Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Jacksonville Jaguars v Indianapolis Colts

2026-11-01 18:00 UTC — NFL

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Jacksonville Jaguars (Local)

Predicción 76.49%1.31momio equitativo
EV -3.62%
Ventaja -2.87%
Kelly -13.93%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.26

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
74.53%76.70%76.41%78.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.131.241.251.2688.50%80.55%80.00%79.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Indianapolis Colts (Visitante)

Predicción 23.51%4.25momio equitativo
EV +5.79%
Ventaja +1.29%
Kelly +1.65%
Crecimiento +0.096%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.33%23.30%23.59%25.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.604.074.004.5027.78%24.56%25.00%22.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Jacksonville Jaguars (Local): 76.49%; Indianapolis Colts (Visitante): 23.51%. Para Indianapolis Colts (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.25. 14 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 4.50, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +5.79%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
FanDuel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -6.68%E -5.48%K -30.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +5.79%E +1.29%K +1.65%G +0.096%4.2%2026-10-26 04:15
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -6.68%E -5.48%K -30.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +5.79%E +1.29%K +1.65%G +0.096%4.2%2026-10-26 08:24
SportsBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -7.45%E -6.15%K -35.46%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV +4.62%E +1.04%K +1.34%G +0.062%5.1%2026-10-26 00:21
theScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.68%E -5.48%K -30.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +3.44%E +0.782%K +1.01%G +0.035%4.7%2026-10-26 00:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -5.92%E -4.81%K -25.72%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV +2.27%E +0.521%K +0.676%G +0.015%4.3%2026-10-25 21:46
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -5.92%E -4.81%K -25.72%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV +2.27%E +0.521%K +0.676%G +0.015%4.3%2026-10-25 21:47
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -5.92%E -4.81%K -25.72%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV +2.27%E +0.521%K +0.676%G +0.015%4.3%2026-10-25 21:47
Unibet (NL)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -5.92%E -4.81%K -25.72%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV +2.27%E +0.521%K +0.676%G +0.015%4.3%2026-10-25 21:46
Unibet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -5.92%E -4.81%K -25.72%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV +2.27%E +0.521%K +0.676%G +0.015%4.3%2026-10-25 21:46
Bally Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -5.92%E -4.81%K -25.72%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV +2.27%E +0.521%K +0.676%G +0.015%4.3%2026-10-25 21:46
ATG (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -5.92%E -4.81%K -25.72%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV +2.27%E +0.521%K +0.676%G +0.015%4.3%2026-10-25 21:47
betPARX🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -5.92%E -4.81%K -25.72%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV +2.27%E +0.521%K +0.676%G +0.015%4.3%2026-10-25 21:46
Svenska Spel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -5.92%E -4.81%K -25.72%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV +2.27%E +0.521%K +0.676%G +0.015%4.3%2026-10-25 21:47
Marathon Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -7.45%E -6.15%K -35.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV +1.09%E +0.254%K +0.330%G +0.004%5.9%2026-10-26 05:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.39%E -3.51%K -17.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.26%E -0.300%K -0.394%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-26 04:20
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.39%E -3.51%K -17.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.26%E -0.300%K -0.394%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-26 04:20
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.39%E -3.51%K -17.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.26%E -0.300%K -0.394%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-26 04:20
Coolbet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.39%E -3.51%K -17.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.26%E -0.300%K -0.394%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-26 04:51
Pinnacle🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.80%EV -3.62%E -2.87%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.20%EV -1.97%E -0.471%K -0.620%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-26 04:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.39%E -3.51%K -17.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.61%E -0.881%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-26 06:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.15%E -4.15%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.61%E -0.881%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-26 04:51
GTbets🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -3.62%E -2.87%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -4.79%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-26 00:55
BetUS🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -3.62%E -2.87%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -4.79%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-26 02:35
Bovada🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.15%E -4.15%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -4.79%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-26 04:48
LowVig.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -3.62%E -2.87%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -5.26%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-26 02:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -3.62%E -2.87%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -5.26%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-26 02:24
DraftKings🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.62%E -2.87%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.96%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-26 04:50
BetAnything🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.62%E -2.87%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.96%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-26 01:05
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.39%E -3.51%K -17.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.96%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-25 21:47
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.39%E -3.51%K -17.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.96%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-26 04:50
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.39%E -3.51%K -17.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.96%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-23 19:45
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.39%E -3.51%K -17.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.96%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-23 19:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.39%E -3.51%K -17.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.96%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-23 19:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.39%E -3.51%K -17.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.96%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-23 19:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.15%E -4.15%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.96%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 08:35
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.68%E -5.48%K -30.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.96%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-26 00:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.68%E -5.48%K -30.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.96%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-26 00:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.21%E -6.84%K -41.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.96%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-26 07:10
Caesars🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.62%E -2.87%K -13.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.14%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-25 22:38
ReBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.62%E -2.87%K -13.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.14%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-26 04:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.62%E -2.87%K -13.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.14%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-26 04:50
Neds🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.62%E -2.87%K -13.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -8.31%E -2.13%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-26 02:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.62%E -2.87%K -13.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -8.31%E -2.13%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-26 02:24
TAB🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.62%E -2.87%K -13.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -8.31%E -2.13%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-26 04:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.39%E -3.51%K -17.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -8.31%E -2.13%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 04:50
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.39%E -3.51%K -17.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -8.31%E -2.13%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 04:50
NordicBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.39%EV -3.62%E -2.87%K -13.93%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.61%EV -9.25%E -2.40%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 22:01
Betsson🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.39%EV -3.62%E -2.87%K -13.93%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.61%EV -9.25%E -2.40%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 22:00
Bet Right🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.62%E -2.87%K -13.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -9.49%E -2.46%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-26 03:35
Dabble (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.62%E -2.87%K -13.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -9.49%E -2.46%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-26 04:50
Fliff🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.39%E -3.51%K -17.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.49%E -2.46%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-26 07:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.39%E -3.51%K -17.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.66%E -2.81%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-26 05:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.15%E -4.15%K -21.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.66%E -2.81%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-26 04:49
picklebet_au🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.15%E -4.15%K -21.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.66%E -2.81%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-26 04:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 76.60%EV -13.57%E -12.00%K -104.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.40%EV -13.02%E -3.52%K -4.82%G +0.000%15.5%2026-10-25 21:47
LeoVegas🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -5.92%E -4.81%K -25.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -15.37%E -4.27%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-26 02:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.1%2026-10-26 04:21
Novig◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.1%2026-10-26 08:55
ProphetX◎1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36%1.9%2026-10-26 04:51
Polymarket◎1.28I 78.13%NM 76.51%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49%2.1%2026-10-26 04:45
Matchbook◎1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%5.6%2026-10-26 04:45
Smarkets◎1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%5.8%2026-10-26 09:40