Cleveland Browns v Pittsburgh Steelers

2026-10-02 00:15 — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: Cleveland Browns (Local)

Odds

2.3542.55%Min

2.3542.46%Mean

2.3542.46%Median

2.3642.37%Max

Consensus probabilities

40.36%2.478Min

40.70%2.457Max

40.53%2.467Mean

40.53%2.467Median

40.53%2.467IQM

40.55%2.466Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.36 under the IQM model: 40.53%

EV -4.35%Edge -1.84%Kelly -3.20%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Pittsburgh Steelers (Visit)

Odds

1.5962.89%Min

1.6062.31%Mean

1.6062.31%Median

1.6261.73%Max

Consensus probabilities

59.30%1.686Min

59.64%1.677Max

59.47%1.682Mean

59.47%1.682Median

59.47%1.682IQM

59.45%1.682Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.62 under the IQM model: 59.47%

EV -3.66%Edge -2.26%Kelly -5.90%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Cleveland Browns (Local) ▼	Pittsburgh Steelers (Visit)	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	2.36I 42.37% NM 40.70%EV -4.35% E -1.84% K -3.20% G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73% NM 59.30%EV -3.66% E -2.26% K -5.90% G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-06-01 17:38
Caesars	2.35I 42.55% NM 40.36%EV -4.76% E -2.02% K -3.52% G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89% NM 59.64%EV -5.44% E -3.42% K -9.22% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-01 20:40
Bet Right	2.12I 47.17% NM 44.94%EV -14.08% E -6.64% K -12.57% G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80% NM 55.06%EV +2.88% E +1.67% K +3.95% G +0.114%	5.0%	2026-05-26 02:11

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth