Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jacksonville Jaguars v Indianapolis Colts

2026-11-01 18:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

65%

35%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jacksonville Jaguars (Local)

Prediction 65.16%1.53fair odd

EV -3.56%

Edge -2.41%

Kelly -7.42%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

64.59%65.16%65.16%65.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.461.471.471.4868.49%68.03%68.03%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Indianapolis Colts (Visit)

Prediction 34.84%2.87fair odd

EV -2.45%

Edge -0.875%

Kelly -1.36%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

34.27%34.84%34.84%35.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.702.752.752.8037.04%36.36%36.36%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Jacksonville Jaguars (Local): 65.16%; Indianapolis Colts (Visit): 34.84%. For Indianapolis Colts (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.87. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.80, with an expected value of -2.45%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Caesars🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.56%E -2.41%K -7.42%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.93%E -2.20%K -3.49%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-06-22 22:48
DraftKings🎯	1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.87%E -3.33%K -10.58%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -2.45%E -0.875%K -1.36%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-08-06 22:35

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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