Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Chargers v Arizona Cardinals

2026-09-13 20:25 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Chargers (Local)

Prediction 81.21%1.23fair odd
EV -0.923%
Edge -0.757%
Kelly -4.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.57%81.07%81.26%82.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.091.171.181.2291.74%85.23%84.75%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arizona Cardinals (Visit)

Prediction 18.79%5.32fair odd
EV +4.28%
Edge +0.772%
Kelly +0.941%
Growth +0.040%

assuming max odds 5.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.29%18.93%18.74%21.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.405.005.005.5522.73%19.99%20.00%18.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Los Angeles Chargers (Local): 81.21%; Arizona Cardinals (Visit): 18.79%. For Arizona Cardinals (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.32. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.55, producing a positive expected value of +4.28%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -5.80%E -5.00%K -36.22%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV +4.28%E +0.772%K +0.941%G +0.040%4.2%2026-09-04 02:50
SportsBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 82.07%EV -4.17%E -3.54%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%EV +1.46%E +0.271%K +0.333%G +0.005%3.3%2026-09-02 15:29
FanDuel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.98%E -4.26%K -29.32%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -0.415%E -0.078%K -0.097%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 15:30
BetMGM🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -4.17%E -3.54%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -1.35%E -0.258%K -0.319%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 22:14
BetUS🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -4.17%E -3.54%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -1.35%E -0.258%K -0.319%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-01 21:25
Caesars🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.98%E -4.26%K -29.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.35%E -0.258%K -0.319%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 13:20
Betway🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.98%E -4.26%K -29.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.35%E -0.258%K -0.319%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 23:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.80%E -5.00%K -36.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -1.35%E -0.258%K -0.319%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 02:50
theScore Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.61%E -5.75%K -44.05%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -1.35%E -0.258%K -0.319%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 15:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%EV -3.36%E -2.82%K -17.68%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV -2.29%E -0.441%K -0.546%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-31 22:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%EV -3.36%E -2.82%K -17.68%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV -2.29%E -0.441%K -0.546%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-31 22:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%EV -3.36%E -2.82%K -17.68%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV -2.29%E -0.441%K -0.546%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-31 22:50
TAB🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.80%E -5.00%K -36.22%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -2.29%E -0.441%K -0.546%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 02:49
GTbets🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.17%E -3.54%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -3.23%E -0.628%K -0.779%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 23:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.17%E -3.54%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -3.23%E -0.628%K -0.779%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 21:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.17%E -3.54%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -3.23%E -0.628%K -0.779%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 21:25
Everygame🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.17%E -3.54%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -4.17%E -0.818%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 21:29
BetAnything🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.17%E -3.54%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -4.17%E -0.818%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 20:20
Coolbet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.80%E -5.00%K -36.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -4.17%E -0.818%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 23:34
Fliff🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.80%E -5.00%K -36.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -4.17%E -0.818%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 23:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.36%E -2.82%K -17.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -6.05%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-31 22:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.36%E -2.82%K -17.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -6.05%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-31 22:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.36%E -2.82%K -17.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -6.05%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-04 03:50
Fanatics🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.17%E -3.54%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.05%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 14:55
Unibet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.17%E -3.54%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.05%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 22:50
Bally Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.17%E -3.54%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.05%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 22:50
betPARX🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.17%E -3.54%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.05%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 22:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.17%E -3.54%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.05%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 22:50
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.98%E -4.26%K -29.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.05%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-14 23:48
Neds🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.98%E -4.26%K -29.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.05%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 23:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.98%E -4.26%K -29.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.05%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 23:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.98%E -4.26%K -29.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.05%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 23:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.80%E -5.00%K -36.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.05%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 08:39
NordicBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -8.23%E -7.29%K -63.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -6.05%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-03 23:34
Betsson🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -8.23%E -7.29%K -63.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -6.05%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-03 23:34
Pinnacle🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.49%EV -2.55%E -2.12%K -12.74%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.51%EV -6.99%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-02 15:00
BetRivers🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.17%E -3.54%K -23.18%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.93%E -1.62%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 22:50
Bovada🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.17%E -3.54%K -23.18%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.93%E -1.62%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 02:58
Bet Right🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.17%E -3.54%K -23.18%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.93%E -1.62%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 15:15
ReBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.17%E -3.54%K -23.18%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.93%E -1.62%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 03:49
William Hill🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.17%E -3.54%K -23.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.81%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-28 14:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.98%E -4.26%K -29.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -9.81%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 03:54
Coral🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -6.61%E -5.75%K -44.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -9.81%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-03 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -6.61%E -5.75%K -44.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -9.81%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-03 23:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -4.98%E -4.26%K -29.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -11.69%E -2.49%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 21:46
PlayUp🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.55%E -2.12%K -12.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -13.57%E -2.95%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 02:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.36%E -2.82%K -17.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -13.57%E -2.95%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 19:53
NetBet (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 80.84%EV -11.48%E -10.53%K -127.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.16%EV -13.57%E -2.95%K -3.77%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-03 23:34
LeoVegas🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -5.80%E -5.00%K -36.22%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.32%EV -14.51%E -3.19%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 03:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -0.923%E -0.757%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -15.45%E -3.43%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 03:14
Dabble (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -2.55%E -2.12%K -12.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -17.33%E -3.94%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 02:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%0.8%2026-09-03 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%0.8%2026-09-03 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%0.8%2026-09-03 19:00
Polymarket1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.0%2026-09-03 21:00
Novig1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.3%2026-09-02 03:10
ProphetX1.20I 83.33%NM 81.82%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18%1.9%2026-09-03 19:00
Kalshi1.20I 83.33%NM 81.42%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.58%2.3%2026-09-04 01:10
Smarkets1.19I 84.03%NM 81.94%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.06%2.6%2026-09-04 04:20
Arbitrage (1 combination) +0.01%PointsBet (AU) 1.22 (82.0%) / DraftKings 5.55 (18.0%)Show details
Los Angeles Chargers (Local)Arizona Cardinals (Visit)Margin
PointsBet (AU)🎯 1.22 (82.0%)DraftKings🎯 5.55 (18.0%)+0.015%