Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.64
assuming max odds 2.62
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Rams (Local): 61.24%; Buffalo Bills (Visit): 38.76%. For Buffalo Bills (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.58. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.62, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.55%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -4.47%E -2.86%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV +1.55%E +0.592%K +0.958%G +0.015% | 2.3% | 2026-10-13 00:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -0.386%E -0.150%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-10-13 00:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -4.47%E -2.86%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -0.386%E -0.150%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-12 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -4.47%E -2.86%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -0.386%E -0.150%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-12 22:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -2.63%E -1.65%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -0.774%E -0.302%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-10-13 00:14 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -1.16%E -0.455%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.47%E -2.86%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.16%E -0.455%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-13 00:03 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.47%E -2.86%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.16%E -0.455%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-13 00:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.69%E -3.70%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.16%E -0.455%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-12 23:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.92%E -4.55%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.16%E -0.455%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-13 00:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -5.69%E -3.70%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -1.55%E -0.610%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-12 23:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -4.47%E -2.86%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -1.94%E -0.765%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-12 21:03 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.10%E -1.24%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-11 11:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.10%E -1.24%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-11 11:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.10%E -1.24%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-11 11:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.10%E -1.24%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-11 11:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.47%E -2.86%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.10%E -1.24%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-13 00:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.47%E -2.86%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.10%E -1.24%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-13 00:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.69%E -3.70%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.10%E -1.24%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-13 00:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.30%E -4.12%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.10%E -1.24%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-12 13:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.30%E -4.12%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.10%E -1.24%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-13 00:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.30%E -4.12%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.10%E -1.24%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-12 22:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.69%E -3.70%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -3.49%E -1.40%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-13 00:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.87%E -1.56%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-11 11:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -4.26%E -1.73%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-10 13:58 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -2.63%E -1.65%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -4.65%E -1.89%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-13 00:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.24%E -2.05%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -5.04%E -2.06%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-13 00:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.04%E -2.06%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-13 00:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.04%E -2.06%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-12 23:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.04%E -2.06%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-11 11:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.04%E -2.06%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-12 20:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.04%E -2.06%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-12 20:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.04%E -2.06%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-12 20:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.47%E -2.86%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.04%E -2.06%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-11 11:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.47%E -2.86%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.04%E -2.06%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-11 11:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.47%E -2.86%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.04%E -2.06%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-11 11:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.08%E -3.28%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.04%E -2.06%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-12 23:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.08%E -3.28%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.04%E -2.06%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 00:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.08%E -3.28%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.04%E -2.06%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-12 23:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.47%E -2.86%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -5.43%E -2.22%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-13 00:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -5.69%E -3.70%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -5.81%E -2.39%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-12 19:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.47%E -2.86%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.20%E -2.56%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-12 23:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.24%E -2.05%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.98%E -2.91%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-12 23:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.24%E -2.05%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.98%E -2.91%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-12 23:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.30%E -4.12%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.98%E -2.91%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-12 23:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.30%E -4.12%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.98%E -2.91%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-12 23:53 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.75%E -3.26%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-12 19:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.75%E -3.26%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-12 19:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.75%E -3.26%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-12 19:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.75%E -3.26%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-12 19:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.24%EV -8.14%E -5.43%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.76%EV -8.14%E -3.43%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-12 22:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -0.179%E -0.110%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -8.91%E -3.79%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-13 00:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.85%E -2.45%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.91%E -3.79%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-12 19:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -6.92%E -4.55%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.91%E -3.79%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-12 23:53 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.14%E -5.43%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.91%E -3.79%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-12 23:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -4.47%E -2.86%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -10.85%E -4.72%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-13 00:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV +0.433%E +0.264%K +0.677%G +0.003% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -13.56%E -6.08%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-12 23:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 60.94%EV -13.65%E -9.68%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.06%EV -14.73%E -6.69%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-10-11 11:25 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39% | 0.2% | 2026-10-13 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 0.5% | 2026-10-13 00:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 0.5% | 2026-10-13 00:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-10-13 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-10-13 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-10-13 00:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28% | 1.3% | 2026-10-13 00:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66% | 4.7% | 2026-10-13 00:04 |