Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Browns v Pittsburgh Steelers

2026-10-02 00:15 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

43%

57%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Browns (Local)

Prediction 42.60%2.35fair odd

EV +0.111%

Edge +0.047%

Kelly +0.082%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

40.36%42.60%42.60%44.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.142.252.252.3546.73%44.51%44.44%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pittsburgh Steelers (Visit)

Prediction 57.40%1.74fair odd

EV -0.125%

Edge -0.072%

Kelly -0.168%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

55.15%57.40%57.40%59.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.591.661.641.7462.89%60.36%60.98%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Cleveland Browns (Local): 42.60%; Pittsburgh Steelers (Visit): 57.40%. For Cleveland Browns (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.347. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.350, producing a positive expected value of +0.111%.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Caesars🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV +0.111%E +0.047%K +0.082%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -8.73%E -5.49%K -14.80%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-01 20:40
Betr (AU)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.15%E -1.84%K -3.32%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.86%E -3.58%K -9.16%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-08 15:05
DraftKings🎯	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -8.84%E -4.13%K -7.75%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -0.125%E -0.072%K -0.168%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-08-14 16:09

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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