Language:English
Las Vegas Raiders v Kansas City Chiefs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Las Vegas Raiders (Local)
Prediction 33.23%3.01fair odd
EV +2.36%
Edge +0.767%
Kelly +1.14%
Growth +0.027%
assuming max odds 3.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.63%33.23%33.41%35.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.852.853.0839.22%35.10%35.09%32.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kansas City Chiefs (Visit)
Prediction 66.77%1.50fair odd
EV -0.520%
Edge -0.349%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.44%66.77%66.59%69.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.431.431.4976.92%70.15%69.93%67.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Las Vegas Raiders (Local): 33.23%; Kansas City Chiefs (Visit): 66.77%. For Las Vegas Raiders (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.01. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.08, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.36%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.63%EV +2.36%E +0.767%K +1.14%G +0.027% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -9.20%E -6.76%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 20:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%EV +1.37%E +0.448%K +0.666%G +0.009% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%EV -4.53%E -3.16%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-10-04 20:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%EV -0.296%E -0.099%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26%EV -2.52%E -1.73%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-10-04 14:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.296%E -0.099%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.19%E -3.66%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-04 20:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.296%E -0.099%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.53%E -4.66%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.296%E -0.099%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.53%E -4.66%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.42%EV -1.62%E -0.549%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.58%EV -5.19%E -3.66%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.42%EV -1.62%E -0.549%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.58%EV -5.19%E -3.66%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11%EV -1.62%E -0.549%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -6.53%E -4.66%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 20:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -1.96%E -0.664%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.53%E -3.16%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-04 20:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -1.96%E -0.664%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.53%E -3.16%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-04 19:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -1.96%E -0.664%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.53%E -3.16%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -1.96%E -0.664%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.53%E -3.16%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-04 20:23 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -1.96%E -0.664%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.19%E -3.66%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-04 20:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.72%EV -2.29%E -0.779%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.28%EV -4.53%E -3.16%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -2.95%E -1.01%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.53%E -3.16%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-04 19:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -3.62%E -1.25%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.19%E -2.20%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-04 09:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.62%E -1.25%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.53%E -3.16%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.62%E -1.25%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.53%E -3.16%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.62%E -1.25%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.53%E -3.16%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.62%E -1.25%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.19%E -3.66%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-04 20:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.62%E -1.25%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.19%E -3.66%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-04 20:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.62%E -1.25%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.53%E -4.66%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-04 20:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.62%E -1.25%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.53%E -4.66%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-04 20:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -3.95%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -3.86%E -2.68%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-04 20:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -5.28%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -1.86%E -1.26%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -5.28%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.19%E -2.20%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.28%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.86%E -2.68%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.28%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.86%E -2.68%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 09:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.28%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.86%E -2.68%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 09:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.28%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.86%E -2.68%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.28%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.53%E -3.16%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 09:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.28%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.53%E -3.16%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 09:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.28%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.53%E -4.66%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -5.95%E -2.10%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -4.53%E -3.16%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.94%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.86%E -2.68%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 20:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.94%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.86%E -2.68%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 20:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.94%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.86%E -2.68%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 18:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.94%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.53%E -3.16%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-04 20:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.94%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.19%E -3.66%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-04 20:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.94%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.19%E -3.66%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-04 18:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -6.94%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -5.86%E -4.16%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.60%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.19%E -2.20%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 20:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.60%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.86%E -2.68%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.60%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.86%E -2.68%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 20:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.60%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.86%E -2.68%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.60%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.86%E -2.68%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 09:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.60%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.86%E -2.68%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 09:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.60%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.86%E -2.68%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 09:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.60%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.86%E -2.68%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 09:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.60%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.86%E -2.68%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 09:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.60%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.53%E -4.66%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-04 20:13 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -10.27%E -3.80%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -0.520%E -0.349%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-04 20:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -10.27%E -3.80%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -4.53%E -3.16%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -10.27%E -3.80%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.53%E -4.66%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.66%EV -10.27%E -3.80%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.34%EV -8.53%E -6.23%K -23.06%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-03 17:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -13.59%E -5.23%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -5.19%E -3.66%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-04 20:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.77%EV -15.25%E -5.98%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 66.23%EV -13.21%E -10.16%K -44.02%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-10-04 09:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.82% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 68.18% | -0.2% | 2026-10-04 20:24 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 0.2% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 0.2% | 2026-10-04 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 0.2% | 2026-10-04 20:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 0.8% | 2026-10-04 20:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 1.0% | 2026-10-04 19:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 1.0% | 2026-10-04 20:15 |
| Novig◎ | 3.08I 32.47%NM 32.01% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.99% | 1.4% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28% | 1.7% | 2026-10-04 20:15 |