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Las Vegas Raiders v Kansas City Chiefs
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Las Vegas Raiders (Local)
Predicción 33.23%3.01momio equitativo
EV +2.36%
Ventaja +0.767%
Kelly +1.14%
Crecimiento +0.027%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.08
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.63%33.23%33.41%35.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.552.852.853.0839.22%35.10%35.09%32.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Kansas City Chiefs (Visitante)
Predicción 66.77%1.50momio equitativo
EV -0.520%
Ventaja -0.349%
Kelly -1.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.49
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.44%66.77%66.59%69.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.301.431.431.4976.92%70.15%69.93%67.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Las Vegas Raiders (Local): 33.23%; Kansas City Chiefs (Visitante): 66.77%. Para Las Vegas Raiders (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.01. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.08, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.36%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.63%EV +2.36%E +0.767%K +1.14%G +0.027% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -9.20%E -6.76%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 20:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%EV +1.37%E +0.448%K +0.666%G +0.009% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%EV -4.53%E -3.16%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-10-04 20:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%EV -0.296%E -0.099%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26%EV -2.52%E -1.73%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-10-04 14:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.296%E -0.099%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.19%E -3.66%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-04 20:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.296%E -0.099%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.53%E -4.66%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.296%E -0.099%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.53%E -4.66%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.42%EV -1.62%E -0.549%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.58%EV -5.19%E -3.66%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.42%EV -1.62%E -0.549%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.58%EV -5.19%E -3.66%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11%EV -1.62%E -0.549%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -6.53%E -4.66%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 20:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -1.96%E -0.664%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.53%E -3.16%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-04 20:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -1.96%E -0.664%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.53%E -3.16%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-04 19:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -1.96%E -0.664%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.53%E -3.16%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -1.96%E -0.664%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.53%E -3.16%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-04 20:23 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -1.96%E -0.664%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.19%E -3.66%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-04 20:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.72%EV -2.29%E -0.779%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.28%EV -4.53%E -3.16%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -2.95%E -1.01%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.53%E -3.16%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-04 19:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -3.62%E -1.25%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.19%E -2.20%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-04 09:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.62%E -1.25%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.53%E -3.16%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.62%E -1.25%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.53%E -3.16%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.62%E -1.25%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.53%E -3.16%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.62%E -1.25%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.19%E -3.66%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-04 20:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.62%E -1.25%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.19%E -3.66%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-04 20:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.62%E -1.25%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.53%E -4.66%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-04 20:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.62%E -1.25%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.53%E -4.66%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-04 20:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -3.95%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -3.86%E -2.68%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-04 20:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -5.28%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -1.86%E -1.26%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -5.28%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.19%E -2.20%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.28%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.86%E -2.68%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.28%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.86%E -2.68%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 09:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.28%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.86%E -2.68%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 09:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.28%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.86%E -2.68%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.28%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.53%E -3.16%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 09:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.28%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.53%E -3.16%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 09:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.28%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.53%E -4.66%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -5.95%E -2.10%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -4.53%E -3.16%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.94%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.86%E -2.68%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 20:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.94%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.86%E -2.68%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 20:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.94%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.86%E -2.68%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 18:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.94%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.53%E -3.16%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-04 20:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.94%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.19%E -3.66%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-04 20:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.94%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.19%E -3.66%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-04 18:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -6.94%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -5.86%E -4.16%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.60%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.19%E -2.20%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 20:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.60%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.86%E -2.68%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.60%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.86%E -2.68%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 20:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.60%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.86%E -2.68%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.60%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.86%E -2.68%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 09:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.60%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.86%E -2.68%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 09:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.60%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.86%E -2.68%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 09:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.60%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.86%E -2.68%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 09:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.60%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.86%E -2.68%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 09:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.60%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.53%E -4.66%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-04 20:13 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -10.27%E -3.80%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -0.520%E -0.349%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-04 20:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -10.27%E -3.80%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -4.53%E -3.16%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -10.27%E -3.80%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.53%E -4.66%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-04 20:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.66%EV -10.27%E -3.80%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.34%EV -8.53%E -6.23%K -23.06%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-03 17:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -13.59%E -5.23%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -5.19%E -3.66%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-04 20:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.77%EV -15.25%E -5.98%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 66.23%EV -13.21%E -10.16%K -44.02%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-10-04 09:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.82% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 68.18% | -0.2% | 2026-10-04 20:24 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 0.2% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 0.2% | 2026-10-04 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 0.2% | 2026-10-04 20:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 0.8% | 2026-10-04 20:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 1.0% | 2026-10-04 19:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 1.0% | 2026-10-04 20:15 |
| Novig◎ | 3.08I 32.47%NM 32.01% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.99% | 1.4% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28% | 1.7% | 2026-10-04 20:15 |