Language:English
Detroit Lions v New York Jets
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Detroit Lions (Local)
Prediction 73.12%1.37fair odd
EV -2.03%
Edge -1.51%
Kelly -5.96%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.79%72.92%73.32%74.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.191.311.301.3484.03%76.56%76.92%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Jets (Visit)
Prediction 26.88%3.72fair odd
EV +0.818%
Edge +0.218%
Kelly +0.297%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.60%27.08%26.68%29.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.533.553.7531.75%28.36%28.17%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Detroit Lions (Local): 73.12%; New York Jets (Visit): 26.88%. For New York Jets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.72. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.818%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.68%E -4.40%K -19.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.818%E +0.218%K +0.297%G +0.002% | 4.2% | 2026-09-27 16:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.96%EV -4.22%E -3.22%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 26.04%EV +0.011%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-27 16:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -4.22%E -3.22%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -0.526%E -0.142%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-27 17:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.95%E -3.81%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -0.526%E -0.142%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-27 16:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.41%E -5.01%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -0.526%E -0.142%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-27 16:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -4.95%E -3.81%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -1.33%E -0.363%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-27 15:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -4.95%E -3.81%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -1.33%E -0.363%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-27 16:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.95%E -3.81%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -1.87%E -0.513%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-27 16:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.68%EV -4.95%E -3.81%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.32%EV -2.14%E -0.588%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-27 16:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.83%EV -5.68%E -4.40%K -19.59%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.17%EV -2.14%E -0.588%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 17:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.83%EV -5.68%E -4.40%K -19.59%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.17%EV -2.14%E -0.588%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -2.76%E -2.07%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -3.21%E -0.893%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-26 19:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -2.76%E -2.07%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -3.21%E -0.893%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-26 19:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -2.76%E -2.07%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -3.21%E -0.893%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-26 19:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -2.76%E -2.07%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -3.21%E -0.893%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-26 19:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.22%E -3.22%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.21%E -0.893%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-27 16:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.22%E -3.22%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.21%E -0.893%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-27 16:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.22%E -3.22%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.21%E -0.893%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-27 16:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.22%E -3.22%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.21%E -0.893%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-27 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.95%E -3.81%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.21%E -0.893%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-27 17:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.95%E -3.81%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.21%E -0.893%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-27 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.95%E -3.81%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.21%E -0.893%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-27 16:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.95%E -3.81%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.21%E -0.893%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-27 16:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.95%E -3.81%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.21%E -0.893%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-27 15:13 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.95%E -3.81%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.21%E -0.893%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-27 15:13 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.68%E -4.40%K -19.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.21%E -0.893%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 16:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.68%E -4.40%K -19.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.21%E -0.893%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 16:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.41%E -5.01%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -3.21%E -0.893%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-27 16:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.14%E -5.62%K -26.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.21%E -0.893%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-27 16:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -3.49%E -2.64%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -4.56%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-26 19:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.95%E -3.81%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.56%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-27 16:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -2.03%E -1.51%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-27 16:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -2.76%E -2.07%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-27 05:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -2.76%E -2.07%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-21 20:38 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.49%E -2.64%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-27 16:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.49%E -2.64%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-26 19:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.49%E -2.64%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-26 19:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.49%E -2.64%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-26 19:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.49%E -2.64%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-26 19:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.49%E -2.64%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-27 17:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.22%E -3.22%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-21 01:52 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.95%E -3.81%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-27 16:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.95%E -3.81%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-27 16:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.95%E -3.81%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-27 16:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.68%E -4.40%K -19.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-27 17:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.49%E -2.64%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-27 17:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.49%E -2.64%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-26 20:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -2.03%E -1.51%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-27 16:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.95%E -3.81%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-27 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.95%E -3.81%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-27 16:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.41%E -5.01%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-27 17:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -7.14%E -5.62%K -26.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -9.94%E -2.97%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-27 16:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.76%E -2.07%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-23 21:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.76%E -2.07%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-23 21:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.76%E -2.07%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-23 21:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.76%E -2.07%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-23 21:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -3.49%E -2.64%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-27 16:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -4.95%E -3.81%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -15.31%E -4.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-27 16:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 72.58%EV -12.99%E -10.92%K -68.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.42%EV -15.31%E -4.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-09-26 19:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.67% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.33% | -0.1% | 2026-09-27 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 0.4% | 2026-09-27 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 0.4% | 2026-09-27 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 0.4% | 2026-09-27 17:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.63% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 26.37% | 0.6% | 2026-09-27 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-09-27 17:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-09-27 14:48 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-09-27 16:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.3% | 2026-09-27 17:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93% | 1.5% | 2026-09-27 17:00 |