Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Green Bay Packers v Chicago Bears

Início: 2026-10-11 17:03 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Green Bay Packers (Local)

Previsão 47.90%2.09odd justa
EV -1.80%
Vantagem -0.876%
Kelly -1.71%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.75%48.00%47.83%49.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.771.981.992.0556.50%50.54%50.25%48.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chicago Bears (Visitante)

Previsão 52.10%1.92odd justa
EV -0.497%
Vantagem -0.260%
Kelly -0.546%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.26%52.00%52.17%53.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.671.831.831.9159.88%54.69%54.64%52.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Green Bay Packers (Local): 47.90%; Chicago Bears (Visitante): 52.10%. Para Chicago Bears (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.92. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.91, com valor esperado de -0.497%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -1.80%E -0.876%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -5.71%E -3.15%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-10 13:58
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.80%E -0.876%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.23%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-11 11:28
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.23%E -1.60%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.58%E -1.38%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-11 16:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.23%E -1.60%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.58%E -1.38%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-11 16:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.23%E -1.60%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.58%E -1.38%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-11 16:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.23%E -1.60%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.58%E -1.38%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-11 16:50
FanDuel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.23%E -1.60%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-11 15:30
SportsBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.23%E -1.60%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.19%E -2.85%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-11 15:54
Coolbet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -3.71%E -1.85%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -0.497%E -0.260%K -0.546%G +0.000%2.1%2026-10-11 16:55
MyBookie.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -3.71%E -1.85%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -4.14%E -2.25%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-11 16:38
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -4.14%E -2.25%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-11 17:00
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-11 15:34
GTbets🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-11 15:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-11 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-11 16:05
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-11 16:04
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-11 16:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-11 16:39
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-11 16:10
BetAnything🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-11 16:40
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-11 15:35
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-11 16:25
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.23%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 14:00
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.23%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 14:01
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.23%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 14:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.23%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 14:00
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.19%E -2.10%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.23%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-11 16:40
Pinnacle🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.84%EV -4.67%E -2.35%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.16%EV -1.02%E -0.536%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-11 16:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.67%E -2.35%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.19%E -2.85%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 16:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.15%E -2.60%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-11 17:00
Bet Right🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.15%E -2.60%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-11 15:55
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.15%E -2.60%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-11 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.15%E -2.60%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-11 16:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.63%E -2.86%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-11 16:49
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.63%E -2.86%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-11 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.63%E -2.86%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-11 16:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.63%E -2.86%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-11 16:39
Codere (IT)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.63%E -2.86%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.71%E -3.15%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-11 16:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.63%E -2.86%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.23%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-11 15:29
BetRivers🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.11%E -3.12%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-11 16:50
betPARX🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.11%E -3.12%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-11 16:49
Bally Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.11%E -3.12%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-11 16:50
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.58%E -1.38%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-11 16:29
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.58%E -1.38%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-11 16:39
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 15:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 16:20
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 17:00
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 16:20
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.23%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-11 17:00
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.23%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-11 16:29
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.23%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-11 16:29
NetBet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -7.54%E -3.91%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -8.83%E -5.05%K -11.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-11 16:34
LeoVegas🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -8.50%E -4.45%K -9.34%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -7.79%E -4.40%K -10.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-11 16:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -8.98%E -4.73%K -9.98%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -2.06%E -1.10%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 16:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -8.98%E -4.73%K -9.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.83%E -5.05%K -11.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-11 16:33
PMU (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 48.55%EV -15.21%E -8.59%K -19.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.45%EV -13.00%E -7.78%K -19.40%G +0.000%16.4%2026-10-11 16:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-10-11 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-10-11 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-10-11 16:59
Matchbook◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-10-11 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-10-11 17:00
Polymarket◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-10-11 17:00
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-10-11 17:00
ProphetX◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-10-11 16:59
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%1.5%2026-10-11 16:59
BetOpenly◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%2.4%2026-10-11 16:59