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Miami Dolphins v Cincinnati Bengals

2026-10-11 17:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami Dolphins (Local)

Prediction 30.74%3.25fair odd
EV -4.70%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -2.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.52%30.74%30.74%30.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.083.103.1032.79%32.43%32.26%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cincinnati Bengals (Visit)

Prediction 69.26%1.44fair odd
EV -3.73%
Edge -2.68%
Kelly -9.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.39

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.04%69.26%69.26%69.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.371.371.3974.63%73.17%72.99%71.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Miami Dolphins (Local): 30.74%; Cincinnati Bengals (Visit): 69.26%. For Cincinnati Bengals (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.44. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.39, with an expected value of -3.73%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -4.70%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.73%E -2.68%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-07 23:40
Betr (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.70%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.11%E -3.73%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 17:19
Caesars🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -7.19%E -5.37%K -21.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-04 14:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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