Language:English
Green Bay Packers v Atlanta Falcons
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Green Bay Packers (Local)
Prediction 67.72%1.48fair odd
EV -1.80%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -4.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.84%67.56%67.80%69.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.411.421.4574.07%70.86%70.42%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atlanta Falcons (Visit)
Prediction 32.28%3.10fair odd
EV +0.056%
Edge +0.018%
Kelly +0.027%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.49%32.44%32.20%35.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.912.953.1039.22%34.33%33.90%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Green Bay Packers (Local): 67.72%; Atlanta Falcons (Visit): 32.28%. For Atlanta Falcons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.098. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.100, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.056%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.19%E -3.70%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +0.056%E +0.018%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-24 20:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.19%E -3.70%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +0.056%E +0.018%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-24 19:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.19%E -3.70%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +0.056%E +0.018%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-25 00:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.54%E -4.74%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +0.056%E +0.018%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-23 14:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.90%E -5.81%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.056%E +0.018%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-23 16:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.90%E -5.81%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.056%E +0.018%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-23 16:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.90%E -5.81%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.056%E +0.018%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-23 16:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.90%E -5.81%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.056%E +0.018%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-23 16:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.90%E -5.81%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.056%E +0.018%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-24 18:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.90%E -5.81%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.056%E +0.018%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-24 11:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.90%E -5.81%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.056%E +0.018%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-24 11:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%EV -2.48%E -1.72%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%EV -1.56%E -0.511%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-09-25 00:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.54%E -4.74%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.56%E -0.511%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-24 18:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.54%E -4.74%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.56%E -0.511%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-24 18:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.09%EV -3.83%E -2.70%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.91%EV -2.20%E -0.727%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-25 00:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.87%EV -3.15%E -2.21%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.13%EV -2.53%E -0.837%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-25 00:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.83%E -2.70%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.17%E -1.06%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-25 00:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.83%E -2.70%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.17%E -1.06%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-25 00:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.83%E -2.70%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.17%E -1.06%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-25 00:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.51%E -3.20%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.17%E -1.06%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-24 21:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.19%E -3.70%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.17%E -1.06%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-24 13:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.80%EV -3.83%E -2.70%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.20%EV -3.49%E -1.17%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-24 23:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -3.83%E -2.70%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -3.82%E -1.28%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-24 23:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -5.19%E -3.70%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -3.82%E -1.28%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-24 23:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.15%E -2.21%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.79%E -1.62%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-25 00:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.15%E -2.21%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.79%E -1.62%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-24 23:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.15%E -2.21%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.79%E -1.62%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-25 00:08 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.83%E -2.70%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.79%E -1.62%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-25 00:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.51%E -3.20%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.79%E -1.62%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-25 00:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.19%E -3.70%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.79%E -1.62%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-25 00:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.86%E -4.22%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -4.79%E -1.62%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-24 12:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.54%E -4.74%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -4.79%E -1.62%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-25 00:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.38%EV -8.57%E -6.35%K -24.49%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.62%EV -5.75%E -1.97%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-24 22:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.83%E -2.70%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.40%E -2.21%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-24 23:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.51%E -3.20%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.40%E -2.21%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-25 00:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.19%E -3.70%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.40%E -2.21%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-24 12:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV -4.51%E -3.20%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-25 00:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -2.48%E -1.72%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -7.05%E -2.45%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-25 00:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.82%EV -3.83%E -2.70%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.18%EV -7.69%E -2.69%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-25 00:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.48%E -1.72%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -8.01%E -2.81%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-25 00:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.48%E -1.72%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -8.01%E -2.81%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-25 00:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.15%E -2.21%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -8.01%E -2.81%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-25 00:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.83%E -2.70%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.01%E -2.81%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-25 00:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -1.80%E -1.24%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -9.63%E -3.44%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-25 00:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -2.48%E -1.72%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -9.63%E -3.44%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-24 23:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -2.48%E -1.72%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -9.63%E -3.44%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-24 23:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.47%EV -8.57%E -6.35%K -24.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -9.63%E -3.44%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-24 23:48 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -3.15%E -2.21%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -11.24%E -4.09%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-25 00:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.14%EV -1.80%E -1.24%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.86%EV -12.53%E -4.62%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-25 00:13 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -1.80%E -1.24%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -12.85%E -4.76%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-25 00:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -1.80%E -1.24%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -12.85%E -4.76%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-25 00:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -1.80%E -1.24%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -12.85%E -4.76%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-25 00:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -1.80%E -1.24%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -12.85%E -4.76%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-25 00:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -1.80%E -1.24%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -12.85%E -4.76%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-25 00:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -1.80%E -1.24%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -12.85%E -4.76%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-25 00:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -1.80%E -1.24%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -12.85%E -4.76%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-25 00:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -3.15%E -2.21%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -14.47%E -5.46%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-25 00:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -4.51%E -3.20%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -16.08%E -6.19%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-25 00:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -6.54%E -4.74%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.11%EV -17.70%E -6.94%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-25 00:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 0.2% | 2026-09-25 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 0.2% | 2026-09-25 00:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17% | 0.3% | 2026-09-25 00:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.19% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.81% | 0.4% | 2026-09-25 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.8% | 2026-09-25 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.8% | 2026-09-25 00:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.0% | 2026-09-24 23:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.0% | 2026-09-24 23:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07% | 2.2% | 2026-09-25 00:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.20% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 29.80% | 7.9% | 2026-09-25 00:14 |