Jacksonville Jaguars v Indianapolis Colts

2026-11-01 18:00 — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: Jacksonville Jaguars (Local)

Odds

1.4668.49%Min

1.4768.03%Mean

1.4768.03%Median

1.4867.57%Max

Consensus probabilities

64.59%1.548Min

65.73%1.521Max

65.16%1.535Mean

65.16%1.535Median

65.16%1.535IQM

65.18%1.534Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.48 under the IQM model: 65.16%

EV -3.56%Edge -2.41%Kelly -7.42%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Indianapolis Colts (Visit)

Odds

2.7037.04%Min

2.7536.36%Mean

2.7536.36%Median

2.8035.71%Max

Consensus probabilities

34.27%2.918Min

35.41%2.824Max

34.84%2.870Mean

34.84%2.870Median

34.84%2.870IQM

34.82%2.872Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.80 under the IQM model: 34.84%

EV -2.45%Edge -0.875%Kelly -1.36%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Jacksonville Jaguars (Local) ▼	Indianapolis Colts (Visit)	Margin	Updated
Caesars	1.48I 67.57% NM 64.59%EV -3.56% E -2.41% K -7.42% G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04% NM 35.41%EV -5.93% E -2.20% K -3.49% G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-06-22 22:48
DraftKings	1.46I 68.49% NM 65.73%EV -4.87% E -3.33% K -10.58% G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71% NM 34.27%EV -2.45% E -0.875% K -1.36% G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-06-22 22:39

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth