The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Jacksonville Jaguars v Indianapolis Colts

Kickoff: 2026-11-01 18:02 UTC

Final: Jacksonville Jaguars 42–7 Indianapolis Colts

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jacksonville Jaguars (Local)

Prediction 79.95%1.25fair odd
EV -2.47%
Edge -2.02%
Kelly -11.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.29%80.00%79.95%81.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.091.191.201.2291.74%83.97%83.33%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Indianapolis Colts (Visit)

Prediction 20.05%4.99fair odd
EV +4.28%
Edge +0.823%
Kelly +1.02%
Growth +0.044%

assuming max odds 5.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.11%20.00%20.05%21.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.754.775.2024.39%21.05%20.96%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jacksonville Jaguars (Local): 79.95%; Indianapolis Colts (Visit): 20.05%. For Indianapolis Colts (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.99. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.28%.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
ReBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%EV -4.86%E -4.09%K -25.60%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV +4.28%E +0.823%K +1.02%G +0.044%3.3%2026-11-01 17:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -8.06%E -7.01%K -53.74%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV +4.28%E +0.823%K +1.02%G +0.044%6.2%2026-11-01 17:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.86%EV -9.66%E -8.55%K -74.31%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV +2.27%E +0.446%K +0.554%G +0.013%8.1%2026-11-01 18:00
Coolbet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39%EV -2.47%E -2.02%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%EV +0.267%E +0.053%K +0.067%G +0.000%2.0%2026-11-01 16:05
FanDuel🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.86%E -4.09%K -25.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +0.267%E +0.053%K +0.067%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-01 16:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.86%E -4.09%K -25.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +0.267%E +0.053%K +0.067%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-01 17:24
picklebet_au🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.66%E -4.80%K -31.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +0.267%E +0.053%K +0.067%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-01 17:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.66%E -4.80%K -31.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +0.267%E +0.053%K +0.067%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-01 15:10
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.46%E -5.52%K -38.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +0.267%E +0.053%K +0.067%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-31 12:00
Fliff🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -7.26%E -6.26%K -45.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +0.267%E +0.053%K +0.067%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-01 17:29
SportsBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -5.66%E -4.80%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -0.736%E -0.149%K -0.186%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-01 16:50
LeoVegas🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.01%EV -7.26%E -6.26%K -45.39%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.99%EV -0.736%E -0.149%K -0.186%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-01 18:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -3.26%E -2.70%K -15.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV -1.74%E -0.355%K -0.446%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-27 21:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -3.26%E -2.70%K -15.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV -1.74%E -0.355%K -0.446%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-27 21:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -3.26%E -2.70%K -15.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV -1.74%E -0.355%K -0.446%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-27 21:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -3.26%E -2.70%K -15.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV -1.74%E -0.355%K -0.446%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-27 21:10
BetUS🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.06%E -3.39%K -20.32%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -1.74%E -0.355%K -0.446%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-01 16:24
Fanatics🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.86%E -4.09%K -25.60%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -1.74%E -0.355%K -0.446%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-01 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.06%E -3.39%K -20.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -3.74%E -0.780%K -0.985%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-01 16:15
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.06%E -3.39%K -20.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -3.74%E -0.780%K -0.985%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-01 16:14
BetMGM🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.06%E -3.39%K -20.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -3.74%E -0.780%K -0.985%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-01 17:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.86%E -4.09%K -25.60%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -3.74%E -0.780%K -0.985%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-01 18:00
betfred_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.66%E -4.80%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -3.74%E -0.780%K -0.985%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-28 23:10
William Hill🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.66%E -4.80%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -3.74%E -0.780%K -0.985%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-28 22:55
888sport🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.66%E -4.80%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -3.74%E -0.780%K -0.985%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-28 22:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.66%E -4.80%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -3.74%E -0.780%K -0.985%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-28 22:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.66%E -4.80%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -3.74%E -0.780%K -0.985%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-28 22:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.46%E -5.52%K -38.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -3.74%E -0.780%K -0.985%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-01 18:00
