Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Rams v San Francisco 49ers

Kickoff: 2026-09-11 00:35 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Rams 7–27 San Francisco 49ers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Rams (Local)

Prediction 64.51%1.55fair odd
EV +7.73%
Edge +4.63%
Kelly +11.53%
Growth +0.891%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%64.19%64.52%65.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.481.481.6774.07%67.71%67.57%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Francisco 49ers (Visit)

Prediction 35.49%2.82fair odd
EV +0.444%
Edge +0.157%
Kelly +0.243%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.12%35.81%35.48%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.672.652.8345.45%37.48%37.74%35.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Rams (Local): 64.51%; San Francisco 49ers (Visit): 35.49%. For Los Angeles Rams (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.55. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.67, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.73%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +7.73%E +4.63%K +11.53%G +0.891%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -21.92%E -9.96%K -18.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 06:00
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.47%EV -2.59%E -1.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.53%EV -2.75%E -1.00%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-09 16:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -2.59%E -1.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.94%E -2.24%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-31 18:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -2.59%E -1.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.94%E -2.24%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-09 11:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -2.59%E -1.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.94%E -2.24%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-31 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -2.59%E -1.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.94%E -2.24%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-31 18:09
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -2.59%E -1.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -6.30%E -2.39%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 10:10
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.24%E -2.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.40%E -0.871%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-09 14:05
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.45%EV -3.24%E -2.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.55%EV -3.46%E -1.27%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-09 16:05
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.24%E -2.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.17%E -1.54%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-09 17:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.24%E -2.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.94%E -2.24%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-09 12:40
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.24%E -2.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.94%E -2.24%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 19:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.24%E -2.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.94%E -2.24%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-09 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.24%E -2.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -6.65%E -2.53%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 17:15
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.24%E -2.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.01%E -2.68%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 01:38
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.24%E -2.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.72%E -2.97%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 18:08
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.24%E -2.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.72%E -2.97%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 18:10
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.24%E -2.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.72%E -2.97%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 18:10
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.24%E -2.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.72%E -2.97%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 18:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.88%E -2.61%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -1.69%E -0.609%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-09 11:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.88%E -2.61%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -1.69%E -0.609%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-09 11:54
Caesars🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -3.88%E -2.61%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -3.46%E -1.27%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-08 16:04
ReBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -3.88%E -2.61%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -3.46%E -1.27%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-08 23:24
MyBookie.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -3.88%E -2.61%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -5.59%E -2.10%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 16:20
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.88%E -2.61%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -7.72%E -2.97%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 18:10
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.53%E -3.06%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.40%E -0.871%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-08 16:09
GTbets🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.53%E -3.06%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.40%E -0.871%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-08 20:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.53%E -3.06%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.40%E -0.871%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-09 10:03
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.53%E -3.06%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.40%E -0.871%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-09 16:45
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.53%E -3.06%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.17%E -1.54%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 15:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.53%E -3.06%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.17%E -1.54%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 23:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.53%E -3.06%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.94%E -2.24%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 10:10
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.53%E -3.06%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.94%E -2.24%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 10:09
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.53%E -3.06%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.94%E -2.24%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 18:00
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.53%E -3.06%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.94%E -2.24%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 14:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.53%E -3.06%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.94%E -2.24%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 19:15
BetUS🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -5.17%E -3.52%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV +0.444%E +0.157%K +0.243%G +0.001%3.4%2026-09-08 16:05
TAB🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.17%E -3.52%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.17%E -1.54%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 02:43
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.17%E -3.52%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.94%E -2.24%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 17:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.17%E -3.52%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.94%E -2.24%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-08 23:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.23%EV -5.17%E -3.52%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%EV -6.30%E -2.39%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-09 17:30
Everygame🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.46%E -4.46%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.621%E -0.222%K -0.345%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 23:24
BetAnything🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.46%E -4.46%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.621%E -0.222%K -0.345%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 23:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.46%E -4.46%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.17%E -1.54%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-08 23:23
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.46%E -4.46%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.17%E -1.54%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 17:30
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.46%E -4.46%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.17%E -1.54%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 17:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.46%E -4.46%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.72%E -2.97%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 23:22
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.11%E -4.94%K -16.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.40%E -0.871%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-08 19:14
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.11%E -4.94%K -16.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.40%E -0.871%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 14:40
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.11%E -4.94%K -16.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.40%E -0.871%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-08 19:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.11%E -4.94%K -16.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.40%E -0.871%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-08 19:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.11%E -4.94%K -16.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.40%E -0.871%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-08 19:15
Fliff🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.11%E -4.94%K -16.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.17%E -1.54%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-08 20:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.11%E -4.94%K -16.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.72%E -2.97%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 10:10
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.11%E -4.94%K -16.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.72%E -2.97%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 10:09
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.69%EV -7.75%E -5.42%K -18.03%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.31%EV -7.01%E -2.68%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 17:35
NordicBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.69%EV -7.75%E -5.42%K -18.03%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.31%EV -7.01%E -2.68%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 17:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.39%EV -9.04%E -6.41%K -22.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.61%EV -9.49%E -3.72%K -6.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-09 05:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 63.51%EV -12.91%E -9.57%K -36.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.49%EV -16.59%E -7.06%K -12.29%G +0.000%16.6%2026-09-07 09:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.53I 65.36%NM 65.31%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.69%0.1%2026-09-09 17:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%0.4%2026-09-09 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%0.4%2026-09-09 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%0.4%2026-09-09 16:55
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%0.4%2026-09-09 16:35
ProphetX1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%0.6%2026-09-09 15:00
Novig1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%0.8%2026-09-09 17:12
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-09-08 09:20
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-09-09 11:19
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.02%1.3%2026-09-09 17:25