La scuola delle quote

Detroit Lions v New England Patriots

2026-11-15 14:30 UTC — NFL

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17 bookmaker (7 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Detroit Lions (Casa)

Previsione 52.64%1.90quota equa
EV -1.56%
Vantaggio -0.834%
Kelly -1.79%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.87

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.07%52.97%52.28%56.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.711.811.831.8758.48%55.21%54.64%53.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

New England Patriots (Trasferta)

Previsione 47.36%2.11quota equa
EV +3.24%
Vantaggio +1.49%
Kelly +2.75%
Crescita +0.089%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.18

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.96%47.03%47.72%48.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.912.002.002.1852.36%50.03%50.00%45.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (17 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -9.98%E -5.84%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV +3.24%E +1.49%K +2.75%G +0.089%4.4%2026-06-30 09:58
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.92%E -1.42%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 14:05
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.92%E -1.42%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 01:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.66%E -2.00%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.28%E -2.64%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 18:50
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.66%E -2.00%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.28%E -2.64%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 18:50
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.66%E -2.00%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.28%E -2.64%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 18:55
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.66%E -2.00%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.28%E -2.64%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 01:20
ReBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.72%E -2.61%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.28%E -2.64%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 01:20
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.28%E -2.64%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 17:15
FanDuel1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -2.09%E -1.12%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -6.23%E -3.15%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 09:59
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.66%E -2.00%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.23%E -3.15%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.66%E -2.00%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.23%E -3.15%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 18:50
MyBookie.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.23%E -3.15%K -6.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-21 01:25
SportsBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -1.56%E -0.834%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -6.71%E -3.40%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 09:59
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -6.30%E -3.54%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.65%E -3.92%K -8.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 01:20
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.88%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.65%E -3.92%K -8.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-21 10:00
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.66%E -2.00%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.55%E -5.00%K -10.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 18:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 52.43%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%8.4%2026-07-21 01:20
Arbitraggio (2 combinazioni) +0.66%SportsBet 1.87 (53.8%) / Caesars 2.18 (46.2%)Mostra tutte le 2 combinazioni
Detroit Lions (Casa)New England Patriots (Trasferta)Margine
SportsBet 1.87 (53.8%)Caesars 2.18 (46.2%)+0.657%
FanDuel 1.86 (54.0%)Caesars 2.18 (46.0%)+0.366%