Pinnacle🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.70%EV -2.47%E -2.02%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 20.30%EV -3.94%E -0.823%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.8%2026-11-01 17:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.90%EV -4.06%E -3.39%K -20.32%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 20.10%EV -4.35%E -0.911%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-01 11:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.90%EV -4.06%E -3.39%K -20.32%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 20.10%EV -4.35%E -0.911%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-01 12:00
BetRivers🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.06%E -3.39%K -20.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.75%E -0.999%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-27 21:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.06%E -3.39%K -20.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.75%E -0.999%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-27 21:09
Unibet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.06%E -3.39%K -20.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.75%E -0.999%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-27 21:09
Bally Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.06%E -3.39%K -20.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.75%E -0.999%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-27 21:10
betPARX🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.06%E -3.39%K -20.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.75%E -0.999%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-27 21:09
BetAnything🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.06%E -3.39%K -20.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.75%E -0.999%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-01 17:20
Everygame🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.06%E -3.39%K -20.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.75%E -0.999%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-28 18:31
Betr (AU)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.86%E -4.09%K -25.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.75%E -0.999%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-01 16:45
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.66%E -4.80%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -4.75%E -0.999%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-01 18:00
DraftKings🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.26%E -2.70%K -15.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -5.75%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-11-01 16:35
Caesars🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.26%E -2.70%K -15.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -5.75%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-11-01 14:10
GTbets🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.06%E -3.39%K -20.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -5.75%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-01 17:15
Bovada🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.35%EV -3.26%E -2.70%K -15.55%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.65%EV -6.75%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-01 17:20
theScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.06%E -3.39%K -20.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.75%E -1.69%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-01 16:50
Bet Victor🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.66%E -4.80%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -7.75%E -1.69%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 16:40
betano_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.66%E -4.80%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -7.75%E -1.69%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 16:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.47%E -2.02%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -9.76%E -2.17%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-27 23:39
Bet Right🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -3.26%E -2.70%K -15.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -9.76%E -2.17%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-01 17:15
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.06%E -3.39%K -20.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.76%E -2.17%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-01 16:49
Neds🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.06%E -3.39%K -20.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.76%E -2.17%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-01 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.06%E -3.39%K -20.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.76%E -2.17%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-01 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.06%E -3.39%K -20.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.76%E -2.17%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-01 16:50
TAB🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.06%E -3.39%K -20.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.76%E -2.17%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-01 17:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -7.26%E -6.26%K -45.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.76%E -2.17%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-01 18:00
NordicBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.66%EV -3.26%E -2.70%K -15.55%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.34%EV -10.56%E -2.37%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-01 12:00
Betsson🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.66%EV -3.26%E -2.70%K -15.55%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.34%EV -10.56%E -2.37%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-01 11:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -2.47%E -2.02%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -11.77%E -2.67%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-01 11:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.56%EV -7.26%E -6.26%K -45.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -14.77%E -3.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-01 18:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 79.00%EV -12.86%E -11.80%K -142.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.00%EV -17.78%E -4.34%K -5.74%G +0.000%16.1%2026-10-27 21:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.22I 81.97%NM 82.06%5.58I 17.92%NM 17.94%-0.1%2026-11-01 17:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-11-01 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-11-01 18:00
Novig◎1.23I 81.30%NM 80.66%5.13I 19.49%NM 19.34%0.8%2026-11-01 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%0.8%2026-11-01 17:20
Matchbook◎1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-11-01 18:00
Kalshi◎1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.0%2026-11-01 14:40
Polymarket◎1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.0%2026-11-01 09:50
Smarkets◎1.22I 81.97%NM 81.00%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.00%1.2%2026-11-01 17:15
ProphetX◎1.22I 81.97%NM 81.00%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.00%1.2%2026-11-01 18:00