Language:English
Green Bay Packers v Chicago Bears
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Green Bay Packers (Local)
Prediction 47.90%2.09fair odd
EV -1.80%
Edge -0.876%
Kelly -1.71%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.75%48.00%47.83%49.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.981.992.0556.50%50.54%50.25%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chicago Bears (Visit)
Prediction 52.10%1.92fair odd
EV -0.497%
Edge -0.260%
Kelly -0.546%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.26%52.00%52.17%53.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.831.831.9159.88%54.69%54.64%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Green Bay Packers (Local): 47.90%; Chicago Bears (Visit): 52.10%. For Chicago Bears (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.92. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.91, with an expected value of -0.497%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -1.80%E -0.876%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -5.71%E -3.15%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-10 13:58 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.80%E -0.876%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.23%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-11 11:28 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.23%E -1.60%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.58%E -1.38%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-11 16:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.23%E -1.60%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.58%E -1.38%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-11 16:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.23%E -1.60%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.58%E -1.38%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-11 16:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.23%E -1.60%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.58%E -1.38%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-11 16:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.23%E -1.60%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-11 15:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.23%E -1.60%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.19%E -2.85%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-11 15:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -3.71%E -1.85%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -0.497%E -0.260%K -0.546%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-10-11 16:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -3.71%E -1.85%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -4.14%E -2.25%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-11 16:38 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -4.14%E -2.25%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-11 15:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-11 15:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-11 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-11 16:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-11 16:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-11 16:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-11 16:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-11 16:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-11 16:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-11 15:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-11 16:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.23%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.23%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.23%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.23%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.23%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-11 16:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.84%EV -4.67%E -2.35%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.16%EV -1.02%E -0.536%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-11 16:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.67%E -2.35%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.19%E -2.85%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-11 16:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.15%E -2.60%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.15%E -2.60%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 15:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.15%E -2.60%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.15%E -2.60%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.63%E -2.86%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-11 16:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.63%E -2.86%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-11 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.63%E -2.86%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-11 16:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.63%E -2.86%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-11 16:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.63%E -2.86%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.71%E -3.15%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-11 16:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.63%E -2.86%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.23%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-11 15:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.11%E -3.12%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 16:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.11%E -3.12%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 16:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.11%E -3.12%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 16:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.58%E -1.38%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-11 16:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.58%E -1.38%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-11 16:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-11 15:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-11 16:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-11 16:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.23%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.23%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-11 16:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.23%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-11 16:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -7.54%E -3.91%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -8.83%E -5.05%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-11 16:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -8.50%E -4.45%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -7.79%E -4.40%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-11 16:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -8.98%E -4.73%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -2.06%E -1.10%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-11 16:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -8.98%E -4.73%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.83%E -5.05%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-11 16:33 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 48.55%EV -15.21%E -8.59%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.45%EV -13.00%E -7.78%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-10-11 16:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 0.6% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 0.6% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 1.1% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76% | 1.5% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94% | 2.4% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |