Houston Texans v Dallas Cowboys

2026-10-04 17:00 — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: Houston Texans (Local)

Odds

1.5962.89%Min

1.6760.06%Mean

1.6760.06%Median

1.7457.47%Max

Consensus probabilities

55.15%1.813Min

59.13%1.691Max

57.14%1.750Mean

57.14%1.750Median

57.14%1.750IQM

56.80%1.761Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.74 under the IQM model: 57.14%

EV -0.576%Edge -0.331%Kelly -0.778%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Dallas Cowboys (Visit)

Odds

2.1446.73%Min

2.2245.05%Mean

2.2245.05%Median

2.3043.48%Max

Consensus probabilities

40.87%2.447Min

44.85%2.230Max

42.86%2.333Mean

42.86%2.333Median

42.86%2.333IQM

43.20%2.315Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.30 under the IQM model: 42.86%

EV -1.42%Edge -0.619%Kelly -1.09%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Houston Texans (Local) ▼	Dallas Cowboys (Visit)	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	1.74I 57.47% NM 55.15%EV -0.576% E -0.331% K -0.778% G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73% NM 44.85%EV -8.28% E -3.87% K -7.26% G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-06-10 14:30
Bet Right	1.67I 59.88% NM 57.07%EV -4.58% E -2.74% K -6.83% G +0.000%	2.22I 45.05% NM 42.93%EV -4.85% E -2.19% K -3.98% G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-05-26 02:11
Caesars	1.59I 62.89% NM 59.13%EV -9.15% E -5.75% K -15.50% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 40.87%EV -1.42% E -0.619% K -1.09% G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-05-15 21:45

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth