Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Texans v Dallas Cowboys

Inicio: 2026-10-04 17:02 UTC

Final: Houston Texans 30–34 Dallas Cowboys

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Texans (Local)

Predicción 57.90%1.73momio equitativo
EV +0.746%
Ventaja +0.429%
Kelly +1.01%
Crecimiento +0.008%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.33%57.69%57.93%58.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.501.651.651.7466.67%60.57%60.61%57.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Dallas Cowboys (Visitante)

Predicción 42.10%2.38momio equitativo
EV -1.06%
Ventaja -0.453%
Kelly -0.789%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.25%42.31%42.07%45.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.252.252.3550.00%44.35%44.44%42.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Houston Texans (Local): 57.90%; Dallas Cowboys (Visitante): 42.10%. Para Houston Texans (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.73. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.74, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.746%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV +0.746%E +0.429%K +1.01%G +0.008%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -12.85%E -6.21%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-04 16:29
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -0.991%E -0.580%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -3.17%E -1.38%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.0%2026-10-04 15:55
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.15%E -1.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-04 15:13
Everygame🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.15%E -1.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-04 16:06
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.15%E -1.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -9.48%E -4.41%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 15:50
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -1.49%E -0.635%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-04 16:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.33%E -1.00%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-04 15:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.33%E -1.00%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-04 15:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.33%E -1.00%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-04 15:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.33%E -1.00%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-04 15:05
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.17%E -1.38%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-04 15:50
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.17%E -1.38%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-04 16:25
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -3.59%E -1.57%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-04 16:30
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-04 14:15
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-04 14:15
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -5.70%E -2.54%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-04 16:30
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.12%E -2.74%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 15:05
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.12%E -2.74%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.12%E -2.74%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 15:05
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.12%E -2.74%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 15:05
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.12%E -2.74%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 15:05
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 03:49
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 03:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 03:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 03:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.48%E -4.41%K -8.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-04 03:50
ReBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -3.89%E -2.34%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -1.91%E -0.818%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-04 16:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.89%E -2.34%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 16:50
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.06%E -0.453%K -0.789%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-04 16:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -1.49%E -0.635%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-04 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -1.49%E -0.635%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-04 16:55
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -2.75%E -1.19%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-04 04:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -2.75%E -1.19%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-04 05:10
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.17%E -1.38%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-04 16:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.17%E -1.38%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-04 14:15
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-04 14:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-04 17:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-04 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-04 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-04 14:50
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-04 14:50
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-04 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-04 14:35
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-04 15:49
FanDuel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -5.04%E -3.08%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.33%E -1.00%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-04 12:50
SportsBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.62%E -3.45%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.17%E -1.38%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-04 12:50
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.62%E -3.45%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-04 16:59
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.20%E -3.83%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.17%E -1.38%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 16:38
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.20%E -3.83%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.17%E -1.38%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 16:40
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.20%E -3.83%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.17%E -1.38%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 16:40
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.20%E -3.83%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.17%E -1.38%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 16:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.20%E -3.83%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-04 03:49
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.20%E -3.83%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-04 17:00
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.20%E -3.83%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-04 17:00
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.78%E -4.21%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-04 16:35
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.78%E -4.21%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-04 16:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -8.52%E -5.39%K -14.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-04 16:34
NetBet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.33%EV -10.26%E -6.62%K -18.65%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.67%EV -8.64%E -3.98%K -7.39%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-04 12:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 57.14%EV -13.15%E -8.77%K -26.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -15.80%E -7.90%K -15.80%G +0.000%16.7%2026-10-04 15:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30%0.2%2026-10-04 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30%0.2%2026-10-04 17:00
Matchbook◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-10-04 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-10-04 16:20
Novig◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.26%0.7%2026-10-04 17:00
Polymarket◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-10-04 14:15
Smarkets◎1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%1.9%2026-10-04 16:50
ProphetX◎1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%1.9%2026-10-04 17:00
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-10-04 17:00
BetOpenly◎1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%4.5%2026-10-04 16:46