Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Chargers v Arizona Cardinals

2026-09-13 20:25 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Chargers (Local)

Prediction 81.58%1.23fair odd
EV -2.92%
Edge -2.45%
Kelly -15.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.86%81.56%81.60%82.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.171.171.1995.24%85.56%85.47%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arizona Cardinals (Visit)

Prediction 18.42%5.43fair odd
EV +1.31%
Edge +0.239%
Kelly +0.292%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.17%18.44%18.40%20.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.045.005.5022.22%19.83%20.00%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Los Angeles Chargers (Local): 81.58%; Arizona Cardinals (Visit): 18.42%. For Arizona Cardinals (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.43. 5 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.50, producing a positive expected value of +1.31%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +1.31%E +0.239%K +0.292%G +0.004%3.7%2026-08-07 19:05
BetMGM🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +1.31%E +0.239%K +0.292%G +0.004%3.7%2026-07-31 17:29
SportsBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.18%E -5.38%K -41.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.31%E +0.239%K +0.292%G +0.004%5.1%2026-08-07 19:10
theScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.00%E -6.14%K -50.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.31%E +0.239%K +0.292%G +0.004%5.9%2026-08-14 19:24
BetUS🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.33%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.67%EV +0.393%E +0.072%K +0.088%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-30 16:55
GTbets🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -0.528%E -0.098%K -0.120%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 22:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -0.528%E -0.098%K -0.120%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-30 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -0.528%E -0.098%K -0.120%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-30 16:49
DraftKings🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.29%E -0.627%K -0.774%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 09:49
Caesars🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.29%E -0.627%K -0.774%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 13:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.29%E -0.627%K -0.774%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 00:45
Betway🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.29%E -0.627%K -0.774%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 09:50
Neds🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -4.21%E -0.810%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 22:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -4.21%E -0.810%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 22:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -4.21%E -0.810%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 19:54
ReBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -4.21%E -0.810%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 19:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.37%E -4.63%K -33.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -6.05%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 19:40
Coolbet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.37%E -4.63%K -33.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -6.05%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-12 09:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.74%E -3.17%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.90%E -1.58%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-10 04:25
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.90%E -1.58%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-14 23:48
Betr (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.55%E -3.89%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.90%E -1.58%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 13:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.37%E -4.63%K -33.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.90%E -1.58%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-10 05:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.37%E -4.63%K -33.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.90%E -1.58%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-11 19:59
NordicBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.82%E -6.92%K -60.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -7.90%E -1.58%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-12 09:49
Betsson🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.82%E -6.92%K -60.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -7.90%E -1.58%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-12 09:50
Pinnacle🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.68%EV -2.92%E -2.45%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 19.32%EV -8.45%E -1.70%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-13 15:44
Bovada🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.74%E -3.17%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -9.74%E -1.99%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-10 20:19
Bet Right🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.74%E -3.17%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -9.74%E -1.99%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-10 20:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.37%E -4.63%K -33.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -9.74%E -1.99%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-11 19:54
TAB🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -3.74%E -3.17%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -10.66%E -2.20%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 05:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.92%E -2.45%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -12.50%E -2.63%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 16:24
BetRivers🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.92%E -2.45%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -12.50%E -2.63%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 16:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.92%E -2.45%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -12.50%E -2.63%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 16:25
Unibet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.92%E -2.45%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -12.50%E -2.63%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 16:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.92%E -2.45%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -12.50%E -2.63%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 16:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.92%E -2.45%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -12.50%E -2.63%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 16:25
Bally Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.92%E -2.45%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -12.50%E -2.63%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 16:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.92%E -2.45%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -12.50%E -2.63%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 16:25
betPARX🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.92%E -2.45%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -12.50%E -2.63%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 16:25
PlayUp🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.92%E -2.45%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -12.50%E -2.63%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 15:38
LeoVegas🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -5.37%E -4.63%K -33.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -15.26%E -3.32%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-14 18:44
NetBet (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 81.08%EV -14.34%E -13.66%K -286.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.92%EV -17.11%E -3.80%K -4.89%G +0.000%17.5%2026-08-11 08:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 80.95%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.05%2.9%2026-08-14 20:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 80.95%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.05%2.9%2026-08-14 20:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 80.95%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.05%2.9%2026-08-14 20:30
Polymarket1.22I 81.97%NM 79.60%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.40%3.0%2026-08-14 22:24
Kalshi1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%3.3%2026-08-14 23:29
Novig1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%7.7%2026-08-14 23:19
Smarkets1.14I 87.72%NM 80.48%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%9.0%2026-08-11 19:55

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