.00%EV -14.36%E -12.48%K -95.71%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-10-11 14:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -13.21%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -13.21%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.12%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.64%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -15.76%E -4.78%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -5.42%E -4.27%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-11 16:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 3.92I 25.51%NM 25.33% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.67% | 0.7% | 2026-10-11 16:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 0.8% | 2026-10-11 16:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 0.8% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 0.8% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 0.8% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95% | 1.1% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 1.2% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.61% | 2.3% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51% | 3.2% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |