Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Miami Dolphins v Cincinnati Bengals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-10-11 17:02 UTC

Score final : Miami Dolphins 24–31 Cincinnati Bengals

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Miami Dolphins (Local)

Prévision 25.53%3.92cote équitable
EV +4.66%
Avantage +1.14%
Kelly +1.50%
Croissance +0.070%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.51%25.59%25.60%27.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.733.754.1030.30%26.78%26.67%24.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Cincinnati Bengals (Visiteur)

Prévision 74.47%1.34cote équitable
EV -1.70%
Avantage -1.29%
Kelly -5.30%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.21%74.41%74.40%76.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.151.281.281.3286.96%78.16%78.13%75.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Miami Dolphins (Local) : 25.53% ; Cincinnati Bengals (Visiteur) : 74.47%. Pour Miami Dolphins (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.92. 9 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.10, soit une espérance positive de +4.66%.

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetAnything🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV +4.66%E +1.14%K +1.50%G +0.070%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -6.16%E -4.89%K -23.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-11 16:24
Coolbet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%EV +2.11%E +0.528%K +0.703%G +0.015%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.62%G +0.000%1.9%2026-10-11 15:14
Unibet (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV +2.11%E +0.528%K +0.703%G +0.015%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -4.68%E -3.65%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-11 14:34
Unibet (NL)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV +2.11%E +0.528%K +0.703%G +0.015%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -4.68%E -3.65%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-11 14:34
ATG (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV +2.11%E +0.528%K +0.703%G +0.015%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -4.68%E -3.65%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-11 14:35
Svenska Spel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV +2.11%E +0.528%K +0.703%G +0.015%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -4.68%E -3.65%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-11 14:34
Pinnacle🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +2.11%E +0.528%K +0.703%G +0.015%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.42%E -4.27%K -20.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-11 16:35
BetOnline.ag🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV +0.068%E +0.017%K +0.023%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -5.42%E -4.27%K -20.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-11 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV +0.068%E +0.017%K +0.023%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -5.42%E -4.27%K -20.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-11 16:54
BetUS🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -0.442%E -0.113%K -0.153%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -4.68%E -3.65%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-11 14:35
Everygame🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -0.442%E -0.113%K -0.153%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -4.68%E -3.65%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-11 03:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -0.442%E -0.113%K -0.153%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.42%E -4.27%K -20.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-11 14:34
BetRivers🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -0.442%E -0.113%K -0.153%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.42%E -4.27%K -20.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-11 14:34
Unibet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -0.442%E -0.113%K -0.153%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.42%E -4.27%K -20.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-11 14:40
Bally Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -0.442%E -0.113%K -0.153%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.42%E -4.27%K -20.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-11 14:34
betPARX🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -0.442%E -0.113%K -0.153%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.42%E -4.27%K -20.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-11 14:34
Caesars🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -1.72%E -0.446%K -0.603%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.68%E -3.65%K -16.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-11 11:15
betfred_uk🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.00%E -0.788%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.93%E -3.05%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-11 11:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.00%E -0.788%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.93%E -3.05%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-11 10:59
theScore Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -3.00%E -0.788%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.68%E -3.65%K -16.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-11 17:00
Betr (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.00%E -0.788%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.42%E -4.27%K -20.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-11 14:10
SportsBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.00%E -0.788%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.42%E -4.27%K -20.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-11 16:40
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.00%E -0.788%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-11 14:44
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -4.27%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-11 17:00
DraftKings🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.27%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.93%E -3.05%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-11 16:50
FanDuel🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.27%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.93%E -3.05%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-11 16:39
GTbets🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.27%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.93%E -3.05%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-11 16:59
BetMGM🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.27%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.93%E -3.05%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-11 16:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.27%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.93%E -3.05%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-11 16:54
Fanatics🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.27%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.93%E -3.05%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-11 16:49
Coral🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.27%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.68%E -3.65%K -16.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-11 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.27%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.68%E -3.65%K -16.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-11 16:54
Fliff🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.27%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-11 16:54
Paddy Power🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -5.55%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.93%E -3.05%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-11 14:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -5.55%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.93%E -3.05%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-11 14:34
TAB🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.55%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.68%E -3.65%K -16.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 14:34
Bovada🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -8.10%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -2.44%E -1.86%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-11 16:59
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -8.10%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-11 16:49
Neds🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -8.10%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-11 16:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -8.10%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-11 16:54
Bet Right🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.10%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.93%E -3.05%K -13.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 16:59
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.10%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.93%E -3.05%K -13.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 14:00
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.10%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.93%E -3.05%K -13.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 14:01
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.10%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.93%E -3.05%K -13.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 14:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.10%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.93%E -3.05%K -13.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 14:00
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.10%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-11 16:39
betano_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.10%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-11 16:39
ReBet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -9.38%E -2.64%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-11 17:00
Codere (IT)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -9.38%E -2.64%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -3.93%E -3.05%K -13.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-11 16:54
NetBet (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -9.38%E -2.64%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -7.65%E -6.17%K -31.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-11 16:53
Marathon Bet🎯3.52I 28.41%NM 26.82%EV -10.14%E -2.88%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.18%EV -3.93%E -3.05%K -13.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 14:34
MyBookie.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -10.65%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -1.70%E -1.29%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-11 16:59
Dabble (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -10.65%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -1.70%E -1.29%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-11 16:59
PMU (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.00%EV -11.93%E -3.46%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 75.00%EV -14.36%E -12.48%K -95.71%G +0.000%15.9%2026-10-11 14:34
PlayUp🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -13.21%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.19%E -2.45%K -10.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-11 17:00
LeoVegas🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -13.21%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.12%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-11 17:00
Betclic (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -15.76%E -4.78%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -5.42%E -4.27%K -20.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-11 16:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig◎3.92I 25.51%NM 25.33%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.67%0.7%2026-10-11 16:55
Polymarket◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-10-10 14:00
Matchbook◎3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%0.8%2026-10-11 16:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%0.8%2026-10-11 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%0.8%2026-10-11 16:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%0.8%2026-10-11 17:00
ProphetX◎3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%1.1%2026-10-11 16:59
Kalshi◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%1.2%2026-10-11 17:00
Smarkets◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.61%2.3%2026-10-11 16:59
BetOpenly◎3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%3.2%2026-10-11 16:59