The School of OddsDetroit Lions v New England Patriots
Head to Head
Option 1: Detroit Lions (Local)
Odds
1.7158.48%Min
1.8254.92%Mean
1.8354.64%Median
1.8753.48%Max
Consensus probabilities
51.07%1.958Min
56.04%1.784Max
52.75%1.896Mean
52.22%1.915Median
52.33%1.911IQM
52.81%1.894Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.87 under the IQM model: 52.33%
EV -2.14%Edge -1.15%Kelly -2.46%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: New England Patriots (Visit)
Odds
1.9152.36%Min
2.0050.05%Mean
1.9950.25%Median
2.1845.87%Max
Consensus probabilities
43.96%2.275Min
48.93%2.044Max
47.25%2.116Mean
47.78%2.093Median
47.67%2.098IQM
47.19%2.119Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 2.18 under the IQM model: 47.67%
EV +3.92%Edge +1.80%Kelly +3.32%Growth +0.130%
Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Detroit Lions (Local) | New England Patriots (Visit) ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars | 1.71I 58.48% NM 56.04%EV -10.51% E -6.15% K -14.81% G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87% NM 43.96%EV +3.92% E +1.80% K +3.32% G +0.130% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 09:58 |
| DraftKings | 1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV -5.80% E -3.22% K -7.26% G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -2.28% E -1.11% K -2.17% G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-13 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.83I 54.64% NM 52.22%EV -4.23% E -2.31% K -5.10% G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 47.78%EV -4.66% E -2.33% K -4.66% G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-13 18:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.83I 54.64% NM 52.22%EV -4.23% E -2.31% K -5.10% G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 47.78%EV -4.66% E -2.33% K -4.66% G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-13 18:50 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64% NM 52.22%EV -4.23% E -2.31% K -5.10% G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 47.78%EV -4.66% E -2.33% K -4.66% G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-13 18:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64% NM 52.22%EV -4.23% E -2.31% K -5.10% G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 47.78%EV -4.66% E -2.33% K -4.66% G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-14 17:15 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -5.80% E -3.22% K -7.26% G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -4.66% E -2.33% K -4.66% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-14 17:15 |
| ReBet | 1.83I 54.64% NM 52.09%EV -4.23% E -2.31% K -5.10% G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25% NM 47.91%EV -5.14% E -2.58% K -5.19% G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.86I 53.76% NM 51.56%EV -2.66% E -1.43% K -3.10% G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51% NM 48.44%EV -5.61% E -2.84% K -5.73% G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Neds | 1.83I 54.64% NM 51.97%EV -4.23% E -2.31% K -5.10% G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51% NM 48.03%EV -5.61% E -2.84% K -5.73% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.83I 54.64% NM 51.97%EV -4.23% E -2.31% K -5.10% G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51% NM 48.03%EV -5.61% E -2.84% K -5.73% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.83I 54.64% NM 51.97%EV -4.23% E -2.31% K -5.10% G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51% NM 48.03%EV -5.61% E -2.84% K -5.73% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.87I 53.48% NM 51.30%EV -2.14% E -1.15% K -2.46% G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76% NM 48.70%EV -6.09% E -3.09% K -6.28% G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.80I 55.56% NM 52.00%EV -5.80% E -3.22% K -7.26% G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28% NM 48.00%EV -7.05% E -3.61% K -7.42% G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.83I 54.64% NM 51.07%EV -4.23% E -2.31% K -5.10% G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36% NM 48.93%EV -8.95% E -4.69% K -9.84% G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-13 18:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Detroit Lions (Local) | New England Patriots (Visit) | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.78I 56.18% | 1.93I 51.81% | 8.0% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
Arbitrage (2 combinations)+0.66%SportsBet 1.87 (53.8%) / Caesars 2.18 (46.2%)Show all 2 combinations
| Detroit Lions (Local) | New England Patriots (Visit) | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| SportsBet 1.87 (53.8%) | Caesars 2.18 (46.2%) | +0.657% |
| FanDuel 1.86 (54.0%) | Caesars 2.18 (46.0%) | +0.366% |