Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Browns v Pittsburgh Steelers

2026-10-02 00:15 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Browns (Local)

Prediction 44.08%2.27fair odd
EV +1.39%
Edge +0.605%
Kelly +1.07%
Growth +0.015%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.77%43.91%44.07%45.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.162.172.3051.55%46.28%46.08%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pittsburgh Steelers (Visit)

Prediction 55.92%1.79fair odd
EV -2.15%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -2.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.83%56.09%55.93%58.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.691.701.7564.94%59.01%58.82%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Cleveland Browns (Local): 44.08%; Pittsburgh Steelers (Visit): 55.92%. For Cleveland Browns (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.27. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.30, producing a positive expected value of +1.39%.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +1.39%E +0.605%K +1.07%G +0.015%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -6.62%E -3.96%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-23 20:45
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +1.39%E +0.605%K +1.07%G +0.015%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -6.62%E -3.96%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-23 19:28
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +1.39%E +0.605%K +1.07%G +0.015%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -7.74%E -4.69%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-23 19:35
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.02%E -1.37%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.50%E -3.26%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-23 19:39
Caesars🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -3.46%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -3.82%E -2.22%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-22 21:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.90%E -1.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.94%E -2.91%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-23 20:00
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.90%E -1.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.06%E -3.61%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-23 19:44
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.90%E -1.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.06%E -3.61%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-23 19:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -4.34%E -2.00%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.38%E -2.56%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-22 23:04
Unibet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -4.34%E -2.00%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.38%E -2.56%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-22 23:04
BetRivers🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -4.34%E -2.00%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.38%E -2.56%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-22 23:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -4.34%E -2.00%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.38%E -2.56%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-22 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -4.34%E -2.00%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.38%E -2.56%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-22 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -4.34%E -2.00%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.38%E -2.56%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-22 23:05
Bally Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -4.34%E -2.00%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.38%E -2.56%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-22 23:03
betPARX🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -4.34%E -2.00%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.38%E -2.56%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-22 23:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -4.34%E -2.00%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.38%E -2.56%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-22 23:05
ReBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.78%E -2.21%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.94%E -2.91%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-23 20:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.94%E -2.91%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-23 22:10
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.94%E -2.91%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-23 19:39
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.94%E -2.91%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-23 00:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.94%E -2.91%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-23 00:15
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.94%E -2.91%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-23 00:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.94%E -2.91%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-23 00:20
FanDuel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.66%E -2.65%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.15%E -1.23%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-22 19:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -6.10%E -2.86%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -4.94%E -2.91%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-22 23:22
SportsBet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -6.98%E -3.31%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -3.26%E -1.89%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-22 19:39
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.42%E -3.54%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.26%E -1.89%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-22 19:39
Dabble (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.42%E -3.54%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.94%E -2.91%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-23 19:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.42%E -3.54%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.06%E -3.61%K -8.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-22 19:39
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.42%E -3.54%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.74%E -4.69%K -11.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-23 19:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 44.25%EV -14.48%E -7.46%K -15.40%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 55.75%EV -13.89%E -9.02%K -25.72%G +0.000%16.5%2026-09-22 23:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.27I 44.05%NM 43.39%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.61%1.5%2026-09-23 20:20
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.2%2026-09-23 22:25
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%4.2%2026-09-23 19:00
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%8.7%2026-09-23 20:00