Language:English
Cleveland Browns v Pittsburgh Steelers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cleveland Browns (Local)
Prediction 41.65%2.40fair odd
EV +2.89%
Edge +1.17%
Kelly +1.96%
Growth +0.057%
assuming max odds 2.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.01%41.76%41.56%44.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.042.282.302.4749.02%43.88%43.48%40.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pittsburgh Steelers (Visit)
Prediction 58.35%1.71fair odd
EV +1.52%
Edge +0.875%
Kelly +2.06%
Growth +0.031%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.27%58.24%58.44%60.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.631.621.7463.69%61.17%61.73%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Browns (Local): 41.65%; Pittsburgh Steelers (Visit): 58.35%. For Cleveland Browns (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.40. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.47, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.89%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV +2.89%E +1.17%K +1.96%G +0.057% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -7.81%E -4.95%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-02 00:14 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV +2.05%E +0.838%K +1.42%G +0.029% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -6.06%E -3.77%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-01 23:51 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV +2.05%E +0.838%K +1.42%G +0.029% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -7.23%E -4.55%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-02 00:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV +1.22%E +0.502%K +0.853%G +0.010% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -6.06%E -3.77%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-02 00:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV +1.22%E +0.502%K +0.853%G +0.010% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -6.06%E -3.77%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-02 00:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV +0.803%E +0.332%K +0.565%G +0.005% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -5.48%E -3.38%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-01 23:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -0.030%E -0.013%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -6.06%E -3.77%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-02 00:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -0.030%E -0.013%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -6.06%E -3.77%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-02 00:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -0.447%E -0.187%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -3.73%E -2.26%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-10-01 23:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -0.863%E -0.363%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -5.48%E -3.38%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-02 00:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -1.70%E -0.719%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -3.73%E -2.26%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-02 00:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.11%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.48%E -3.38%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-02 00:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.11%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.40%E -5.35%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.90%E -3.00%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -3.36%E -1.45%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -0.812%E -0.478%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-10-01 23:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.36%E -1.45%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.31%E -2.63%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-01 23:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.78%E -1.64%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.48%E -3.38%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.20%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.73%E -2.26%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.20%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.73%E -2.26%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-02 00:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.20%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.73%E -2.26%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-02 00:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.20%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.31%E -2.63%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.20%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.31%E -2.63%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.20%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.90%E -3.00%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-02 00:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.20%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.48%E -3.38%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 00:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.20%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.48%E -3.38%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 00:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.20%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.48%E -3.38%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.20%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.48%E -3.38%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.20%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.48%E -3.38%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 00:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.20%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.48%E -3.38%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.20%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.48%E -3.38%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 00:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.20%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.48%E -3.38%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-01 23:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.20%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.06%E -3.77%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-02 00:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.20%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.06%E -3.77%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-02 00:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.20%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.06%E -3.77%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-02 00:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.20%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.65%E -4.15%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-02 00:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.03%E -2.21%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -6.06%E -3.77%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.56%E -1.53%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.56%E -1.53%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.31%E -2.63%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 22:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.48%E -3.38%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-28 16:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.65%E -4.15%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.65%E -4.15%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-02 00:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.65%E -4.15%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-02 00:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -6.69%E -2.99%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -1.98%E -1.18%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-29 09:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -7.94%E -3.59%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -3.73%E -2.26%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-01 23:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.36%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.06%E -3.77%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.36%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.65%E -4.15%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-02 00:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.98%EV -9.61%E -4.43%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -8.40%E -5.35%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-02 00:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -10.44%E -4.86%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV +1.52%E +0.875%K +2.06%G +0.031% | 4.0% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -10.44%E -4.86%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -0.812%E -0.478%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -10.44%E -4.86%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -0.812%E -0.478%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -10.44%E -4.86%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -0.812%E -0.478%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 00:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -10.44%E -4.86%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -0.812%E -0.478%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -10.44%E -4.86%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -0.812%E -0.478%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -10.44%E -4.86%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -0.812%E -0.478%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -10.86%E -5.07%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -1.98%E -1.18%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -11.69%E -5.52%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -2.56%E -1.53%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.09%EV -13.36%E -6.42%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.91%EV -4.31%E -2.63%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-02 00:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.11%EV -15.03%E -7.37%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.89%EV -6.06%E -3.77%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42% | 0.2% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| Novig◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-10-02 00:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-10-02 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-10-02 00:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 0.8% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 0.8% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-10-01 23:58 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-10-02 00:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11% | 1.9% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44% | 3.7% | 2026-10-02 00:14 |