Green Bay Packers v Atlanta Falcons

2026-09-25 00:15 — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: Green Bay Packers (Local)

Odds

1.2679.37%Min

1.2778.74%Mean

1.2778.74%Median

1.2878.13%Max

Consensus probabilities

74.07%1.350Min

74.80%1.337Max

74.44%1.343Mean

74.44%1.343Median

74.44%1.343IQM

74.51%1.342Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.28 under the IQM model: 74.44%

EV -4.72%Edge -3.69%Kelly -16.85%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Atlanta Falcons (Visit)

Odds

3.6027.78%Min

3.7027.03%Mean

3.7027.03%Median

3.8026.32%Max

Consensus probabilities

25.20%3.969Min

25.93%3.857Max

25.56%3.912Mean

25.56%3.912Median

25.56%3.912IQM

25.49%3.923Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.80 under the IQM model: 25.56%

EV -2.87%Edge -0.754%Kelly -1.02%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Green Bay Packers (Local) ▼	Atlanta Falcons (Visit)	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	1.28I 78.13% NM 74.80%EV -4.72% E -3.69% K -16.85% G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32% NM 25.20%EV -2.87% E -0.754% K -1.02% G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-07-03 05:05
Bet Right	1.28I 78.13% NM 74.80%EV -4.72% E -3.69% K -16.85% G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32% NM 25.20%EV -2.87% E -0.754% K -1.02% G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-05-26 02:11
Caesars	1.26I 79.37% NM 74.07%EV -6.21% E -4.93% K -23.87% G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78% NM 25.93%EV -7.98% E -2.22% K -3.07% G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-05-15 20:35

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth