The School of Odds

Green Bay Packers v Chicago Bears

2026-10-11 20:25 — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: Green Bay Packers (Local)

1.5265.79%Min
1.5664.10%Mean
1.5664.10%Median
1.6062.50%Max
60.00%1.667Min
62.19%1.608Max
61.09%1.637Mean
61.09%1.637Median
61.09%1.637IQM
60.95%1.641Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.60 under the IQM model: 61.09%

EV -2.25%Edge -1.41%Kelly -3.75%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Chicago Bears (Visit)

2.4041.67%Min
2.4540.82%Mean
2.4540.82%Median
2.5040.00%Max
37.81%2.645Min
40.00%2.500Max
38.91%2.570Mean
38.91%2.570Median
38.91%2.570IQM
39.05%2.561Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.50 under the IQM model: 38.91%

EV -2.74%Edge -1.09%Kelly -1.82%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerGreen Bay Packers (Local) ▼Chicago Bears (Visit)MarginUpdated
DraftKings1.60I 62.50% NM 60.00%EV -2.25% E -1.41% K -3.75% G +0.000%2.40I 41.67% NM 40.00%EV -6.63% E -2.76% K -4.73% G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 09:59
Caesars1.52I 65.79% NM 62.19%EV -7.14% E -4.69% K -13.72% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 37.81%EV -2.74% E -1.09% K -1.82% G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 22:38
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth