Detroit Lions v New York Jets

2026-09-27 17:00 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

79%

21%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Detroit Lions (Local)

Prediction 78.79%1.27fair odd

EV -2.30%

Edge -1.85%

Kelly -9.58%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

77.62%78.79%78.79%79.97%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.191.211.211.2484%82%82%81%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

New York Jets (Visit)

Prediction 21.21%4.72fair odd

EV +0.739%

Edge +0.156%

Kelly +0.197%

Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

20.03%21.21%21.21%22.38%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

4.304.534.534.7523%22%22%21%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Caesars	1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -6.24%E -5.24%K -32.83%G +0.000%	4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +0.739%E +0.156%K +0.197%G +0.001%	5.1%	2026-05-15 20:55
DraftKings	1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -2.30%E -1.85%K -9.58%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -8.80%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-07-21 22:30

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.