The School of Odds

Cleveland Browns v Pittsburgh Steelers

2026-10-02 00:15 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Cleveland Browns (Local)

Prediction 42.60%2.35fair odd
EV +0.111%
Edge +0.047%
Kelly +0.082%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.36%42.60%42.60%44.85%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.142.252.252.3547%45%45%43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Pittsburgh Steelers (Visit)

Prediction 57.40%1.74fair odd
EV -0.125%
Edge -0.072%
Kelly -0.168%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.15%57.40%57.40%59.64%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.591.671.671.7463%60%60%57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV +0.111%E +0.047%K +0.082%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -8.73%E -5.49%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-01 20:40
DraftKings2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -8.84%E -4.13%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -0.125%E -0.072%K -0.168%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-23 20:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.