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Cleveland Browns v Pittsburgh Steelers
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cleveland Browns (Local)
Predicción 41.65%2.40momio equitativo
EV +2.89%
Ventaja +1.17%
Kelly +1.96%
Crecimiento +0.057%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.47
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.01%41.76%41.56%44.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.042.282.302.4749.02%43.88%43.48%40.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Pittsburgh Steelers (Visitante)
Predicción 58.35%1.71momio equitativo
EV +1.52%
Ventaja +0.875%
Kelly +2.06%
Crecimiento +0.031%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.27%58.24%58.44%60.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.571.631.621.7463.69%61.17%61.73%57.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Cleveland Browns (Local): 41.65%; Pittsburgh Steelers (Visitante): 58.35%. Para Cleveland Browns (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.40. 6 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.47, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.89%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV +2.89%E +1.17%K +1.96%G +0.057% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -7.81%E -4.95%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-02 00:14 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV +2.05%E +0.838%K +1.42%G +0.029% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -6.06%E -3.77%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-01 23:51 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV +2.05%E +0.838%K +1.42%G +0.029% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -7.23%E -4.55%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-02 00:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV +1.22%E +0.502%K +0.853%G +0.010% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -6.06%E -3.77%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-02 00:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV +1.22%E +0.502%K +0.853%G +0.010% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -6.06%E -3.77%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-02 00:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV +0.803%E +0.332%K +0.565%G +0.005% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -5.48%E -3.38%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-01 23:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -0.030%E -0.013%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -6.06%E -3.77%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-02 00:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -0.030%E -0.013%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -6.06%E -3.77%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-02 00:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -0.447%E -0.187%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -3.73%E -2.26%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-10-01 23:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -0.863%E -0.363%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -5.48%E -3.38%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-02 00:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -1.70%E -0.719%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -3.73%E -2.26%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-02 00:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.11%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.48%E -3.38%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-02 00:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.11%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.40%E -5.35%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.90%E -3.00%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -3.36%E -1.45%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -0.812%E -0.478%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-10-01 23:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.36%E -1.45%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.31%E -2.63%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-01 23:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.78%E -1.64%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.48%E -3.38%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.20%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.73%E -2.26%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.20%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.73%E -2.26%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-02 00:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.20%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.73%E -2.26%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-02 00:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.20%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.31%E -2.63%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.20%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.31%E -2.63%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.20%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.90%E -3.00%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-02 00:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.20%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.48%E -3.38%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 00:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.20%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.48%E -3.38%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 00:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.20%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.48%E -3.38%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.20%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.48%E -3.38%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.20%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.48%E -3.38%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 00:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.20%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.48%E -3.38%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.20%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.48%E -3.38%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 00:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.20%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.48%E -3.38%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-01 23:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.20%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.06%E -3.77%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-02 00:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.20%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.06%E -3.77%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-02 00:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.20%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.06%E -3.77%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-02 00:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.20%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.65%E -4.15%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-02 00:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.03%E -2.21%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -6.06%E -3.77%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.56%E -1.53%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.56%E -1.53%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.31%E -2.63%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 22:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.48%E -3.38%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-28 16:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.65%E -4.15%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.65%E -4.15%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-02 00:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.65%E -4.15%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-02 00:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -6.69%E -2.99%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -1.98%E -1.18%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-29 09:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -7.94%E -3.59%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -3.73%E -2.26%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-01 23:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.36%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.06%E -3.77%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.36%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.65%E -4.15%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-02 00:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.98%EV -9.61%E -4.43%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -8.40%E -5.35%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-02 00:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -10.44%E -4.86%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV +1.52%E +0.875%K +2.06%G +0.031% | 4.0% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -10.44%E -4.86%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -0.812%E -0.478%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -10.44%E -4.86%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -0.812%E -0.478%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -10.44%E -4.86%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -0.812%E -0.478%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 00:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -10.44%E -4.86%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -0.812%E -0.478%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -10.44%E -4.86%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -0.812%E -0.478%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -10.44%E -4.86%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -0.812%E -0.478%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -10.86%E -5.07%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -1.98%E -1.18%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -11.69%E -5.52%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -2.56%E -1.53%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.09%EV -13.36%E -6.42%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.91%EV -4.31%E -2.63%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-02 00:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.11%EV -15.03%E -7.37%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.89%EV -6.06%E -3.77%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42% | 0.2% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| Novig◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-10-02 00:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-10-02 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-10-02 00:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 0.8% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 0.8% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-10-01 23:58 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-10-02 00:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11% | 1.9% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44% | 3.7% | 2026-10-02 00:14 |