The School of Odds
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Los Angeles Rams v Buffalo Bills

2026-10-13 00:15 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Rams (Local)

Prediction 62.21%1.61fair odd
EV +2.65%
Edge +1.60%
Kelly +4.07%
Growth +0.108%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.23%62.21%62.21%66.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.541.541.6569.93%64.94%64.94%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Buffalo Bills (Visit)

Prediction 37.79%2.65fair odd
EV +5.81%
Edge +2.07%
Kelly +3.23%
Growth +0.188%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.81%37.79%37.79%41.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.552.552.8043.48%39.22%39.22%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Los Angeles Rams (Local): 62.21%; Buffalo Bills (Visit): 37.79%. For Buffalo Bills (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.65. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.80, producing a positive expected value of +5.81%.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -11.04%E -7.72%K -25.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +5.81%E +2.07%K +3.23%G +0.188%5.6%2026-06-15 22:38
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV +2.65%E +1.60%K +4.07%G +0.108%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -13.08%E -5.69%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 22:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Arbitrage (1 combination) +3.82%DraftKings 1.65 (62.9%) / Caesars 2.80 (37.1%)Show details
Los Angeles Rams (Local)Buffalo Bills (Visit)Margin
DraftKings🎯 1.65 (62.9%)Caesars🎯 2.80 (37.1%)+3.82%