Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Detroit Lions v New York Jets

Início: 2026-09-27 17:02 UTC

Final: Detroit Lions 31–24 New York Jets

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Detroit Lions (Local)

Previsão 73.12%1.37odd justa
EV -2.03%
Vantagem -1.51%
Kelly -5.96%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.34

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
70.79%72.92%73.32%74.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.191.311.301.3484.03%76.56%76.92%74.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Jets (Visitante)

Previsão 26.88%3.72odd justa
EV +0.818%
Vantagem +0.218%
Kelly +0.297%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.60%27.08%26.68%29.21%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.153.533.553.7531.75%28.36%28.17%26.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Detroit Lions (Local): 73.12%; New York Jets (Visitante): 26.88%. Para New York Jets (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.72. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.75, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.818%.

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.68%E -4.40%K -19.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.818%E +0.218%K +0.297%G +0.002%4.2%2026-09-27 16:44
Pinnacle🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.96%EV -4.22%E -3.22%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.04%EV +0.011%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-27 16:55
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -4.22%E -3.22%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -0.526%E -0.142%K -0.195%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-27 17:00
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.95%E -3.81%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -0.526%E -0.142%K -0.195%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-27 16:20
SportsBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.41%E -5.01%K -22.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -0.526%E -0.142%K -0.195%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-27 16:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -4.95%E -3.81%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -1.33%E -0.363%K -0.499%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-27 15:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -4.95%E -3.81%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -1.33%E -0.363%K -0.499%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-27 16:00
GTbets🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.95%E -3.81%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -1.87%E -0.513%K -0.706%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 16:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.68%EV -4.95%E -3.81%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.32%EV -2.14%E -0.588%K -0.810%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-27 16:49
NordicBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.83%EV -5.68%E -4.40%K -19.59%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.17%EV -2.14%E -0.588%K -0.810%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 17:00
Betsson🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.83%EV -5.68%E -4.40%K -19.59%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.17%EV -2.14%E -0.588%K -0.810%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 17:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -2.76%E -2.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -3.21%E -0.893%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-26 19:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -2.76%E -2.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -3.21%E -0.893%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-26 19:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -2.76%E -2.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -3.21%E -0.893%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-26 19:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -2.76%E -2.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -3.21%E -0.893%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-26 19:15
DraftKings🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.22%E -3.22%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.21%E -0.893%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 16:15
Bet Right🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.22%E -3.22%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.21%E -0.893%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 16:59
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.22%E -3.22%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.21%E -0.893%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 16:30
Coolbet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.22%E -3.22%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.21%E -0.893%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.95%E -3.81%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.21%E -0.893%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 17:00
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.95%E -3.81%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.21%E -0.893%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.95%E -3.81%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.21%E -0.893%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 16:15
Fanatics🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.95%E -3.81%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.21%E -0.893%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 16:20
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.95%E -3.81%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.21%E -0.893%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 15:13
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.95%E -3.81%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.21%E -0.893%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 15:13
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.68%E -4.40%K -19.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.21%E -0.893%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 16:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.68%E -4.40%K -19.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.21%E -0.893%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 16:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.41%E -5.01%K -22.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -3.21%E -0.893%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-27 16:59
Fliff🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.14%E -5.62%K -26.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.21%E -0.893%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-27 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -3.49%E -2.64%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -4.56%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-26 19:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.95%E -3.81%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.56%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 16:20
ReBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -2.03%E -1.51%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-27 16:50
BetUS🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -2.76%E -2.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-27 05:49
Everygame🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -2.76%E -2.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-21 20:38
Dabble (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.49%E -2.64%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 16:54
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.49%E -2.64%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-26 19:15
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.49%E -2.64%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-26 19:10
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.49%E -2.64%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-26 19:10
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.49%E -2.64%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-26 19:14
Neds🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.49%E -2.64%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 17:00
Caesars🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.22%E -3.22%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-21 01:52
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.95%E -3.81%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-27 16:30
TAB🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.95%E -3.81%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-27 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.95%E -3.81%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-27 16:30
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.68%E -4.40%K -19.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-27 17:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.49%E -2.64%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 17:00
BetAnything🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.49%E -2.64%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-26 20:49
theScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -2.03%E -1.51%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-27 16:30
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.95%E -3.81%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-27 17:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.95%E -3.81%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-27 16:50
LeoVegas🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.41%E -5.01%K -22.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-27 17:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -7.14%E -5.62%K -26.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -9.94%E -2.97%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-27 16:55
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.76%E -2.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-23 21:34
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.76%E -2.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-23 21:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.76%E -2.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-23 21:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.76%E -2.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-23 21:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -3.49%E -2.64%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-27 16:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -4.95%E -3.81%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -15.31%E -4.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-27 16:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 72.58%EV -12.99%E -10.92%K -68.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.42%EV -15.31%E -4.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%15.8%2026-09-26 19:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.34I 74.63%NM 74.67%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.33%-0.1%2026-09-27 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-09-27 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-09-27 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-09-27 17:00
Novig◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.63%3.77I 26.53%NM 26.37%0.6%2026-09-27 16:55
Matchbook◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-09-27 17:00
Polymarket◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-09-27 14:48
Kalshi◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-09-27 16:20
ProphetX◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.3%2026-09-27 17:00
Smarkets◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%1.5%2026-09-27 17:00