Green Bay Packers v Atlanta Falcons

2026-09-25 00:15 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

75%

25%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Green Bay Packers (Local)

Prediction 74.56%1.34fair odd

EV -4.56%

Edge -3.56%

Kelly -16.29%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

74.07%74.56%74.56%75.05%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.261.271.271.2879%79%79%78%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Atlanta Falcons (Visit)

Prediction 25.44%3.93fair odd

EV -2.06%

Edge -0.535%

Kelly -0.723%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

24.95%25.44%25.44%25.93%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.603.733.733.8528%27%27%26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.56%E -3.56%K -16.29%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -2.06%E -0.535%K -0.723%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-22 19:19
Caesars	1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.05%E -4.80%K -23.28%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.42%E -2.34%K -3.24%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-05-15 20:35

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.