Las Vegas Raiders v Kansas City Chiefs

2026-10-04 20:25 — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: Las Vegas Raiders (Local)

Odds

2.9034.48%Min

2.9733.61%Mean

2.9733.61%Median

3.0532.79%Max

Consensus probabilities

31.46%3.179Min

32.40%3.086Max

31.93%3.132Mean

31.93%3.132Median

31.93%3.132IQM

31.85%3.140Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.05 under the IQM model: 31.93%

EV -2.61%Edge -0.856%Kelly -1.27%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Kansas City Chiefs (Visit)

Odds

1.3971.94%Min

1.4071.68%Mean

1.4071.68%Median

1.4071.43%Max

Consensus probabilities

67.60%1.479Min

68.54%1.459Max

68.07%1.469Mean

68.07%1.469Median

68.07%1.469IQM

68.15%1.467Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.40 under the IQM model: 68.07%

EV -4.70%Edge -3.36%Kelly -11.76%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Las Vegas Raiders (Local) ▼	Kansas City Chiefs (Visit)	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	3.05I 32.79% NM 31.46%EV -2.61% E -0.856% K -1.27% G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43% NM 68.54%EV -4.70% E -3.36% K -11.76% G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-06-22 22:49
Bet Right	3.00I 33.33% NM 31.82%EV -4.21% E -1.40% K -2.10% G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43% NM 68.18%EV -4.70% E -3.36% K -11.76% G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-05-26 02:11
Caesars	2.90I 34.48% NM 32.40%EV -7.40% E -2.55% K -3.90% G +0.000%	1.39I 71.94% NM 67.60%EV -5.38% E -3.87% K -13.80% G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-05-15 22:29

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth