The School of Odds

Los Angeles Rams v Buffalo Bills

2026-10-13 00:15 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Los Angeles Rams (Local)

Prediction 64.22%1.56fair odd
EV -1.09%
Edge -0.711%
Kelly -2.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.25%64.22%64.22%66.19%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.431.481.481.5470%67%67%65%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Buffalo Bills (Visit)

Prediction 35.78%2.80fair odd
EV +0.172%
Edge +0.061%
Kelly +0.095%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.81%35.78%35.78%37.75%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.542.672.672.8039%37%37%36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.16%E -5.71%K -18.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +0.172%E +0.061%K +0.095%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 22:38
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -1.09%E -0.711%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -9.13%E -3.59%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 14:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.