Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami Dolphins v Cincinnati Bengals

2026-10-11 17:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

30%

70%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami Dolphins (Local)

Prediction 30.01%3.33fair odd

EV -2.46%

Edge -0.757%

Kelly -1.09%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

29.50%30.01%30.01%30.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.053.153.153.2532.79%31.75%31.75%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cincinnati Bengals (Visit)

Prediction 69.99%1.43fair odd

EV -4.82%

Edge -3.54%

Kelly -13.38%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

69.48%69.99%69.99%70.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.341.351.361.3674.63%73.89%73.53%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Miami Dolphins (Local): 30.01%; Cincinnati Bengals (Visit): 69.99%. For Miami Dolphins (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.33. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.25, with an expected value of -2.46%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.46%E -0.757%K -1.09%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.38%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-01 17:40
Betr (AU)🎯	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.46%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.38%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-31 22:44
Caesars🎯	3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -8.46%E -2.77%K -4.13%G +0.000%	1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -6.22%E -4.64%K -18.28%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-06-04 14:40

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Polymarket◎	1.06I 94.34%NM 50.00%	1.06I 94.34%NM 50.00%	88.7%	2026-09-03 21:05