The School of Odds

Jacksonville Jaguars v Indianapolis Colts

2026-11-01 18:00 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Jacksonville Jaguars (Local)

Prediction 65.16%1.53fair odd
EV -3.56%
Edge -2.41%
Kelly -7.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.59%65.16%65.16%65.73%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.461.471.471.4868%68%68%68%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Indianapolis Colts (Visit)

Prediction 34.84%2.87fair odd
EV -2.45%
Edge -0.875%
Kelly -1.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.27%34.84%34.84%35.41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.702.752.752.8037%36%36%36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.56%E -2.41%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.93%E -2.20%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-22 22:48
DraftKings1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.87%E -3.33%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -2.45%E -0.875%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-22 22:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.