Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Green Bay Packers v Atlanta Falcons

Inicio: 2026-09-25 00:15 UTC

Final: Green Bay Packers 14–35 Atlanta Falcons

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Green Bay Packers (Local)

Predicción 67.72%1.48momio equitativo
EV -1.80%
Ventaja -1.24%
Kelly -4.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.84%67.56%67.80%69.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.351.411.421.4574.07%70.86%70.42%68.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Atlanta Falcons (Visitante)

Predicción 32.28%3.10momio equitativo
EV +0.056%
Ventaja +0.018%
Kelly +0.027%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.49%32.44%32.20%35.16%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.552.912.953.1039.22%34.33%33.90%32.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Green Bay Packers (Local): 67.72%; Atlanta Falcons (Visitante): 32.28%. Para Atlanta Falcons (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.098. 11 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.100, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.056%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
MyBookie.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.19%E -3.70%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +0.056%E +0.018%K +0.027%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-24 20:29
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.19%E -3.70%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +0.056%E +0.018%K +0.027%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-24 19:20
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.19%E -3.70%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +0.056%E +0.018%K +0.027%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-25 00:15
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.54%E -4.74%K -17.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +0.056%E +0.018%K +0.027%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-23 14:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.90%E -5.81%K -21.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.056%E +0.018%K +0.027%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-23 16:15
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.90%E -5.81%K -21.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.056%E +0.018%K +0.027%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-23 16:15
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.90%E -5.81%K -21.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.056%E +0.018%K +0.027%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-23 16:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.90%E -5.81%K -21.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.056%E +0.018%K +0.027%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-23 16:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.90%E -5.81%K -21.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.056%E +0.018%K +0.027%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-24 18:49
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.90%E -5.81%K -21.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.056%E +0.018%K +0.027%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-24 11:29
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.90%E -5.81%K -21.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.056%E +0.018%K +0.027%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-24 11:30
Coolbet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%EV -2.48%E -1.72%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%EV -1.56%E -0.511%K -0.760%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-25 00:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.54%E -4.74%K -17.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.56%E -0.511%K -0.760%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 18:50
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.54%E -4.74%K -17.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.56%E -0.511%K -0.760%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 18:50
BetUS🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.09%EV -3.83%E -2.70%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.91%EV -2.20%E -0.727%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-25 00:10
Pinnacle🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.87%EV -3.15%E -2.21%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.13%EV -2.53%E -0.837%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-25 00:00
BetAnything🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.83%E -2.70%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.17%E -1.06%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-25 00:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.83%E -2.70%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.17%E -1.06%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-25 00:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.83%E -2.70%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.17%E -1.06%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-25 00:10
Fanatics🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.51%E -3.20%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.17%E -1.06%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-24 21:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.19%E -3.70%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.17%E -1.06%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-24 13:00
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.80%EV -3.83%E -2.70%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.20%EV -3.49%E -1.17%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-24 23:39
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -3.83%E -2.70%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -3.82%E -1.28%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-24 23:40
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -5.19%E -3.70%K -12.97%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -3.82%E -1.28%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-24 23:35
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.15%E -2.21%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.79%E -1.62%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-25 00:14
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.15%E -2.21%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.79%E -1.62%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-24 23:25
Everygame🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.15%E -2.21%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.79%E -1.62%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-25 00:08
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.83%E -2.70%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.79%E -1.62%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-25 00:15
GTbets🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.51%E -3.20%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.79%E -1.62%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-25 00:15
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.19%E -3.70%K -12.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.79%E -1.62%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-25 00:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.86%E -4.22%K -15.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -4.79%E -1.62%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-24 12:59
Fliff🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.54%E -4.74%K -17.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -4.79%E -1.62%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-25 00:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.38%EV -8.57%E -6.35%K -24.49%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.62%EV -5.75%E -1.97%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-24 22:25
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.83%E -2.70%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.40%E -2.21%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-24 23:50
Bet Right🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.51%E -3.20%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.40%E -2.21%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-25 00:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.19%E -3.70%K -12.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.40%E -2.21%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-24 12:59
NordicBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV -4.51%E -3.20%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-25 00:15
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -2.48%E -1.72%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -7.05%E -2.45%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-25 00:05
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.82%EV -3.83%E -2.70%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.18%EV -7.69%E -2.69%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-25 00:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.48%E -1.72%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -8.01%E -2.81%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-25 00:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.48%E -1.72%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -8.01%E -2.81%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-25 00:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.15%E -2.21%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -8.01%E -2.81%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-25 00:05
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.83%E -2.70%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.01%E -2.81%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-25 00:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -1.80%E -1.24%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -9.63%E -3.44%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-25 00:14
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -2.48%E -1.72%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -9.63%E -3.44%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-24 23:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -2.48%E -1.72%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -9.63%E -3.44%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-24 23:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.47%EV -8.57%E -6.35%K -24.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -9.63%E -3.44%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-24 23:48
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -3.15%E -2.21%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -11.24%E -4.09%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-25 00:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.14%EV -1.80%E -1.24%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.86%EV -12.53%E -4.62%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-25 00:13
ReBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -1.80%E -1.24%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -12.85%E -4.76%K -7.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-25 00:14
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -1.80%E -1.24%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -12.85%E -4.76%K -7.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-25 00:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -1.80%E -1.24%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -12.85%E -4.76%K -7.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-25 00:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -1.80%E -1.24%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -12.85%E -4.76%K -7.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-25 00:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -1.80%E -1.24%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -12.85%E -4.76%K -7.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-25 00:15
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -1.80%E -1.24%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -12.85%E -4.76%K -7.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-25 00:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -1.80%E -1.24%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -12.85%E -4.76%K -7.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-25 00:15
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -3.15%E -2.21%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -14.47%E -5.46%K -8.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-25 00:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -4.51%E -3.20%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -16.08%E -6.19%K -10.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-25 00:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -6.54%E -4.74%K -17.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.11%EV -17.70%E -6.94%K -11.42%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-25 00:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook◎1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67%0.2%2026-09-25 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67%0.2%2026-09-25 00:05
ProphetX◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-09-25 00:10
Novig◎1.46I 68.49%NM 68.19%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.81%0.4%2026-09-25 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-09-25 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-09-25 00:10
Polymarket◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-09-24 23:25
Kalshi◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-09-24 23:55
Smarkets◎1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%2.2%2026-09-25 00:10
BetOpenly◎1.32I 75.76%NM 70.20%3.11I 32.15%NM 29.80%7.9%2026-09-25 00:14