Green Bay Packers v Chicago Bears

2026-10-11 20:25 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

61%

39%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Green Bay Packers (Local)

Prediction 61.09%1.64fair odd

EV -2.25%

Edge -1.41%

Kelly -3.75%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

60.00%61.09%61.09%62.19%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.521.561.561.6066%64%64%63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Chicago Bears (Visit)

Prediction 38.91%2.57fair odd

EV -2.74%

Edge -1.09%

Kelly -1.82%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

37.81%38.91%38.91%40.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.402.452.452.5042%41%41%40%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.25%E -1.41%K -3.75%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.63%E -2.76%K -4.73%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-06-30 09:59
Caesars	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.14%E -4.69%K -13.72%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -2.74%E -1.09%K -1.82%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-15 22:38

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.