The School of Odds

Miami Dolphins v Cincinnati Bengals

2026-10-11 17:00 UTC — NFL

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Miami Dolphins (Local)

Prediction 30.74%3.25fair odd
EV -4.70%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -2.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.52%30.74%30.74%30.96%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.053.083.083.1033%33%33%32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Cincinnati Bengals (Visit)

Prediction 69.26%1.44fair odd
EV -3.73%
Edge -2.68%
Kelly -9.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.39

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.04%69.26%69.26%69.48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.341.361.361.3975%73%73%72%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -4.70%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.73%E -2.68%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-23 21:20
Caesars3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -7.19%E -5.37%K -21.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-04 14:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.